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Euro just off two-decade low, volatility at highest since March 2020

By Stefano Rebaudo (Reuters) - The euro edged higher on Thursday, supported by rising risk appetite but still within striking distance of its two-decade low as surging energy...
Euro just off two-decade low, volatility at highest since March 2020 © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A woman holds Euro banknotes in this illustration taken May 30, 2022. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration

By Stefano Rebaudo

(Reuters) - The euro edged higher on Thursday, supported by rising risk appetite but still within striking distance of its two-decade low as surging energy prices fuel recession fears.

Meanwhile, implied volatility in the forex market was still at its highest levels since late March 2020 at 11.2%, reflecting a nervous market while investors look at the parity between the single currency and the dollar.

Equities managed gradual gains on Thursday as investors grappled with the risks of a recession and a potential pause in interest rate hikes.

"Parity (between the euro and the dollar) is within reach, and one can expect the market to want to see it now," said Moritz Paysen forex and rates advisor at Berenberg.

The euro rose 0.1% to 1.019 after hitting a two-decade low at 1.01615 on Wednesday.

According to George Saravelos, global head of forex research at Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn), "if Europe and the U.S. slip-slide into a recession in Q3 while the Fed is still hiking rates, these levels (0.95-0.97 in EUR/USD) could well be reached."

"The two key catalysts to mark a turn in the USD embedded in our forecasts are a signal that the Fed is entering a protracted pause in its tightening cycle and/or a clear peak in European energy tensions via an end to Ukraine hostilities," he said.

The dollar index -- which measures the currency against six counterparts -- slipped 0.1% to 106.97, pulling away from Wednesday's peak of 107.27, a level not seen since late 2002.

Commodity-linked currencies strengthened as copper prices climbed. Some investors returned to the market on Thursday after heightened recession fears sent the red metal to its lowest level in nearly 20 months.

The Australian dollar rose 0.6% to 0.6821 against the U.S. dollar after recently hitting its lowest since May 2020 at 0.6762.

The Swiss Franc was still hovering around its highest since 2015 against the euro at 0.9872.

Earlier this week, inflation rising above the Swiss National Bank's (SNB) 0-2% target range for the fifth month fuelled talks that the central bank could soon tighten its policy. Last month it hiked its policy rate for the first time in 15 years.

The SNB has signalled it is prepared to see the Swiss franc strengthen to choke off imported inflation.

Britain's pound rose versus a weakening dollar on Thursday after hitting a more than two-year the day before as Prime Minister Boris Johnson clung to power despite the resignation of key cabinet members.

Sterling was up 0.3% to 1.1935, while being flat against the single currency at 85.48 pence.

Analysts said that the pound was mostly moving on broader economic concerns about a global recession, rather than Britain's political turmoil. Bitcoin rose 0.2% and was last trading at $20,413. Ether fell 0.9% to 1,174.

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29-03-2024 15:24:22 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0773

-0.0014 (-0.13%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0773

-0.0014 (-0.13%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2622

0.0001 (0.00%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

151.37

0.00 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6510

-0.0005 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3551

+0.0014 (+0.10%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

163.05

-0.20 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

EUR/CHF

0.9717

-0.0010 (-0.10%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

2,254.80

42.10 (1.90%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

25.100

+0.002 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

4.0115

-0.0003 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

83.11

+1.76 (+2.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

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Brent Oil Futures

86.99

+0.04 (+0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

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Indicators:

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Natural Gas Futures

1.752

+0.034 (+1.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

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US Coffee C Futures

188.53

-2.12 (-1.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

5,082.85

+1.11 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

S&P 500

5,254.35

+5.86 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (8)

DAX

18,504.51

+27.42 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,952.62

+20.64 (+0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Hang Seng

16,541.42

+148.58 (+0.91%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,120.15

+5.80 (+0.27%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (4)

IBEX 35

11,074.60

-36.70 (-0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.930

-0.320 (-0.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

28.43

+0.01 (+0.04%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

277.80

+0.35 (+0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Adidas AG

207.00

+2.30 (+1.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.281

+0.104 (+1.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Siemens AG Class N

176.96

+0.04 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Deutsche Bank AG

14.582

-0.030 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Indicators:

Buy (7)

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 EUR/USD1.0773Neutral
 GBP/USD1.2622Buy
 USD/JPY151.37↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6510↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3551Neutral
 EUR/JPY163.05↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9717Neutral
 Gold2,254.80Buy
 Silver25.100↑ Buy
 Copper4.0115↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI83.11↑ Buy
 Brent Oil86.99Neutral
 Natural Gas1.752↑ Sell
 US Coffee C188.53↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 505,082.85↑ Sell
 S&P 5005,254.35↑ Sell
 DAX18,504.51↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,952.62↑ Sell
 Hang Seng16,541.42Neutral
 Small Cap 20002,120.15Neutral
 IBEX 3511,074.60↑ Sell
 BASF52.930↑ Buy
 Bayer28.43Buy
 Allianz277.80↑ Buy
 Adidas207.00↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.281↑ Sell
 Siemens AG176.96↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG14.582↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank7,910/ 8,080
(30/ 30) # 1,364
SJC HCM7,900/ 8,100
(0/ 0) # 1,384
SJC Hanoi7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
SJC Danang7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
SJC Nhatrang7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
SJC Cantho7,900/ 8,102
(0/ 0) # 1,386
Cập nhật 29-03-2024 15:24:24
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$2,232.75-1.61-0.07%
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Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.69025.180
RON 95-III24.28024.760
E5 RON 92-II23.21023.670
DO 0.05S21.01021.430
DO 0,001S-V21.64022.070
Dầu hỏa 2-K21.26021.680
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$82.82+5.390.07%
Brent$86.82+5.180.06%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD24.600,0024.970,00
EUR26.020,0327.447,78
GBP30.490,4131.787,64
JPY158,93168,22
KRW15,9119,28
Cập nhật lúc 15:19:40 29/03/2024
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