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Dollar off 20-year peak as Fed headlines big central bank week

19 Tháng Chín 2022
Dollar off 20-year peak as Fed headlines big central bank week © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. One dollar banknotes are seen in front of displayed stock graph in this illustration taken, February 8, 2021. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo
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By Kevin Buckland

TOKYO (Reuters) - The dollar held about 1% below a two-decade peak versus major peers at the start of a week that sees some dozen central bank decisions, headlined by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday and followed by the Bank of Japan and Bank of England the next day.

The dollar index, which measures the currency against six counterparts, was 0.09% stronger than Friday at 109.66, consolidating after a volatile couple of weeks that took it as high as 110.79 on Sept. 7 for the first time since mid-2002, only to see it retreat to 107.67 six days later.

Investors have been swung by economic data that at times suggested the Fed may slow the pace of rate hikes to lessen the hit to the economy and risk of recession, only to then show inflation still gathering pace.

Fed policymakers have stressed their decisions will be taken meeting by meeting and be dependent on the most recent data.

Currently, markets have priced in at least another 75 basis point increase for this week's Federal Open Market Committee's meeting, and 19% odds of a super-sized full percentage point bump.

This week is also smattered with market holidays that could thin liquidity and result in sharper price moves, with Japan and Britain off on Monday, Australia on Thursday, and Japan again on Friday, among others.

"USD can remain elevated as the FOMC continues to hike aggressively and on growing global recession risks," and could hit a new cyclical peak above 110.8, Commonwealth Bank of Australia (OTC:CMWAY) strategists wrote in a client note.

The poor economic outlook will keep the euro, sterling and pro-cyclical currencies like the Australian dollar under pressure, they said.

The dollar was little changed at 142.905 yen, calming down after its surge to a 24-year high of 144.99 earlier this month.

The BOJ is widely expected to stick with massive stimulus on Thursday, standing out among developed-nation central banks that are all rapidly tightening policy to tame inflation.

At the same time, a turning point may come sooner than many policy watchers expect after the BOJ recently dropped the word "temporary" for its description of consumer price rises, even though the level is much lower than places like the United States and Britain.

Sterling was flat at $1.1426, after hitting a 37-year trough of $1.1351 on Friday.

Markets are split on whether the BOE will raise rates by 50 or 75 basis points on Thursday.

Monetary tightening will clash with new British finance minister Kwasi Kwarteng's emergency mini-budget, to be delivered on Friday, that will give more details about support to help ease the country's cost-of-living crisis.

The euro was little changed at $1.00075, continuing a week of consolidation following a swing between a two-decade trough of $0.9864 on Sept. 6 and a nearly one-month high at $1.0198 a week ago.

The Aussie dollar was little changed at $0.67205 from Friday, when it slid to the lowest level since mid-2020 at $0.6670.

The New Zealand dollar was flat at $0.5989, following its dip to the weakest since May 2020 at $0.5940 at the end of last week.

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29-09-2022 21:05:19 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9740

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

EUR/USD

0.9740

+0.0006 (+0.06%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

GBP/USD

1.0994

+0.0106 (+0.97%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

144.54

+0.38 (+0.27%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6473

-0.0049 (-0.75%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

USD/CAD

1.3726

+0.0121 (+0.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

140.79

+0.46 (+0.32%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

0.9550

+0.0049 (+0.52%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Gold Futures

1,662.55

-7.45 (-0.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Silver Futures

18.663

-0.217 (-1.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

3.3915

+0.0330 (+0.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.61

-0.54 (-0.66%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Brent Oil Futures

87.48

-0.57 (-0.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Natural Gas Futures

6.742

-0.213 (-3.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

US Coffee C Futures

226.28

-2.42 (-1.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,263.75

-71.55 (-2.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

S&P 500

3,635.85

-83.19 (-2.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

DAX

11,919.76

-263.52 (-2.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

FTSE 100

6,852.65

-152.74 (-2.18%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Hang Seng

17,165.87

-85.01 (-0.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,660.95

-64.18 (-3.72%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

IBEX 35

7,271.70

-170.50 (-2.29%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

BASF SE NA O.N.

38.502

-0.913 (-2.32%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Bayer AG NA

47.48

-0.71 (-1.47%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

157.99

-2.73 (-1.70%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Adidas AG

124.90

-5.34 (-4.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.816

+0.044 (+0.76%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Siemens AG Class N

97.43

-2.03 (-2.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.500

-0.354 (-4.51%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

    EUR/USD 0.9740 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.0994 Buy  
    USD/JPY 144.54 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6473 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3726 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 140.79 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9550 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,662.55 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 18.663 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.3915 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.61 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 87.48 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 6.742 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 226.28 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,263.75 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,635.85 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 11,919.76 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 6,852.65 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,165.87 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,660.95 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 7,271.70 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 38.502 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 47.48 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 157.99 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 124.90 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.816 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 97.43 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.500 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,450/ 6,550
(40/ 40) # 1,787
SJC HCM6,455/ 6,555
(35/ 35) # 1,796
SJC Hanoi6,455/ 6,557
(35/ 35) # 1,798
SJC Danang6,455/ 6,557
(35/ 35) # 1,798
SJC Nhatrang6,455/ 6,557
(35/ 35) # 1,798
SJC Cantho6,455/ 6,557
(35/ 35) # 1,798
Cập nhật 29-09-2022 21:05:21
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,653.35 -3.15 -0.19%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.26023.720
RON 95-III22.58023.030
E5 RON 92-II21.78022.210
DO 0.05S22.53022.980
DO 0,001S-V24.51025.000
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.44022.880
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $81.15 +0.17 0.21%
Brent $87.15 +0.57 0.65%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.640,0023.950,00
EUR22.377,5823.630,04
GBP25.019,9326.086,16
JPY160,11169,50
KRW14,3117,43
Cập nhật lúc 17:59:34 29/09/2022
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