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Dollar on track for weekly gain as Fed pushes back on pivot

18 Tháng Mười Một 2022
Dollar on track for weekly gain as Fed pushes back on pivot © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. dollar banknotes are seen in this illustration taken July 17, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration
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By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar was headed for its best week in a month on Friday, as hawkish remarks from Federal Reserve officials and stronger-than-expected retail sales data put the brakes on a pullback that was triggered by signs of softening inflation.

It was helped overnight, too, by a 0.4% fall in sterling after Britain's budget for tax rises and spending cuts disappointed investors.

St Louis Fed President James Bullard was the latest Fed official to push back on market hopes for a pause in interest rate hikes, saying that even on dovish assumptions, the funds rate needs to rise to at least 5-5.25% to curb inflation, from 3.75-4% currently.

More pessimistic assumptions would recommend it climb above 7%, he said.

The dollar rose modestly on the yen following Bullard's comments and is up about 1% for the week, but was straddling40 per dollar as the day wore on, off highs of 140.495 yen.

It also rose 0.9% on the Australian dollar overnight to $0.6690 per Aussie, and is on course for its first weekly gain on the Aussie since mid-October.

Another reason for the dollar bid seemed to be news that North Korea had fired a suspected intercontinental ballistic missile, just as leaders of South Korea, Japan, the United States and other nations meet at the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation (APEC) summit.

The U.S. dollar index is up about 0.16% so far this week to 106.59, stabilising after a small miss on U.S. inflation last week triggered one of the dollar's sharpest weekly drops in the free-floating exchange rate era on excitement about an end to rate hikes.

Treasury yields too rose after Bullard, but not enough to scale the week's peaks, with 10-year yields trading narrowly around 3.76%.

"The Fed obviously doesn't want to acknowledge (that possibility) and has been saying there's a lot more work to be done," said Jason Wong, senior strategist at BNZ in Wellington.

"Markets are looking for further confirmation from the data," he said, with U.S. inflation readings for November and December crucial for discerning a trend.

Fed funds futures pricing currently implies a peak rate just below 5% and for rates to start falling by late 2023. The Fed next meets Dec. 13-14.

Earlier this week, stronger-than-expected retail sales data had also shaken hopes for a pause in hikes, since it seemed to suggest consumers remained in spending mode.

In Japan, data showed consumer prices are surging at their fastest pace in 40 years, potentially putting pressure on authorities to step back from super-easy monetary policies, but the yen showed little immediate reaction.

Later on Friday, British retail sales data is due, and European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde is among a smattering of policymakers due to speak.

The New Zealand dollar was firm at $0.6153 as traders turn their attention to next week's central bank meeting in Wellington, with markets divided over whether a 50 basis point or 75 bp hike is in the offing.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 0542 GMT

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Euro/Dollar

$1.0364 $1.0365 -0.01% -8.84% +1.0391 +1.0358

Dollar/Yen

140.0500 140.1800 -0.33% +21.48% +140.4900 +139.7200

Euro/Yen

145.16 145.29 -0.09% +11.39% +145.5500 +144.9600

Dollar/Swiss

0.9522 0.9523 -0.01% +4.39% +0.9530 +0.9514

Sterling/Dollar

1.1893 1.1868 +0.23% -12.05% +1.1930 +1.1859

Dollar/Canadian

1.3321 1.3328 -0.05% +5.36% +1.3329 +1.3300

Aussie/Dollar

0.6705 0.6690 +0.24% -7.75% +0.6725 +0.6682

NZ

Dollar/Dollar 0.6157 0.6131 +0.51% -9.96% +0.6173 +0.6120

All spots

Tokyo spots

Europe spots

Volatilities

Tokyo Forex market info from BOJ

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EUR/USD

1.0540

+0.0018 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0540

+0.0018 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2292

+0.0039 (+0.31%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

134.30

-0.96 (-0.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6795

-0.0014 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

USD/CAD

1.3473

+0.0041 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

141.59

-0.77 (-0.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9876

+0.0016 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Gold Futures

1,811.40

-3.80 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Silver Futures

23.355

+0.514 (+2.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

Copper Futures

3.8550

+0.0375 (+0.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

80.34

-0.88 (-1.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

85.42

-1.46 (-1.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Natural Gas Futures

6.222

-0.516 (-7.66%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

US Coffee C Futures

162.08

-3.67 (-2.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,977.90

-6.60 (-0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

4,071.70

-4.87 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

DAX

14,529.39

+39.09 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

FTSE 100

7,556.23

-2.26 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Hang Seng

18,675.35

-61.09 (-0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

US Small Cap 2000

1,889.98

+8.30 (+0.44%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

IBEX 35

8,382.60

-22.70 (0.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

BASF SE NA O.N.

48.730

+0.870 (+1.82%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

54.84

-0.19 (-0.35%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

202.65

-1.10 (-0.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Adidas AG

124.26

-0.66 (-0.53%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.738

+0.162 (+2.14%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

134.70

+1.04 (+0.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.024

+0.119 (+1.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

    EUR/USD 1.0540 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2292 Buy  
    USD/JPY 134.30 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6795 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3473 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.59 Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9876 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,811.40 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.355 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.8550 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 80.34 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 85.42 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 6.222 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 162.08 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,977.90 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,071.70 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 14,529.39 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,556.23 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 18,675.35 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,889.98 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,382.60 Neutral  
    BASF 48.730 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 54.84 Neutral  
    Allianz 202.65 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 124.26 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.738 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 134.70 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.024 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,600/ 6,670
(0/ 0) # 1,414
SJC HCM6,615/ 6,695
(-5/ -5) # 1,445
SJC Hanoi6,615/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,447
SJC Danang6,615/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,447
SJC Nhatrang6,615/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,447
SJC Cantho6,615/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,447
Cập nhật 03-12-2022 10:19:14
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,798.03 -4.41 -0.24%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.83024.300
RON 95-III22.70023.150
E5 RON 92-II21.67022.100
DO 0.05S23.21023.670
DO 0,001S-V25.19025.690
Dầu hỏa 2-K23.56024.030
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $80.37 0 0%
Brent $85.95 0 0%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.930,0024.240,00
EUR24.695,6126.077,28
GBP28.769,6729.995,10
JPY174,05184,25
KRW16,0519,55
Cập nhật lúc 10:12:35 03/12/2022
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