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Euro zone to avoid recession, growth to accelerate in Q3 - ECB survey

Monday, June 13, 2022
Euro zone to avoid recession, growth to accelerate in Q3 - ECB survey © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A symphony of light consisting of bars, lines and circles in blue and yellow, the colours of the European Union, illuminates the south facade of the European Central Bank (ECB) headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2021. REUTERS/W

FRANKFURT (Reuters) - The euro zone will avoid a recession this year and growth will accelerate noticeably after bottoming out in the second quarter, a key European Central Bank survey showed on Monday.

The 19-country currency bloc has been hit by fallout from Russia's invasion of Ukraine, which has sapped confidence, investment and households' purchasing power via sharply higher fuel and food prices.

The economy is now expected to grow by 0.1% in the second quarter, accelerating to 0.4% in both the third and fourth quarters, the ECB's Survey of Monetary Analysts showed.

The survey, a key input in ECB policy deliberations, also predicted that the ECB would raise its deposit rate by a combined 75 basis points this year and a combined 150 basis points by the end of next year, with the rate peaking at 1.25% in mid-2024.

The survey, presented to policymakers at last week's ECB meeting, was compiled before the ECB said that rates would rise by 25 basis points in July and possibly by a bigger margin in September.

The rate hike will come as the ECB fights to tame inflation, which is now seen back at the 2% target by the first quarter of 2024, according to the survey.

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30-06-2022 06:09:52 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0441

+0.0003 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (6)

EUR/USD

1.0441

+0.0003 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (6)

GBP/USD

1.2122

-0.0003 (-0.02%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (11)

Indicators:

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Sell (2)

USD/JPY

136.60

+0.03 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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AUD/USD

0.6880

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

Summary

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USD/CAD

1.2890

-0.0001 (-0.01%)

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EUR/JPY

142.63

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EUR/CHF

0.9972

0.0001 (0.00%)

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3.7770

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 EUR/USD1.0441↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2122Neutral
 USD/JPY136.60↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6880↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.2890Sell
 EUR/JPY142.63↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9972↑ Buy
 Gold1,819.05↑ Sell
 Silver20.712↑ Sell
 Copper3.7770↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI109.62↑ Sell
 Brent Oil112.25↑ Buy
 Natural Gas6.441Buy
 US Coffee C228.05↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,514.32Neutral
 S&P 5003,818.83↑ Buy
 DAX13,003.35↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,312.32Sell
 Hang Seng21,996.89Neutral
 Small Cap 20001,713.32Neutral
 IBEX 358,188.00↑ Buy
 BASF41.580↑ Sell
 Bayer57.62Neutral
 Allianz183.72Buy
 Adidas170.02↑ Sell
 Lufthansa5.813↑ Buy
 Siemens AG101.40↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG8.571Neutral
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