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Amazon is the most undervalued mega-cap, followed by Meta and Google - survey

By Senad Karaahmetovic Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is seen as the most undervalued mega-cap tech name, according to Raymond James' survey conducted in late December and early January to...
Amazon is the most undervalued mega-cap, followed by Meta and Google - survey © Reuters. Amazon (AMZN) is the most undervalued mega-cap, followed by Meta (META) and Google (GOOGL) - survey
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By Senad Karaahmetovic

Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) is seen as the most undervalued mega-cap tech name, according to Raymond James' survey conducted in late December and early January to gauge investor thoughts on Internet fundamentals and stock outlooks for 2023.

Nearly 60% of respondents believe Amazon is undervalued, followed by Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) (48%), and Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) (45%). Elsewhere, 52% of respondents said that Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) is "fairly valued."

As far as mid-large caps are concerned, travel businesses Booking (NASDAQ:BKNG) and Expedia (NASDAQ:EXPE) are seen as the most undervalued companies while DoorDash (NYSE:DASH), Peloton (NASDAQ:PTON), and Chewy (NYSE:CHWY) as the most overvalued Internet names.

Here are other key takeaways from the survey:

  • 35% of investors expect EPS estimates to bottom in H1 2023, 48% say H2 2022;
  • 48% of respondents believe it is "somewhat likely" we are in a multi-year bear market, while 43% said not likely;
  • 50% of investors believe the Internet sector will outperform the S&P 500;
  • Most investors view large caps as undervalued to fairly valued with small caps largely viewed as fairly valued;
  • 64% of respondents said the Street is overvaluing companies with high SBC (stock-based compensation);
  • 64% of investors would like to see Google cut 4-6% workforce, while 19% said 7-10%; on average, investors expect ~4% Google Search Growth in 2023;
  • Meta ad growth is seen at ~3% (consensus at ~4%); 70% do not see Meta Reality Labs as a meaningful driver of shareholder value; most believe Meta should cut operating losses for Reality Labs;
  • Investors expect ~19% AWS growth in 2023, mixed on Amazon's ability to show meaningful operating leverage in 2023.
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    EUR/USD 1.0572 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2202 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 149.45 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6431 Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3582 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 158.00 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9679 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,863.95 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 22.358 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.7315 Neutral  
    Crude Oil WTI 90.91 Neutral  
    Brent Oil 92.29 Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.939 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 145.23 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,173.35 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,289.63 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,386.58 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,608.08 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,822.00 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,781.00 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 9,428.00 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 42.950 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 45.45 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 225.70 Sell  
    Adidas 166.62 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.506 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 135.66 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.450 ↑ Sell  
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