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Duolingo Soars 18% on Strong Earnings and Outlook, Raymond James Upgrades Rating

Shares of Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL) are up almost 18% in premarket trading Friday after the company issued a stronger-than-expected FY revenue guidance. Duolingo reported a Q1 loss...
Duolingo Soars 18% on Strong Earnings and Outlook, Raymond James Upgrades Rating © Reuters. Duoling (DUOL) Stock Soars 18% on Strong Earnings and Outlook, Raymond James Upgrades to Outperform

Shares of Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL) are up almost 18% in premarket trading Friday after the company issued a stronger-than-expected FY revenue guidance.

Duolingo reported a Q1 loss per share of 31c, while analysts were looking for a loss per share of 52c. Revenue came in at $81.2 million, topping the consensus estimates of $77.5 million.

The company reported 49.2 million monthly active users (MAUs) and 12.5 million daily active users (DAUs) in the period. The number of paid subscribers in the quarter stood at 2.9 million.

Looking forward, Duolingo expects Q2 revenue in the range of $84 million to $87 million, ahead of the analyst consensus of $81.4 million. The company forecasts an adjusted EBITDA loss in the range of $1 million to $4 million in the second quarter, while analysts were projecting a $49,000 profit.

Duolingo expects FY revenue in the range of $349 million to $358 million, down from the previous forecast range of $372 million to $382 million, and compared to the analyst consensus of $338.8 million.

The company anticipates FY adjusted EBITDA of $0 to $3 million, compared to the previously expected EBITDA loss of $1 million to $5 million, while analysts were expecting an estimated loss of $2.73 million.

"Thanks to our strong results this quarter, we are increasing our guidance for bookings, revenue, and adjusted EBITDA for the full-year 2022,” the company added.

Raymond James analyst Aaron Kessler upgraded DUOL stock to Outperform from Market Perform with a $98.00 per share price target. The analyst is more confident in the DUOL story amid an acceleration in user metrics.

“The company continues to demonstrate strong momentum, and we believe the valuation is attractive at ~6x 2023 EV/revenues given ~25% LT growth and 30%+ LT EBITDA margins… Our positive view of Duolingo is based on: 1) large learning and language TAM that is increasingly shifting to digital; 2)Duolingo’s market leadership and product and tech-driven culture; 3) freemium model drives strong user growth and cost-effective marketing; and 4) we expect 25%+ long-term revenue growth and 30-35% EBITDA margins,” Kessler said in a client note.

Goldman Sachs analyst Eric Sheridan reiterated a Neutral rating but noted a “strong start” to 2022 from the company. A new price target is $106.00 per share, down from $120.00.

“Longer term, we remain constructive on DUOL’s business model as a leader in the global language learning market with users, engagement, and monetization well above that of its direct competitors. The company's freemium model, which generates revenue primarily from paid subscriptions and ads served to free users, is disrupting the $61bn language learning market, only 20% of which is currently online and a substantially lower percentage currently on mobile. Over the next few quarters, we see the short term debates focused on forward user growth, payer conversion potential, and whether the growth opportunities are priced in at current levels.”

By Senad Karaahmetovic

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23-05-2022 10:09:16 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0593

+0.0032 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

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EUR/USD

1.0593

+0.0032 (+0.31%)

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GBP/USD

1.2549

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USD/JPY

127.32

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AUD/USD

0.7097

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USD/CAD

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EUR/JPY

134.87

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EUR/CHF

1.0289

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Gold Futures

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Silver Futures

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US Coffee C Futures

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,657.03

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1,773.27

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Adidas AG

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.852

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115.08

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 EUR/USD1.0593↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2549↑ Buy
 USD/JPY127.32↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.7097↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2793↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY134.87Sell
 EUR/CHF1.0289Neutral
 Gold1,852.74↑ Buy
 Silver21.886↑ Buy
 Copper4.3095↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI110.86↑ Buy
 Brent Oil110.69↑ Buy
 Natural Gas8.177↑ Buy
 US Coffee C216.48↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,657.03↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,901.36↑ Buy
 DAX13,981.91Buy
 FTSE 1007,389.98Neutral
 Hang Seng20,481.50↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,773.27↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,484.50Neutral
 BASF48.850Buy
 Bayer63.74Buy
 Allianz195.58Buy
 Adidas172.80Buy
 Lufthansa6.852↑ Sell
 Siemens AG115.08Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG9.362Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,880/ 6,980
(5/ 5) # 1,773
SJC HCM6,895/ 6,985
(0/ 0) # 1,778
SJC Hanoi6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,780
SJC Danang6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,780
SJC Nhatrang6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,780
SJC Cantho6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,780
Cập nhật 23-05-2022 10:09:19
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,853.14+6.460.35%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V30.58031.190
RON 95-III29.98030.570
E5 RON 92-II28.95029.520
DO 0.05S26.65027.180
DO 0,001S-V27.45027.990
Dầu hỏa 2-K25.16025.660
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$110.28-0.57-0.52%
Brent$111.07-0.53-0.48%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.005,0023.315,00
EUR23.899,8625.238,69
GBP28.277,1029.483,51
JPY176,47186,83
KRW15,8019,25
Cập nhật lúc 10:04:25 23/05/2022
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