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Dreyfus sees larger Brazil shift to ethanol, warns of sugar shortage

12 Tháng Năm 2022
Dreyfus sees larger Brazil shift to ethanol, warns of sugar shortage © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A sugarcane field in development stage is seen at a farm in Jacarezinho, Brazil January 1, 2019. REUTERS/Marcelo Texeira/File Photo

By Marcelo Teixeira

NEW YORK (Reuters) -Global commodities trader Louis Dreyfus projected on Wednesday that Brazilian mills will divert a larger-than-expected amount of sugarcane to ethanol production due to high energy prices, causing a reduction in global sugar supplies.

Dreyfus sugar director Enrico Biancheri said during the Citi ISO Datagro sugar conference in New York that Brazil's center-south (CS) mills would produce only 29 million tonnes of sugar in the new season that started in April, a view that would be in the low end of analysts' estimates so far.

"At current prices the world is heading to a shortage of sugar, due to a ethanol-oriented crop in Brazil," Biancheri said, adding that sugar prices will need to rise to a premium over ethanol prices to cause an increase in sugar production.

Brazil mills have certain flexibility to change cane allocation to sugar or ethanol, depending on market prices. Due to high energy prices, there was an expectation in the sugar market that mills would shift some cane to ethanol, but Dreyfus sees that shift as more drastic.

As a comparison, U.S. broker and analyst StoneX projected on Tuesday that Brazil CS mills would produce 33.9 million tonnes of sugar, near 4 million tonnes above Dreyfus' estimate.

Biancheri said that ethanol sales are currently giving mills a financial return that would be equivalent to a sugar price of 20.18 cents per pound. Sugar was trading on Wednesday on ICE (NYSE:ICE) at 18.54 cents/lb.

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27-05-2022 14:09:40 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0749↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2630Buy
 USD/JPY127.08↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7132↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2758Sell
 EUR/JPY136.60↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0310↑ Buy
 Gold1,852.82Buy
 Silver22.122↑ Sell
 Copper4.2705↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI113.83Neutral
 Brent Oil114.00Buy
 Natural Gas8.785Neutral
 US Coffee C225.78↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,758.85↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,057.84↑ Sell
 DAX14,288.00↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,566.84↑ Sell
 Hang Seng20,598.00Neutral
 Small Cap 20001,838.24Buy
 IBEX 358,910.50Buy
 BASF50.905Neutral
 Bayer65.89↑ Buy
 Allianz199.68↑ Buy
 Adidas177.18↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.890↑ Buy
 Siemens AG119.92↑ Buy
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Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,830/ 6,940
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SJC HCM6,840/ 6,940
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SJC Hanoi6,840/ 6,942
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SJC Danang6,840/ 6,942
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Cập nhật 27-05-2022 14:09:43
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Cập nhật lúc 14:02:55 27/05/2022
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