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Dollar edges lower; weekly loss looms on dovish Fed

By Peter Nurse AiVIF.com - The U.S. dollar edged lower in early European trade Friday, on course to post a weekly loss on dovish signals from the Federal Reserve. At 02:55 ET...
Dollar edges lower; weekly loss looms on dovish Fed © Reuters
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By Peter Nurse

AiVIF.com - The U.S. dollar edged lower in early European trade Friday, on course to post a weekly loss on dovish signals from the Federal Reserve.

At 02:55 ET (07:55 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, fell 0.1% to 105.840, down more than 1% for the week and close to its three-month low of 105.30 hit last week. 

The dollar has struggled of late as expectations of a less aggressive pace of U.S. monetary tightening as soon as next month saw U.S. Treasury yields sink to seven-week lows earlier Friday.

“The Fed minutes surprised on the dovish side, signaling strong support for slower rate hikes and weaker support for Powell's higher-for-longer rhetoric,” said analysts at ING, in a note. “The dollar could stay pressured for a bit longer, but it's probably embedding a good deal of Fed-related negatives now.” 

Activity is likely to be limited Friday, with traders taking advantage of Thursday’s U.S. Thanksgiving holiday to enjoy a long weekend, and attention will quickly shift to next week and the release of U.S. jobs and growth data for interest rate implications.

EUR/USD rose 0.1% to 1.0418, approaching the four-month high of 1.0481 hit last week, helped by data showing Germany's economy grew by a little more than initially thought in the third quarter.

German gross domestic product expanded by 0.4%, rather than the 0.3% reported in its first reading. That left GDP up 1.2% from a year earlier, rather than the 1.1% in the first reading. 

Additionally, market research firm GfK said German consumer confidence posted a second straight improvement for December, while remaining close to an all-time low at -40.2.

GBP/USD fell 0.2% lower to 1.2087, but is still close to the three-month high of 1.2153 hit in the previous session with the pair on track for a near 2% weekly gain.

USD/JPY rose 0.2% to 138.81, after data showed inflation in Tokyo reached a 40-year high in November, heralding more inflationary pressures for the country.

The risk-sensitive AUD/USD rose 0.1% to 0.6765, NZD/USD slipped 0.1% to 0.6257, while USD/CNY rose 0.1% to 7.1574 with the yuan weakening as the Chinese economy struggles with a record-high jump in daily COVID-19 cases, which saw the reintroduction of strict curbs in several major cities.

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29-11-2023 05:13:02 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0993

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

EUR/USD

1.0993

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

GBP/USD

1.2695

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

147.41

-0.07 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

AUD/USD

0.6647

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3575

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

162.12

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

EUR/CHF

0.9652

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

2,041.60

+29.20 (+1.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Silver Futures

25.045

+0.364 (+1.47%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Copper Futures

3.8480

+0.0480 (+1.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

76.58

+1.72 (+2.30%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

81.46

+0.01 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

2.752

-0.146 (-5.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

172.53

+3.48 (+2.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,347.25

-7.16 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,554.89

+4.46 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

DAX

15,992.67

+26.30 (+0.16%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,455.24

-5.46 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Hang Seng

17,383.50

-145.50 (-0.83%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

US Small Cap 2000

1,792.55

-8.60 (-0.48%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

10,003.40

+67.30 (+0.68%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

42.705

-0.490 (-1.13%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Bayer AG NA

30.56

-1.11 (-3.49%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

230.55

+0.05 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Adidas AG

186.66

+1.42 (+0.77%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.787

+0.064 (+0.83%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Siemens AG Class N

151.42

+1.18 (+0.79%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.090

+0.038 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0993 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2695 Sell  
    USD/JPY 147.41 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6647 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3575 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 162.12 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9652 Neutral  
    Gold 2,041.60 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 25.045 Sell  
    Copper 3.8480 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 76.58 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 81.46 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.752 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 172.53 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,347.25 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,554.89 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,992.67 Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,455.24 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,383.50 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,792.55 Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,003.40 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 42.705 Sell  
    Bayer 30.56 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 230.55 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 186.66 Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.787 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 151.42 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.090 ↑ Buy  
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