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Dollar subdued ahead of Fed minutes, yen at 6-mth high

03 Tháng Giêng 2023
Dollar subdued ahead of Fed minutes, yen at 6-mth high © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won
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By Ankur Banerjee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The U.S. dollar eased on Tuesday as investors awaited the minutes from the last U.S. Federal Reserve policy meeting, and the yen was its strongest in six months amid speculation that the Bank of Japan might move away from its ultra-easy policy.

The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major currencies, has made a subdued start to 2023 and was last down 0.096% at 103.540. The dollar index rose 8% last year in its biggest annual jump since 2015 on the back of the Fed raising interest rates to tackle inflation.

The yen strengthened 0.65% to 129.88 per dollar, its strongest since June, though it lost 12% against the dollar in 2022.

Speculation that the BOJ was set to start shifting off its ultra-loose policy flared when the central bank widened the yield cap range on 10-year Japanese government bonds (JGBs) last month, and it was further fuelled by a Nikkei report on Saturday that the BOJ was considering raising its inflation forecasts in January to show price growth close to its 2% target in fiscal 2023 and 2024.

"The market obviously wants to believe that tinkering with the yield curve cap is not once and done," Moh Siong Sim, currency strategist at Bank of Singapore, adding that the market was looking for further signals that there would be more tweaks to the yield curve control settings.

Investor attention this week is fixed on the minutes of the Fed's December policymaking meeting, which are due to be released on Wednesday, with traders looking for clues to what rate path is likely to be taken in 2023.

The U.S. central bank raised interest rates by 50 basis points last month after delivering four consecutive 75-basis point hikes in the year, but has said it may need to keep interest rates higher for longer to tame inflation.

Citi strategists said the minutes could reveal more divergence between doves and hawks regarding how high the terminal rate should go.

"We will also be looking for any guide on what could determine the size of the hike at the February meeting, but would not expect any concrete guidance," Citi said, adding they continue to expect a 50 basis points hike in February.

The dollar is likely to consolidate as "market activity gradually picks up this week," said Christopher Wong, currency strategist at OCBC Bank in Singapore.

U.S. payrolls data, due to be released on Friday, is expected to show that the labour market remains tight.

ING economists said in a note that the Fed had talked up the importance of the payrolls data for the inflation outlook, but they noted that wage growth had not caused the inflation and it would not be the reason that it ultimately falls.

Meanwhile, China's factory activity shrank for the third straight month in December and at the sharpest pace in nearly three years as COVID infections swept through production lines after Beijing's abrupt reversal of anti-virus measures.

The offshore Chinese yuan fell 0.45% versus the greenback at $6.8954 per dollar.

The Australian dollar fell 0.06% versus the greenback at $0.680, while the kiwi rose 0.10% at $0.632.

The euro was up 0.09% to $1.0672, while sterling was last trading at $1.2076, up 0.26% on the day.

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28-11-2023 17:18:29 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0952

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0952

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2635

+0.0010 (+0.08%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

USD/JPY

148.57

-0.10 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6618

+0.0012 (+0.18%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

USD/CAD

1.3582

-0.0033 (-0.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

162.73

-0.14 (-0.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9645

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

2,015.25

+2.85 (+0.14%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

24.698

+0.017 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Copper Futures

3.8053

+0.0053 (+0.14%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

75.89

+1.03 (+1.38%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

80.89

+1.02 (+1.28%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

2.976

+0.030 (+1.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

171.32

+1.72 (+1.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,338.55

-15.86 (-0.36%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,550.43

-8.91 (-0.20%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

DAX

15,953.25

-13.12 (-0.08%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

FTSE 100

7,424.38

-36.32 (-0.49%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Hang Seng

17,383.50

-145.50 (-0.83%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

US Small Cap 2000

1,801.15

-6.35 (-0.35%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

IBEX 35

9,967.04

+30.94 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

42.685

-0.510 (-1.18%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Bayer AG NA

30.98

-0.68 (-2.15%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

230.93

+0.43 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Adidas AG

184.58

-0.67 (-0.36%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.763

+0.040 (+0.52%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

150.38

+0.13 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.078

+0.026 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

    EUR/USD 1.0952 Neutral  
    GBP/USD 1.2635 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 148.57 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6618 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3582 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 162.73 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9645 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,015.25 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 24.698 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.8053 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 75.89 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 80.89 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.976 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 171.32 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,338.55 Buy  
    S&P 500 4,550.43 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,953.25 Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,424.38 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,383.50 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,801.15 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 9,967.04 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 42.685 Sell  
    Bayer 30.98 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 230.93 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 184.58 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.763 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 150.38 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.078 ↑ Buy  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,250/ 7,350
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Cập nhật 28-11-2023 17:18:31
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$2,015.85 +0.5 0.02%
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RON 95-V23.71024.180
RON 95-III23.02023.480
E5 RON 92-II21.69022.120
DO 0.05S20.28020.680
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Dầu hỏa 2-K20.94021.350
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WTI $75.95 +0.66 0.01%
Brent $80.87 +0.81 0.01%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.050,0024.420,00
EUR25.848,9127.268,27
GBP29.811,3031.080,78
JPY158,66167,95
KRW16,2019,64
Cập nhật lúc 17:13:29 28/11/2023
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