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Asia stocks hit 4-month high on reopening of Chinese economy

05 Tháng Giêng 2023
Asia stocks hit 4-month high on reopening of Chinese economy © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man on a bicycle stands in front of an electronic board showing Shanghai stock index, Nikkei share price index and Dow Jones Industrial Average outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan September 22, 2022. REUTERS/Kim Kyung-Hoon
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By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asian shares rose on Thursday on investor hopes for China's emergence from the COVID-19 pandemic, while the dollar stayed under pressure even as the U.S. Federal Reserve had a warning against market bets on interest rate cuts this year.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 1% to touch a four-month high in morning trade. Japan's Nikkei bounced off a three-month low.

China has abruptly dropped ultra-strict curbs on travel and activity, unleashing the virus on the nation's 1.4 billion people. Many funeral homes and hospitals say they are overwhelmed, but investors hope that once the infection waves pass, life and spending can return to normal and are looking beyond the most immediate difficulties.

"China reopening has a big impact...worldwide," said Joanne Goh, an investment strategist at DBS Bank in Singapore, since it not only spurs tourism and consumption but can ease some of the supply-chain crunches seen during 2022.

"There will be hiccups on the way," Goh said, during an outlook presentation to reporters. "We give it six months adjusting to the process. But we don't think it's reversible."

China's central bank also said overnight it will step up financing support to spur domestic consumption and key investment projects and support a stable real estate market.

E-commerce and consumer stocks were among the biggest gainers in Hong Kong, lifting the Hang Seng 2% to a six-month high while reopening hopes have driven China's yuan to four-month highs and supported regional stocks and currencies.

The yuan rose about 0.2% to 6.8750 on Thursday.

China has partially eased an unofficial ban on Australian coal imports and the Australian dollar made a three-week high overnight just below $0.69. It last bought $0.6833.

Oil sounded the loudest note of caution, falling sharply overnight on worries that the near-term outlook is precarious in China and that a global slowdown will hurt demand. [O/R]

Brent crude futures steadied at $78.42 a barrel on Thursday after dropping 1.5% on Wednesday.

RATES WARNING

Asia's optimism comes while minutes from the Federal Reserve's December meeting, published on Wednesday, contained a caution against late-year rate cuts traders have priced in.

Fed committee members noted that "unwarranted easing in financial conditions" would complicate efforts to restore price stability, the minutes showed.

"Translating Fed speak, this is a warning to markets, that being too optimistic may ironically backfire," said Vishnu Varathan, Mizuho Bank's head of economics in Singapore.

"That is, insofar that premature rate cut bets drive looser financial conditions, the Fed may have to tighten even more to compensate."

Fed funds futures pricing shows traders think the benchmark U.S. interest rate will peak just below 5% in May or June, before being cut back a little bit in the second half of 2023.

Wall Street indexes fluctuated on Wednesday, before closing with modest gains, but futures struggled in Asia trading and S&P 500 futures were last down about 0.4%. [.N]

Treasuries hung on to recent gains, with 10-year yields down a dozen basis points this week to 3.7070%. Yields fall when prices rise.

In currency markets, the dollar has been wobbly as investors navigate between the Fed's hawkish tone and the support for riskier currencies driven by China's reopening.

The yen was reeling back overnight losses and up about 0.5% to 131.87 per dollar as traders think this year - at last - will be one of policy tightening in Japan.

In Europe, unseasonally warm weather has disappointed skiers but been a boon for a euro basking in falling gas prices. Benchmark Dutch gas prices fell to 14-month lows overnight and the euro has climbed to $1.0619. [FRX/]

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23-03-2023 22:27:31 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0906

+0.0051 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0906

+0.0051 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2327

+0.0063 (+0.51%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

131.13

-0.32 (-0.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

AUD/USD

0.6722

+0.0040 (+0.59%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3640

-0.0088 (-0.64%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/JPY

142.99

+0.32 (+0.22%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/CHF

0.9963

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

1,988.95

+39.35 (+2.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

23.260

+0.474 (+2.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (11)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.1098

+0.0653 (+1.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

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Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

71.47

+0.57 (+0.80%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

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Brent Oil Futures

77.28

+0.59 (+0.77%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

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Natural Gas Futures

2.238

+0.067 (+3.09%)

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Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (6)

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Sell (5)

US Coffee C Futures

174.73

-3.27 (-1.84%)

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (11)

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Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,210.25

+14.55 (+0.35%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

3,996.24

+59.27 (+1.51%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

DAX

15,226.55

+10.36 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (8)

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Sell (6)

FTSE 100

7,529.18

-37.66 (-0.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

Indicators:

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Hang Seng

20,049.64

+458.21 (+2.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,766.00

+32.66 (+1.88%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

IBEX 35

8,993.53

-15.77 (-0.18%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

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Buy (0)

Sell (9)

BASF SE NA O.N.

46.575

+0.015 (+0.03%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

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Bayer AG NA

56.13

-0.50 (-0.88%)

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Buy

Moving Avg:

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

207.43

-0.67 (-0.32%)

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Neutral

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Adidas AG

142.25

+1.25 (+0.89%)

Summary

Sell

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Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.899

+0.021 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Siemens AG Class N

145.01

+0.07 (+0.05%)

Summary

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Deutsche Bank AG

9.435

-0.208 (-2.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

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Buy (0)

Sell (6)

    EUR/USD 1.0906 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2327 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 131.13 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6722 Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3640 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 142.99 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9963 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,988.95 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 23.260 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.1098 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 71.47 Sell  
    Brent Oil 77.28 Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.238 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 174.73 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,210.25 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 3,996.24 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,226.55 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,529.18 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 20,049.64 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,766.00 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 8,993.53 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 46.575 Sell  
    Bayer 56.13 Buy  
    Allianz 207.43 Neutral  
    Adidas 142.25 Sell  
    Lufthansa 9.899 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 145.01 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.435 ↑ Sell  
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