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Asia stocks hit 7-month high on China and CPI bets

12 Tháng Giêng 2023
Asia stocks hit 7-month high on China and CPI bets © Reuters. Passersby are silhouetted as they walk past in front of an electric stock quotation board outside a brokerage in Tokyo, Japan October 18, 2022 REUTERS/Issei Kato
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By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asian stock markets mostly pushed higher on Thursday, ahead of U.S. consumer price data that investors hope will confirm inflation is in retreat, while the yen rose with a report Japan will next week review the side-effects of its ultra-easy policy.

Following gains for Wall Street indexes overnight, MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.5% and touched an almost seven-month high.

Japan's Nikkei wobbled 0.2% lower. Bonds were bought around the world overnight and the U.S. dollar wavered, to touch a seven-month low at $1.0776 per euro.

Due at 1330 GMT, economists expect the rise in core U.S. consumer prices slowed to an annual pace of 5.7% in December, from 6% a month earlier. Month-on-month headline inflation is seen at zero.

The hope is that falling inflation reduces the need for interest rate hikes, and markets have priced better-than-even odds that the Federal Reserve slows its cracking pace and hikes by 25 basis points, rather than 50, at next month's meeting.

"(It) is the CPI number that could help settle the debate for the February meeting," said NatWest Markets' U.S. rates strategist Jan Nevruzi.

"We expect a below consensus CPI print, which if it materialises, could push this rally even further."

Boston Federal Reserve bank leader Susan Collins also helped things, remarking to the New York Times that she was leaning towards a 25 basis point hike.

Optimism for a more benign rates outlook and a pickup in demand as China emerges from strict COVID restrictions also drove oil prices sharply higher to one-week peaks. [O/R]

Brent crude futures rose more than 3% to $83 a barrel overnight. U.S. Treasuries rallied at the longer end of the curve, with benchmark 10-year yields down 6 bps to 3.5558% and 30-year yields down 7 bps to 3.6874%.

European rate expectations also pulled back a little.

CHINA HOPES

Against hopes for gentler central banks in the West, investors are also hoping recovery in China can help global growth and are eyeing a potential policy shift in Japan.

The Bank of Japan stunned markets last month by widening the band around its 10-year bond yield target, a move that triggered a sudden rise in yields and a jump in the yen.

On Thursday Japan's Yomiuri newspaper reported the BOJ will review of the side-effects of Japan's ultra-easy settings at next week's policy meetings, and that it may take additional steps to correct distortions in the yield curve.

Uniqlo parent Fast Retailing on Wednesday also gave inflation expectations something of a jolt in Japan by announcing plans for wages hikes of as much as 40%.

BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda is due to make remarks later in the day. The yen rose about 0.5% in otherwise quiet currency trade to 131.84 per dollar. Japanese government bond futures fell to almost eight-year lows. [JP/]

Foreign exchange markets were elsewhere holding their breath ahead of CPI data while China's reopening kept a bid under Asia's currencies. The yuan hit a five-month high of 6.7532 in offshore trade. The Aussie held above $0.69.

China on Thursday reported consumer price falls in December and a larger-than-expected drop in factory gate prices - underscoring the weakness in demand that investors are betting will recover over the coming months.

"It's not enough for China to come out of COVID to really turn the whole world economy around," said Steven Wieting, chief investment strategist and chief economist at Citi Global Wealth Investments. "But it really weighs in the opposite direction."

Inflation data is also due in India later on Thursday, where hopes are it will steady below 6%.

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31-01-2023 17:55:30 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0827

-0.0017 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0827

-0.0017 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2319

-0.0033 (-0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (2)

USD/JPY

130.43

-0.01 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6991

-0.0068 (-0.96%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/CAD

1.3462

+0.0078 (+0.58%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

141.21

-0.24 (-0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

1.0045

+0.0016 (+0.16%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

1,904.40

-18.50 (-0.96%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

23.258

-0.475 (-2.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.1340

-0.0680 (-1.62%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

76.86

-1.04 (-1.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

83.52

-0.98 (-1.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

2.634

-0.043 (-1.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

171.63

+1.23 (+0.72%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,129.25

-29.38 (-0.71%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

S&P 500

4,017.77

-52.79 (-1.30%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

DAX

15,013.85

-112.23 (-0.74%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

FTSE 100

7,719.59

-65.28 (-0.84%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Hang Seng

21,842.33

-227.40 (-1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,885.72

-25.74 (-1.35%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

9,026.90

-22.40 (-0.25%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.355

-0.425 (-0.81%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

Bayer AG NA

56.27

-0.63 (-1.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

219.38

-1.97 (-0.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

145.83

-1.49 (-1.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.605

-0.046 (-0.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

142.78

-0.48 (-0.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Bank AG

12.223

-0.055 (-0.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0827 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2319 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 130.43 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6991 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3462 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.21 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 1.0045 Neutral  
    Gold 1,904.40 Neutral  
    Silver 23.258 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 4.1340 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 76.86 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 83.52 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.634 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 171.63 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,129.25 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,017.77 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,013.85 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,719.59 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 21,842.33 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,885.72 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 9,026.90 Neutral  
    BASF 52.355 Buy  
    Bayer 56.27 Neutral  
    Allianz 219.38 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 145.83 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.605 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 142.78 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.223 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,640/ 6,720
(20/ 20) # 1,297
SJC HCM6,620/ 6,760
(-20/ 20) # 1,339
SJC Hanoi6,620/ 6,762
(-20/ 20) # 1,341
SJC Danang6,620/ 6,762
(-20/ 20) # 1,341
SJC Nhatrang6,620/ 6,762
(-20/ 20) # 1,341
SJC Cantho6,620/ 6,762
(-20/ 20) # 1,341
Cập nhật 31-01-2023 17:55:33
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,905.61 -16.4 -0.85%
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ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.00024.480
RON 95-III23.14023.600
E5 RON 92-II22.32022.760
DO 0.05S22.52022.970
DO 0,001S-V24.28024.760
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.57023.020
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $77.00 +1.08 1.38%
Brent $83.46 +0.94 1.12%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.250,0023.620,00
EUR24.796,6826.185,21
GBP28.230,7029.434,52
JPY174,96185,23
KRW16,4720,07
Cập nhật lúc 17:51:32 31/01/2023
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