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Euro zone yields rise, tracking moves in U.S. Treasuries

06 Tháng Năm 2022
Euro zone yields rise, tracking moves in U.S. Treasuries © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: The euro sign is photographed in front of the former head quarter of the European Central Bank in Frankfurt, Germany, April 9, 2019. REUTERS/Kai Pfaffenbach

By Stefano Rebaudo and Yoruk Bahceli

(Reuters) -Euro zone borrowing costs were up on Thursday as a jump in U.S. Treasury yields the day after the Federal Reserve policy meeting outweighed dovish signals from the Bank of England.

The yield on 10-year Treasury notes was up 13 basis points to 3.074% following a volatile day centered on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell's ruling out of rate hikes of more than 50 basis points.

“U.S. markets took the lead as investors are still digesting the impact of the Federal Reserve policy meeting, realising that Fed chair Powell's message was not so dovish," said Massimiliano Maxia, senior fixed income specialist at Allianz (ETR:ALVG) Global Investors. "U.S. rates could get close to 3% by year-end."

“Fears of surging inflation and monetary solid tightening measures from the ECB are still at the centre stage," he added.

The Bank of England raised interest rates to their highest level since 2009 at 1% on Thursday to counter inflation now heading above 10%, even as it warned that Britain risks falling into recession.

The BoE "downgraded its forecast for the UK economy, and it seems that the tightening cycle is about to end soon. That's a dovish signal also for the euro zone," said Antoine Bouvet, senior rates strategist at ING.

Germany's 10-year government bond yield, the benchmark for the bloc, was up 6 basis points (bps) at 1.033%. Two-year yield, more sensitive to interest rate expectations, was flat at 0.27%.

Money markets are still pricing in around 90 bps of ECB rate hikes by year-end. They moved to price in an 85% chance of a 25 bps rate hike by July.

The European Central Bank should hike its deposit rate in July by 0.25 percentage point, the ECB's policy maker, Olli Rehn, told a Finnish daily on Thursday.

In Italy, the 10-year yield was up 6 bps to 3.029%, its highest level since December 2018, with the closely watched risk premium over German bonds at 196 bps, after hitting the highest level since May 2020 at over 198 bps on Wednesday.

There was little reaction to remarks by ECB chief economist Philip Lane, who said the bank is preparing for a sequence of rate hikes that will put its benchmark in positive territory.

The path it takes is more important than the exact date of the first move, Lane added.

Earlier on Thursday, ECB board member Fabio Panetta said the bank should not raise interest rates in July, a move an increasing number of policymakers are advocating, and should wait to see euro zone second-quarter GDP data.

In the primary market, Spain raised 5.61 billion euros from five to 50-year bonds and France raised 10.99 billion euros from 10 to 30-year bonds.

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21-05-2022 10:45:35 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0562

-0.0024 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0562

-0.0024 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2489

+0.0029 (+0.23%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

127.86

+0.07 (+0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.7039

-0.0008 (-0.11%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.2839

+0.0014 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

135.05

-0.24 (-0.18%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

EUR/CHF

1.0296

-0.0005 (-0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

1,845.10

+3.90 (+0.21%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Silver Futures

21.765

-0.143 (-0.65%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Copper Futures

4.3042

+0.0212 (+0.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

110.35

+0.46 (+0.42%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Brent Oil Futures

112.91

+0.87 (+0.78%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Natural Gas Futures

8.058

-0.250 (-3.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

US Coffee C Futures

216.48

-2.22 (-1.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,657.03

+16.48 (+0.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

S&P 500

3,901.36

+0.57 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

DAX

13,981.91

+99.61 (+0.72%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,389.98

+87.24 (+1.19%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

20,717.24

+596.56 (+2.96%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

US Small Cap 2000

1,768.35

-7.87 (-0.44%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

IBEX 35

8,484.50

+78.50 (+0.93%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

BASF SE NA O.N.

48.850

-0.010 (-0.02%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

63.74

+0.34 (+0.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (6)

Indicators:

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Sell (2)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

195.58

+0.78 (+0.40%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (6)

Indicators:

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Sell (0)

Adidas AG

172.80

+0.92 (+0.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (6)

Indicators:

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Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.852

+0.049 (+0.72%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (5)

Siemens AG Class N

115.08

+2.62 (+2.33%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (9)

Indicators:

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Sell (4)

Deutsche Bank AG

9.362

-0.130 (-1.37%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

 EUR/USD1.0562↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2489Neutral
 USD/JPY127.86Neutral
 AUD/USD0.7039Sell
 USD/CAD1.2839↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY135.05Neutral
 EUR/CHF1.0296↑ Buy
 Gold1,845.10↑ Buy
 Silver21.765↑ Sell
 Copper4.3042↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI110.35↑ Sell
 Brent Oil112.91↑ Sell
 Natural Gas8.058↑ Sell
 US Coffee C216.48↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,657.03↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,901.36↑ Buy
 DAX13,981.91Buy
 FTSE 1007,389.98Neutral
 Hang Seng20,717.24↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,768.35↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,484.50Neutral
 BASF48.850Buy
 Bayer63.74Buy
 Allianz195.58Buy
 Adidas172.80Buy
 Lufthansa6.852↑ Sell
 Siemens AG115.08Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG9.362Buy
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