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Dollar retreats as investors square up positions after steep gains

10 Tháng Chín 2022
Dollar retreats as investors square up positions after steep gains

By Gertrude Chavez-Dreyfuss and Iain Withers

NEW YORK/LONDON (Reuters) -The dollar fell to a more than one-week low on Friday as investors consolidated gains after a sharp rise against most currencies, ahead of a U.S. inflation report that could determine the size of the Federal Reserve's rate hike at this month's policy meeting.

On the week, the dollar index, which tracks the greenback's value against six major peers, was on pace for its first weekly fall in four on Friday.

"Markets are getting a little nervous about levels, really historic levels, so the market decided not to push the dollar's strength at this juncture and lightened up positions," said Greg Anderson, global head of FX strategy, at BMO Capital Markets in New York.

"Probably position-taking will be light until the FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) meeting. The market looked at everything overnight and decided that this is a good juncture to square up and that process has brought the dollar lower. But this is not a reversal of the trend on dollar strength," he added.

The dollar index dropped as low as 108.35 and was last down 0.5% at 108.96.

Among the big gainers was the euro, which leapt as much as 1.2% to a three-week high of $1.0114, a day after the European Central Bank raised its key interest rate by an unprecedented 75 basis points (bps).

It was last up 0.5% at $1.0048.

"We have yields in Europe that continue to be well supported following the ECB, that was – as expected - hawkish through all the policy instruments. And on the other hand, U.S. yields are backing down a bit," said Samy Chaar, chief economist at Lombard Odier.

"Putting the two together, that's probably what is behind the retreat of the dollar."

Europe still faces a weak economic outlook, with sky-high energy prices squeezing consumers and businesses. European Union energy ministers were split on Friday over whether to cap Russian gas prices, as they met to work out steps to shield citizens.

U.S. rate futures are pricing in an 87% chance of the Fed following the ECB move with its own 75 bps hike this month, with fresh U.S. consumer price data next week likely to be closely watched.

Currencies perceived as riskier bets also benefited from a pick-up in market sentiment to end the week, reflected in gains across European and U.S. stock markets.

Sterling gained 0.8% to $1.1584, after a modest dip the previous day following the death of Queen Elizabeth. Britain's King Charles is set to address the nation later on Friday.

The Bank of England said on Friday it would delay its next monetary policy meeting by one week due to the period of royal mourning.

The Japanese yen was headed for its best daily jump in a month, up 1.2% at 142.34 yen per dollar, as it clawed away from recent 24-year lows.

Bank of Japan Governor Haruhiko Kuroda said on Friday rapid yen moves were undesirable after a meeting with Prime Minister Fumio Kishida.

The Australian dollar was also on track for its best daily gain in a month, up 1.5% versus the dollar to US$0.6850, also rebounding from deep lows.

Even beaten down cryptocurrencies advanced at the dollar's expense, with bitcoin up nearly 9% at $21,033.

========================================================

Currency bid prices at 10:12AM (1412 GMT)

Description RIC Last U.S. Close Pct Change YTD Pct High Bid Low Bid

Previous Change

Session

Dollar index 108.9200 109.5200 -0.54% 13.858% +109.5400 +108.3500

Euro/Dollar $1.0049 $0.9999 +0.51% -11.61% +$1.0114 +$0.9993

Dollar/Yen 142.4300 144.1100 -1.18% +23.71% +144.1000 +141.5050

Euro/Yen 143.14 144.06 -0.64% +9.84% +144.7200 +142.6500

Dollar/Swiss 0.9599 0.9704 -1.08% +5.23% +0.9702 +0.9548

Sterling/Dollar $1.1582 $1.1498 +0.76% -14.34% +$1.1647 +$1.1499

Dollar/Canadian 1.3034 1.3092 -0.44% +3.09% +1.3094 +1.2982

Aussie/Dollar $0.6846 $0.6751 +1.41% -5.81% +$0.6877 +$0.6748

Euro/Swiss 0.9647 0.9701 -0.56% -6.96% +0.9727 +0.9634

Euro/Sterling 0.8674 0.8688 -0.16% +3.26% +0.8707 +0.8670

NZ $0.6113 $0.6056 +1.01% -10.64% +$0.6152 +$0.6055

Dollar/Dollar

Dollar/Norway 9.9115 10.0530 -1.23% +12.71% +10.0410 +9.8455

Euro/Norway 9.9615 10.0394 -0.78% -0.51% +10.0551 +9.9442

Dollar/Sweden 10.6040 10.7038 -0.37% +17.59% +10.7093 +10.5194

Euro/Sweden 10.6570 10.6971 -0.37% +4.13% +10.7128 +10.6290

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EUR/USD

0.9739

+0.0005 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

0.9739

+0.0005 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.0988

+0.0100 (+0.91%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

144.65

+0.49 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6466

-0.0056 (-0.86%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3729

+0.0124 (+0.91%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

EUR/JPY

140.90

+0.56 (+0.40%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9571

+0.0069 (+0.73%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Gold Futures

1,658.40

-11.60 (-0.69%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

18.538

-0.342 (-1.81%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Copper Futures

3.3765

+0.0180 (+0.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.80

-0.35 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

87.71

-0.34 (-0.39%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

6.689

-0.266 (-3.82%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

US Coffee C Futures

225.58

-3.12 (-1.36%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,259.65

-75.65 (-2.27%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

3,630.66

-88.38 (-2.38%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

DAX

11,907.46

-275.82 (-2.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

6,842.28

-163.11 (-2.33%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

17,165.87

-85.01 (-0.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,658.25

-66.88 (-3.88%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

IBEX 35

7,268.94

-173.26 (-2.33%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

BASF SE NA O.N.

38.475

-0.940 (-2.38%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Bayer AG NA

47.34

-0.85 (-1.76%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

158.56

-2.16 (-1.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

Adidas AG

123.52

-6.72 (-5.16%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.777

+0.005 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

Siemens AG Class N

97.41

-2.05 (-2.06%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.532

-0.322 (-4.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

 EUR/USD0.9739↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.0988↑ Buy
 USD/JPY144.65↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6466Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3729Sell
 EUR/JPY140.90↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9571↑ Buy
 Gold1,658.40↑ Buy
 Silver18.538Neutral
 Copper3.3765↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.80↑ Buy
 Brent Oil87.71↑ Buy
 Natural Gas6.689↑ Buy
 US Coffee C225.58Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,259.65Buy
 S&P 5003,630.66Buy
 DAX11,907.46↑ Buy
 FTSE 1006,842.28↑ Buy
 Hang Seng17,165.87↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,658.25↑ Buy
 IBEX 357,268.94↑ Buy
 BASF38.475Neutral
 Bayer47.34↑ Sell
 Allianz158.56↑ Buy
 Adidas123.52↑ Sell
 Lufthansa5.777↑ Sell
 Siemens AG97.41Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG7.532↑ Buy
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