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ECB firms up expectations for July interest rate hike

12 Tháng Năm 2022
ECB firms up expectations for July interest rate hike © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: President of European Central Bank Christine Lagarde addresses a news conference following the meeting of the Governing Council's monetary in Frankfurt, Germany March 10, 2022. Daniel Roland/Pool via REUTERS

LJUBLJANA (Reuters) -The European Central Bank has firmed up expectations that it will raise its benchmark interest rate in July for the first time in more than a decade to fight record-high inflation, with some policymakers even hinting on Wednesday at further hikes after the first.

With ECB policymakers clamouring for a rate hike for weeks, President Christine Lagarde has finally thrown her weight behind such a move, saying the central bank was likely to end its stimulus programme early in the third quarter, followed by a rate hike that could come just "a few weeks" later.

Most other major central banks have already raised borrowing costs but the ECB, which had fought too low inflation for a decade, is still pumping cash into the financial system via bond purchases.

"My expectation is that they should be concluded early in the third quarter," Lagarde said at a conference in the Slovenian capital.

"The first rate hike, informed by the ECB’s forward guidance on the interest rates, will take place some time after the end of net asset purchases...(and) this could mean a period of only a few weeks."

Inflation hit 7.5% in the euro zone last month and even measures that strip out food and energy prices rose above the ECB's 2% target.

"What started as a one-off shock has now become a more broad-based phenomenon," ECB policymaker Bostjan Vasle said at the same event. "When the circumstances change, the policy response must follow," the Slovenian governor added.

ECB board member Isabel Schnabel said the ECB needed to act now to protect its credibility and stop inflation expectations, which have risen to 2% or slightly above, from spiralling out of control.

GROWING CALLS

The number of ECB policymakers calling for a July hike has been growing almost every day and on Wednesday alone included board member Frank Elderson, French central bank governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau and Bundesbank president Joachim Nagel.

"I think that from this summer onwards, the ECB will gradually raise its interest rates," Villeroy de Galhau told France Inter radio.

Estonian governor Madis Mueller also hinted at a series of hikes that could lift the ECB rate on bank deposits, which is currently -0.5%, above zero by the end of the year for what would be the first time since 2014.

"Even if we go by 25 basis point increments, we may get to a positive rate by the end of the year," he told Reuters in an interview.

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25-05-2022 05:42:39 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0735

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0735

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2546

+0.0017 (+0.14%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

126.86

+0.06 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

AUD/USD

0.7118

+0.0015 (+0.22%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

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USD/CAD

1.2816

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

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↑ Sell

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Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

136.18

+0.07 (+0.05%)

Summary

Sell

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Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

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EUR/CHF

1.0313

+0.0006 (+0.05%)

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↑ Sell

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Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

1,864.56

-0.52 (-0.03%)

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Neutral

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Silver Futures

22.096

-0.003 (-0.01%)

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Neutral

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Copper Futures

4.3172

+0.0039 (+0.09%)

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Sell

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

110.63

+0.35 (+0.32%)

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↑ Buy

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Brent Oil Futures

111.00

+0.22 (+0.20%)

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Neutral

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Natural Gas Futures

8.918

+0.026 (+0.29%)

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US Coffee C Futures

213.83

-1.92 (-0.89%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

Buy (7)

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,647.56

-60.83 (-1.64%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

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Buy (4)

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S&P 500

3,941.48

-32.27 (-0.81%)

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Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

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Buy (2)

Sell (6)

DAX

13,919.75

-255.65 (-1.80%)

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↑ Sell

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Sell (12)

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Buy (2)

Sell (5)

FTSE 100

7,484.35

-29.09 (-0.39%)

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Sell

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Sell (7)

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Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Hang Seng

20,112.10

-357.96 (-1.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,768.22

-24.55 (-1.37%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (2)

IBEX 35

8,631.20

+5.40 (+0.06%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

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BASF SE NA O.N.

48.755

-0.980 (-1.97%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Buy (8)

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Bayer AG NA

63.29

-1.18 (-1.83%)

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Neutral

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

197.86

-1.52 (-0.76%)

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Adidas AG

171.20

-4.28 (-2.44%)

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Neutral

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.496

-0.407 (-5.90%)

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Siemens AG Class N

114.20

-2.50 (-2.14%)

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10.084

+0.066 (+0.66%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

 EUR/USD1.0735↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2546↑ Buy
 USD/JPY126.86↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.7118↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2816↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY136.18Sell
 EUR/CHF1.0313↑ Sell
 Gold1,864.56Neutral
 Silver22.096Neutral
 Copper4.3172Sell
 Crude Oil WTI110.63↑ Buy
 Brent Oil111.00Neutral
 Natural Gas8.918Sell
 US Coffee C213.83↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,647.56Neutral
 S&P 5003,941.48Neutral
 DAX13,919.75↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,484.35Sell
 Hang Seng20,112.10↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,768.22↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,631.20↑ Buy
 BASF48.755↑ Buy
 Bayer63.29Neutral
 Allianz197.86Sell
 Adidas171.20Neutral
 Lufthansa6.496↑ Buy
 Siemens AG114.20↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.084↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,900/ 6,990
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Cập nhật 25-05-2022 05:42:42
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
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RON 95-V31.25031.870
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E5 RON 92-II29.63030.220
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$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
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EUR24.230,6125.587,89
GBP28.221,9329.425,91
JPY177,16187,56
KRW15,8619,33
Cập nhật lúc 18:54:49 24/05/2022
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