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Dollar Down, Set for Weekly Fall as Interest Rate Hike Bets Firm

By Gina Lee AiVIF.com – The dollar was down on Friday morning in Asia, set for its largest weekly fall in eight months. Investors trimmed long positions as they bet that...
Dollar Down, Set for Weekly Fall as Interest Rate Hike Bets Firm © Reuters.

By Gina Lee

AiVIF.com – The dollar was down on Friday morning in Asia, set for its largest weekly fall in eight months. Investors trimmed long positions as they bet that several U.S. interest rate hikes are fully priced in for 2022.

The U.S. Dollar Index that tracks the greenback against a basket of other currencies inched down 0.07% to 94.173 by 10:10 PM ET (3:10 AM GMT). It is down about 0.9% for the week and set for its largest weekly percentage fall since May 2021, halting an around six-month rally.

The JPY/USD pair was down 0.33% to 113.80.

The AUD/USD pair edged down 0.12% to 0.7275 and the NZD/USD pair inched down 0.07% to 0.6855.

The USD/CNY pair inched up 0.01% to 6.3605. Chinese data released earlier in the day showed that exports grew 20.9% year-on-year and imports grew 19.5% year-on-year in December. The trade balance was at $94.46 billion.

The GBP/USD pair edged up 0.15% to 1.3725. Confidence that the U.K. economy can withstand the latest COVID-19 outbreak and that the Bank of England could hike interest rates beginning in February 2022 has sustained the pound, despite the political crisis threatening Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s position.

With U.S. inflation at its highest level since the early 1980s, selling forced the dollar through key support against the euro. The single currency is up more than 0.8% for the week so far, trading at $1.1457.

Meanwhile, U.S. interest rate futures have all but locked in four interest rate hikes in 2022, supported by Fed officials including vice-chair nominee Lael Brainard.

"Investors appear to be signaling that ending quantitative easing, hiking rates four times, and commencing quantitative tightening all in the space of nine months is so aggressive that it will limit the scope for hikes further out," MUFG head of global markets research Derek Halpenny said in a note.

"It has in fact reinforced the belief that peak Fed funds will be below 2%… what can change this? We will need to see data on the economy that convinces the market of stronger growth. That could see thinking on the terminal fed funds rate shift higher. That would be the catalyst for renewed dollar strength,” the note added.

For the riskier Antipodean currencies, investors await labor and inflation data in both Australia and New Zealand later in the month.

"Further evidence of strength in the labor market will trigger expectations... for a potential positive shift in Reserve Bank of Australia rhetoric which will underpin the outlook for the Australian dollar," Rabobank FX strategist Jane Foley told Reuters.

"We expect AUD/USD to push higher to $0.74 in the second half of 2022."

Meanwhile, the Bank of Korea hiked its interest rate to 1.25%a as it handed down its policy decision earlier in the day.

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19-01-2022 15:13:45 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1351

+0.0026 (+0.23%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.1351

+0.0026 (+0.23%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.3627

+0.0033 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

114.26

-0.34 (-0.30%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.7227

+0.0045 (+0.63%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

USD/CAD

1.2489

-0.0023 (-0.18%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

129.70

-0.10 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

1.0391

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

1,843.25

+30.85 (+1.70%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Silver Futures

24.238

+0.746 (+3.18%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Copper Futures

4.4590

+0.0765 (+1.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

85.64

+0.81 (+0.95%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

88.21

+0.70 (+0.80%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

4.024

-0.259 (-6.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

US Coffee C Futures

244.00

+4.40 (+1.84%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,268.28

+10.46 (+0.25%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,573.90

-3.44 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

DAX

15,809.72

+37.16 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,589.66

+26.11 (+0.35%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

24,127.85

+15.07 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

2,077.25

-19.37 (-0.92%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

IBEX 35

8,774.90

-6.70 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

67.800

+0.140 (+0.21%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

52.12

+0.06 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

223.80

-2.15 (-0.95%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

253.60

-0.60 (-0.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.820

-0.309 (-4.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Siemens AG Class N

144.34

+1.74 (+1.22%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.784

-0.142 (-1.19%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

 EUR/USD1.1351Buy
 GBP/USD1.3627↑ Buy
 USD/JPY114.26Sell
 AUD/USD0.7227↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2489Buy
 EUR/JPY129.70↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0391↑ Buy
 Gold1,843.25Neutral
 Silver24.238Neutral
 Copper4.4590↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI85.64↑ Buy
 Brent Oil88.21↑ Buy
 Natural Gas4.024↑ Sell
 US Coffee C244.00↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,268.28↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,573.90↑ Buy
 DAX15,809.72↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,589.66↑ Buy
 Hang Seng24,127.85↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,077.25↑ Sell
 IBEX 358,774.90↑ Sell
 BASF67.800Buy
 Bayer52.12↑ Sell
 Allianz223.80Buy
 Adidas253.60↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.820↑ Sell
 Siemens AG144.34↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG11.784Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,115/ 6,155
(0/ 0) # 1,151
SJC HCM6,115/ 6,175
(0/ 0) # 1,171
SJC Hanoi6,115/ 6,177
(0/ 0) # 1,173
SJC Danang6,115/ 6,177
(0/ 0) # 1,173
SJC Nhatrang6,115/ 6,177
(0/ 0) # 1,173
SJC Cantho6,115/ 6,177
(0/ 0) # 1,173
Cập nhật 19-01-2022 15:13:49
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,842.83+28.361.56%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-IV2400024480
RON 95-II,III2390024370
E5 RON 92-II2291023360
DO 0.05S1838018740
DO 0,001S-V1873019100
Dầu hỏa1719017530
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$85.46+1.331.54%
Brent$87.50+0.961.09%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD22.530,0022.840,00
EUR25.086,6326.492,89
GBP30.098,2131.383,44
JPY192,29203,55
KRW16,4820,08
Cập nhật lúc 18:53:59 19/01/2022
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