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Dollar stabilizes, yen climbs ahead of BOJ meeting

By Peter Nurse AiVIF.com - The U.S. dollar stabilized in early European trade Monday, trading just above a seven-month low on rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will...
Dollar stabilizes, yen climbs ahead of BOJ meeting © Reuters.
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By Peter Nurse

AiVIF.com - The U.S. dollar stabilized in early European trade Monday, trading just above a seven-month low on rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of its interest-rate hikes, while the Japanese yen gained ahead of a Bank of Japan meeting.

At 03:00 ET (08:00 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, edged higher to 101.987, just above levels not seen since early June last year, although volumes are limited with the U.S. on holiday. 

The dollar is down well over 1% so far this year, with last week’s U.S. CPI data showing inflation fell for the first time in more than 2-1/2 years in December.

This seemingly confirmed earlier impressions that inflation is on the retreat, which has led to expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its rate-hike cycle, and that rates will not go as high as previously feared. 

The main U.S. economic release this week will be Wednesday’s U.S. retail sales. They posted their largest decline in 11 months in November and a similar drop in December would add to expectations that the Fed will cool its aggressive rate hikes to avoid more damage to the economy.

USD/JPY rose 0.1% to 128.00, just above its seven-month floor reached earlier Monday, with traders firmly focused on the Bank of Japan’s policy-setting meeting later in the week.

Expectations are growing that the BOJ would make further changes to its yield control policy when it announces its monetary policy decision on Wednesday, following its surprise move last month to widen the band around its 10-year bond yield target.

Prices are climbing in Japan, with inflation in the capital city Tokyo hitting 4% for the first time since 1982, and thus pressure is mounting on the central bank to shift away from its ultra-easy monetary policy.

“USD/JPY has come a long way very fast, but some of the longer-term skews in the FX options market point to a structural shift in the market’s view in USD/JPY,” said analysts at ING, in a note. “We suspect few will want to stand in the way of the USD/JPY downside. 126.50 looks like the clear near-term target for USD/JPY.”

Elsewhere, EUR/USD traded flat at 1.0827, after earlier hitting a fresh nine-month top of 1.0874, while GBP/USD edged lower to 1.2224, just off a new one-month peak.

AUD/USD fell 0.1% to 0.6968, after earlier breaching the key 0.7000 level for the first time since August, while USD/CNY rose 0.1% to 6.7090, with the yuan retreating slightly the central bank also injected more liquidity into markets to shore up economic growth, as the country grapples with its worst yet COVID-19 outbreak.

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04-03-2024 01:18:18 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0837

+0.0034 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

EUR/USD

1.0837

+0.0034 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

GBP/USD

1.2655

+0.0032 (+0.25%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

150.10

+0.12 (+0.08%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

AUD/USD

0.6525

+0.0031 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/CAD

1.3562

-0.0014 (-0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

162.73

+0.67 (+0.41%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9577

+0.0020 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

2,091.60

+36.90 (+1.80%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Silver Futures

23.345

+0.460 (+2.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Copper Futures

3.8585

+0.0115 (+0.30%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

79.81

+1.55 (+1.98%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

83.46

+1.55 (+1.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

1.836

-0.024 (-1.29%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

184.13

-0.22 (-0.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,894.05

+16.28 (+0.33%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

5,137.08

+40.81 (+0.80%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

DAX

17,735.00

-0.07 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

FTSE 100

7,682.50

+52.48 (+0.69%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Hang Seng

16,589.44

+78.00 (+0.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,076.39

+21.55 (+1.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

10,064.70

+63.40 (+0.63%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

BASF SE NA O.N.

47.985

+0.910 (+1.93%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Bayer AG NA

28.33

+0.24 (+0.85%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

251.80

-2.05 (-0.81%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Adidas AG

187.00

-0.12 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.191

+0.003 (+0.04%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Siemens AG Class N

181.28

-1.66 (-0.91%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Deutsche Bank AG

12.566

+0.204 (+1.65%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

    EUR/USD 1.0837 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2655 Sell  
    USD/JPY 150.10 Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6525 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3562 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 162.73 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9577 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,091.60 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.345 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.8585 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.81 Buy  
    Brent Oil 83.46 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 1.836 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 184.13 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,894.05 Buy  
    S&P 500 5,137.08 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,735.00 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,682.50 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 16,589.44 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,076.39 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,064.70 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 47.985 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 28.33 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 251.80 Buy  
    Adidas 187.00 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.191 Sell  
    Siemens AG 181.28 Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.566 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,800/ 7,950
(7,800/ 7,950) # 1,808
SJC HCM7,780/ 8,030
(0/ 0) # 1,804
SJC Hanoi7,780/ 8,032
(0/ 0) # 1,806
SJC Danang7,780/ 8,032
(0/ 0) # 1,806
SJC Nhatrang7,780/ 8,032
(0/ 0) # 1,806
SJC Cantho7,780/ 8,032
(0/ 0) # 1,806
Cập nhật 04-03-2024 01:18:20
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.440,0024.810,00
EUR25.964,8627.389,87
GBP30.324,7531.615,27
JPY158,96168,25
KRW15,9719,35
Cập nhật lúc 18:52:54 03/03/2024
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