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Bond sell-off worst since 1949, investor sentiment plummets - BofA

24 Tháng Chín 2022
Bond sell-off worst since 1949, investor sentiment plummets - BofA © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A Bank of America logo is pictured in the Manhattan borough of New York City, New York, U.S., January 30, 2019. REUTERS/Carlo Allegri

LONDON (Reuters) -Global government bond losses are on course for the worst year since 1949 and investor sentiment has plummeted to its lowest since the financial crisis, BofA Global Research said in a note on Friday.

This year’s dramatic bond tumble threatens credit events and a potential liquidation of the world’s most crowded trades, including bets on the dollar that have taken the greenback to multi-year highs against other currencies and bets on U.S. technology stocks, the bank said.

Bond funds recorded outflows of $6.9 billion during the week to Wednesday, while $7.8 billion was removed from equity funds and investors plowed $30.3 billion into cash, BofA said in a research note citing EPFR data.

Investor sentiment is the worst it has been since the 2008 global financial crash, the note said.

U.S. markets appear set for another volatile day. Wall Street futures fell on Friday as investors fretted over the prospect of an economic downturn and a hit to corporate earnings from the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive policy tightening moves to quell inflation. The S&P 500 is down nearly 5% this month and approaching its mid-June bear market lows.

Treasury yields, which move inversely to bond prices, were again rising after hitting their highest level since 2011 on Thursday, with the U.S. benchmark 10-year yield recently around 3.76%.

The bond crash “threatens liquidation of (the) world's most crowded trades” including long dollar and long U.S. tech, BofA wrote.

BofA said investors faced more inflation, interest rates and recession shocks, adding a bond crash meant that a high in credit spreads and low in stocks had not yet been reached.

Aggressive rate hikes from major central banks to contain inflation, even as growth slows, has unnerved world markets and sparked a fresh surge in bond yields this week.

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29-09-2022 06:05:59 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9725

-0.0009 (-0.09%)

Summary

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EUR/USD

0.9725

-0.0009 (-0.09%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

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1.0861

-0.0027 (-0.25%)

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USD/JPY

144.24

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0.6513

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 EUR/USD0.9725Sell
 GBP/USD1.0861↑ Sell
 USD/JPY144.24↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6513Buy
 USD/CAD1.3614↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY140.27Neutral
 EUR/CHF0.9498↑ Buy
 Gold1,666.40Neutral
 Silver18.863Neutral
 Copper3.3792↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI81.75↑ Sell
 Brent Oil87.98↑ Buy
 Natural Gas6.996↑ Sell
 US Coffee C227.80↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,335.30Neutral
 S&P 5003,719.04↑ Sell
 DAX12,183.28Neutral
 FTSE 1007,005.39Neutral
 Hang Seng17,250.88Buy
 Small Cap 20001,725.13↑ Buy
 IBEX 357,442.20Neutral
 BASF39.415↑ Buy
 Bayer48.19Neutral
 Allianz160.72↑ Buy
 Adidas130.24↑ Buy
 Lufthansa5.772↑ Buy
 Siemens AG99.46↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG7.854↑ Sell
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