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Dollar steadies as boost from Fed rate rise expectation fades

Thursday, January 6, 2022
Dollar steadies as boost from Fed rate rise expectation fades © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: An employee counts U.S. dollar bills at a money exchange in central Cairo, Egypt, March 20, 2019. REUTERS/Mohamed Abd El Ghany

By Saikat Chatterjee

LONDON (Reuters) -The U.S. dollar took a breather in its climb towards a 14-month high on Thursday, after riding the tailwind of minutes from the Federal Reserve's December policy meeting which bolstered expectations of a U.S. rate hike as early as March.

The meeting minutes showed officials had discussed shrinking the Fed's overall asset holdings as well as raising interest rates sooner than expected to fight inflation.

Money markets are now pricing nearly an 80% probability of a U.S. interest rate rise by March and more than 80 basis points of cumulative rate increases in 2022, a huge shift in expectations as only three months ago investors were not expecting the first U.S. rate hike until the summer of 2023.

Elsa Lignos, head of FX strategy at RBC Capital Markets said that while rate hike expectations for 2022 have propped up the dollar, the possibility of more rate hikes for 2023 could provide further strength to the currency.

"The consensus narrative seems to be the Fed will ‘overtighten’ in 2022 and be forced into slowing down materially in 2023", she wrote in a note.

"We think it’s a repricing higher for 2023 which has the most potential to boost USD this year – and we are watching this as a key driver for the dollar", she added.

At 1220 GMT, the dollar index which measures the greenback against major peers was unchanged on the day at 96.17 after creeping up closer to a 14-month high of 96.93.

The greenback nevertheless made substantial gains against some rivals like the Australian dollar which at one point lost more than 1%.

The Aussie gradually recouped some losses, stabilising down 0.70% at $0.717. The yen also limited its losses from a high of 116.18 per dollar to 115.84, down 0.23%.

Sterling traded down 0.13% at $1.3538, having retreated overnight from the $1.3599 level - its highest in nearly two months - following the Fed minutes.

The euro stood broadly unchanged, slightly above the $1.13 mark as it continued to consolidate in the middle of the trading range in which it has sat since mid-November.

Cryptocurrencies were among the hardest hit in the overnight market selloff with Bitcoin nursing losses below the $43,000 levels after falling more than 5% overnight.

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28-01-2022 19:46:32 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1150

+0.0007 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

EUR/USD

1.1150

+0.0007 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

GBP/USD

1.3408

+0.0023 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

115.22

-0.12 (-0.10%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6990

-0.0041 (-0.58%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

USD/CAD

1.2764

+0.0024 (+0.18%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

128.46

-0.06 (-0.05%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

1.0381

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Gold Futures

1,790.10

-3.00 (-0.17%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

22.485

-0.191 (-0.84%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.3297

-0.0938 (-2.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

87.31

+0.70 (+0.81%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

89.00

+0.83 (+0.94%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Natural Gas Futures

4.667

+0.384 (+8.97%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

US Coffee C Futures

235.85

+3.80 (+1.64%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,136.91

-48.06 (-1.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

4,431.85

+105.34 (+2.43%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

DAX

15,318.95

-205.32 (-1.32%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

7,466.07

-88.24 (-1.17%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Hang Seng

23,550.08

-256.92 (-1.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,955.70

+24.41 (+1.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,609.80

-96.20 (-1.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

68.510

+0.060 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

52.83

+0.25 (+0.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

227.80

-0.90 (-0.39%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

236.15

-6.00 (-2.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.791

-0.254 (-3.61%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

138.34

-2.16 (-1.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.912

-0.008 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD1.1150↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.3408↑ Buy
 USD/JPY115.22Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6990Sell
 USD/CAD1.2764Sell
 EUR/JPY128.46Sell
 EUR/CHF1.0381↑ Sell
 Gold1,790.10Buy
 Silver22.485↑ Buy
 Copper4.3297↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI87.31Buy
 Brent Oil89.00Buy
 Natural Gas4.667↑ Sell
 US Coffee C235.85↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,136.91↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,431.85↑ Buy
 DAX15,318.95Buy
 FTSE 1007,466.07Neutral
 Hang Seng23,550.08↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,955.70↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,609.80↑ Buy
 BASF68.510↑ Buy
 Bayer52.83↑ Buy
 Allianz227.80↑ Buy
 Adidas236.15↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.791↑ Buy
 Siemens AG138.34↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG11.912↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,170/ 6,230
(0/ 0) # 1,327
SJC HCM6,180/ 6,250
(0/ 0) # 1,344
SJC Hanoi6,180/ 6,252
(0/ 0) # 1,346
SJC Danang6,180/ 6,252
(0/ 0) # 1,346
SJC Nhatrang6,180/ 6,252
(0/ 0) # 1,346
SJC Cantho6,180/ 6,252
(0/ 0) # 1,346
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KRW16,1119,77
Cập nhật lúc 07:38:42 29/01/2022
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