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Dollar slips as positioning and technical selling weigh

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar fell against a basket of currencies on Thursday to a two-month low, a day after data that showed an expected surge in U.S....
Dollar slips as positioning and technical selling weigh © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A picture illustration of U.S. dollar, Swiss Franc, British pound and Euro bank notes, taken in Warsaw January 26, 2011. REUTERS/Kacper Pempel/File Photo

By Saqib Iqbal Ahmed

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The dollar fell against a basket of currencies on Thursday to a two-month low, a day after data that showed an expected surge in U.S. consumer prices in December fell short of offering any new impetus for the Federal Reserve's policy normalization efforts.

The U.S. Dollar Currency Index, which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, was down 0.2% at 94.791, its lowest since Nov. 10. The index, which rose 6.3% in 2021, is down about 1% for the week, on pace for its worst weekly performance in about eight months.

"Coming into the new year the dollar positioning was very much skewed to being long," said Mazen Issa, senior FX strategist at TD Securities.

"Yesterday's inflation numbers, in conjunction with (Fed Chair Jerome) Powell's testimony for his nomination hearing, were basically just in line with what markets had already positioned for," Issa said. "There wasn't anything materially new."

December's monthly U.S. consumer inflation figures, published on Wednesday, were a fraction higher than forecast and the increase in year-on-year consumer prices was, as expected, 7% - its biggest jump since June 1982.

Nevertheless, traders do not see these inflation readings as urgently shifting an already hawkish Fed too much. With at least three interest rate hikes already in the market price, some investors pared bets on further dollar gains.

Powell on Tuesday gave no clear indication that the Fed was in a rush to speed up plans for tightening monetary policy, putting some downward pressure on the greenback, which has benefited in recent weeks from expectations for a rapid pace of policy normalization.

U.S. producer price inflation slowed in December as the cost of goods fell amid signs that stretched supply chains were starting to ease, hopeful signs that inflation has probably peaked.

As continued high inflation eats further into Americans' pocketbooks, Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard on Thursday became the latest, and most senior, U.S. central banker to signal that the Fed is getting ready to start raising interest rates in March.

TD Securities' Issa attributed part of the selling pressure on the greenback to technical factors, with the euro on Wednesday rising above the $1.14 level for the first time since mid-November.

"Once we got through that $1.14 level, momentum players likely flipped to sell dollars on that move," he said.

International Monetary Market speculators exited 2021 with a net long position in the dollar that was close to the largest it has been in two years.

"The scale of the dollar sell-off must surely be partially indicative of positioning," MUFG analyst Derek Halpenny wrote in a research note. (Graphic: Bullish on the buck, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zgvomaywavd/Pasted%20image%201642087117672.png)

Sterling, which has been rallying as traders reckon Britain's economy can withstand a surge in COVID-19 cases and that the Bank of England is going to hike rates again as soon as next month, rose 0.11% to $1.372, its highest since late October.

The Australian dollar, often considered a liquid proxy for risk appetite, was 0.07% higher at $0.7289, its strongest since mid-November.

The broadly weaker greenback helped lift the Canadian dollar for a third day.

Elsewhere, bitcoin was 2.71% lower at $42,743.01, struggling to shake off the selling pressure that sent it to a five-month low of $39,558.70 on Monday.

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28-01-2022 19:36:31 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1150

+0.0007 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/USD

1.1150

+0.0007 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

GBP/USD

1.3408

+0.0023 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

115.22

-0.12 (-0.10%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6990

-0.0041 (-0.58%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

USD/CAD

1.2764

+0.0024 (+0.18%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

128.46

-0.06 (-0.05%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

1.0381

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Gold Futures

1,790.10

-3.00 (-0.17%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

22.485

-0.191 (-0.84%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.3297

-0.0938 (-2.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

87.31

+0.70 (+0.81%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

89.00

+0.83 (+0.94%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Natural Gas Futures

4.667

+0.384 (+8.97%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

US Coffee C Futures

235.85

+3.80 (+1.64%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,136.91

-48.06 (-1.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

4,431.85

+105.34 (+2.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

DAX

15,318.95

-205.32 (-1.32%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

7,466.07

-88.24 (-1.17%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Hang Seng

23,550.08

-256.92 (-1.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,955.70

+24.41 (+1.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,609.80

-96.20 (-1.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

68.510

+0.060 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

52.83

+0.25 (+0.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

227.80

-0.90 (-0.39%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

236.15

-6.00 (-2.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.791

-0.254 (-3.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

138.34

-2.16 (-1.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.912

-0.008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD1.1150↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.3408↑ Buy
 USD/JPY115.22Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6990Sell
 USD/CAD1.2764Sell
 EUR/JPY128.46Sell
 EUR/CHF1.0381↑ Sell
 Gold1,790.10Buy
 Silver22.485↑ Buy
 Copper4.3297↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI87.31Buy
 Brent Oil89.00Buy
 Natural Gas4.667↑ Sell
 US Coffee C235.85↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,136.91↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,431.85↑ Buy
 DAX15,318.95Buy
 FTSE 1007,466.07Neutral
 Hang Seng23,550.08↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,955.70↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,609.80↑ Buy
 BASF68.510↑ Buy
 Bayer52.83↑ Buy
 Allianz227.80↑ Buy
 Adidas236.15↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.791↑ Buy
 Siemens AG138.34↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG11.912↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,170/ 6,230
(0/ 0) # 1,327
SJC HCM6,180/ 6,250
(0/ 0) # 1,344
SJC Hanoi6,180/ 6,252
(0/ 0) # 1,346
SJC Danang6,180/ 6,252
(0/ 0) # 1,346
SJC Nhatrang6,180/ 6,252
(0/ 0) # 1,346
SJC Cantho6,180/ 6,252
(0/ 0) # 1,346
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RON 95-IV2486025350
RON 95-II,III
E5 RON 92-II2359024060
DO 0.05S1890019270
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Dầu hỏa1779018140
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Brent$90.62+0.380.42%
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD22.470,0022.780,00
EUR24.449,3926.003,22
GBP29.369,5930.841,11
JPY189,35201,87
KRW16,1119,77
Cập nhật lúc 07:32:22 29/01/2022
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