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Dollar stabilizes, yen climbs ahead of BOJ meeting

By Peter Nurse AiVIF.com - The U.S. dollar stabilized in early European trade Monday, trading just above a seven-month low on rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will...
Dollar stabilizes, yen climbs ahead of BOJ meeting © Reuters.
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By Peter Nurse

AiVIF.com - The U.S. dollar stabilized in early European trade Monday, trading just above a seven-month low on rising expectations that the Federal Reserve will slow the pace of its interest-rate hikes, while the Japanese yen gained ahead of a Bank of Japan meeting.

At 03:00 ET (08:00 GMT), the Dollar Index, which tracks the greenback against a basket of six other currencies, edged higher to 101.987, just above levels not seen since early June last year, although volumes are limited with the U.S. on holiday. 

The dollar is down well over 1% so far this year, with last week’s U.S. CPI data showing inflation fell for the first time in more than 2-1/2 years in December.

This seemingly confirmed earlier impressions that inflation is on the retreat, which has led to expectations that the U.S. Federal Reserve is nearing the end of its rate-hike cycle, and that rates will not go as high as previously feared. 

The main U.S. economic release this week will be Wednesday’s U.S. retail sales. They posted their largest decline in 11 months in November and a similar drop in December would add to expectations that the Fed will cool its aggressive rate hikes to avoid more damage to the economy.

USD/JPY rose 0.1% to 128.00, just above its seven-month floor reached earlier Monday, with traders firmly focused on the Bank of Japan’s policy-setting meeting later in the week.

Expectations are growing that the BOJ would make further changes to its yield control policy when it announces its monetary policy decision on Wednesday, following its surprise move last month to widen the band around its 10-year bond yield target.

Prices are climbing in Japan, with inflation in the capital city Tokyo hitting 4% for the first time since 1982, and thus pressure is mounting on the central bank to shift away from its ultra-easy monetary policy.

“USD/JPY has come a long way very fast, but some of the longer-term skews in the FX options market point to a structural shift in the market’s view in USD/JPY,” said analysts at ING, in a note. “We suspect few will want to stand in the way of the USD/JPY downside. 126.50 looks like the clear near-term target for USD/JPY.”

Elsewhere, EUR/USD traded flat at 1.0827, after earlier hitting a fresh nine-month top of 1.0874, while GBP/USD edged lower to 1.2224, just off a new one-month peak.

AUD/USD fell 0.1% to 0.6968, after earlier breaching the key 0.7000 level for the first time since August, while USD/CNY rose 0.1% to 6.7090, with the yuan retreating slightly the central bank also injected more liquidity into markets to shore up economic growth, as the country grapples with its worst yet COVID-19 outbreak.

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27-01-2023 20:45:59 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0872

-0.0017 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0872

-0.0017 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2376

-0.0030 (-0.24%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

129.68

-0.52 (-0.40%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

AUD/USD

0.7117

+0.0003 (+0.04%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

USD/CAD

1.3323

+0.0003 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

140.99

-0.80 (-0.56%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

1.0020

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

1,932.35

+2.35 (+0.12%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Silver Futures

23.747

-0.273 (-1.14%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Copper Futures

4.2568

-0.0107 (-0.25%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

82.22

+1.21 (+1.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

88.64

+1.17 (+1.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

2.801

-0.047 (-1.65%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

US Coffee C Futures

167.10

-0.05 (-0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,163.65

-10.33 (-0.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

S&P 500

4,060.43

+44.21 (+1.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

DAX

15,104.95

-27.90 (-0.18%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

FTSE 100

7,759.80

-1.31 (-0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Hang Seng

22,688.90

+122.12 (+0.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,903.06

+12.75 (+0.67%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

9,035.73

+0.13 (+0.00%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.595

-0.025 (-0.05%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Bayer AG NA

56.22

+0.18 (+0.32%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

221.60

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Adidas AG

147.64

+2.36 (+1.62%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.749

+0.022 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

143.55

-0.51 (-0.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Deutsche Bank AG

12.305

+0.173 (+1.43%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

    EUR/USD 1.0872 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2376 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 129.68 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.7117 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3323 Sell  
    EUR/JPY 140.99 Sell  
    EUR/CHF 1.0020 Sell  
    Gold 1,932.35 Buy  
    Silver 23.747 Neutral  
    Copper 4.2568 Neutral  
    Crude Oil WTI 82.22 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 88.64 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.801 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 167.10 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,163.65 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,060.43 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,104.95 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,759.80 Sell  
    Hang Seng 22,688.90 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,903.06 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,035.73 Sell  
    BASF 52.595 Sell  
    Bayer 56.22 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 221.60 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 147.64 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 9.749 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 143.55 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.305 Neutral  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,720/ 6,820
(30/ 30) # 1,331
SJC HCM6,750/ 6,850
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Cập nhật 27-01-2023 20:46:01
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$1,933.64 +3.07 0.16%
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.260,0023.630,00
EUR24.857,5526.249,47
GBP28.270,1829.475,66
JPY175,71186,02
KRW16,4320,02
Cập nhật lúc 18:54:25 27/01/2023
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