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Europe Energy Crisis Worsens With War Risk Compounding Gas Woes

(Bloomberg) -- Europe’s energy crisis intensified as the risk of war pushed up gas prices, power-plant halts were extended and the French government asked its biggest utility to...
Europe Energy Crisis Worsens With War Risk Compounding Gas Woes © Reuters. Europe Energy Crisis Worsens With War Risk Compounding Gas Woes

(Bloomberg) -- Europe’s energy crisis intensified as the risk of war pushed up gas prices, power-plant halts were extended and the French government asked its biggest utility to take a $8.8 billion hit to protect consumers.

Power and gas prices surged on Friday with the prospect of military action in Ukraine increasing as geopolitical tensions escalated. Meanwhile nuclear giant Electricite de France SA (PA:EDF) sank the most on record after the government said it must sell power at a steep discount, and several reactors faced long outages.

“The risk of a potential new war in Ukraine and the effects this could have on the gas market continue to cause a lot of uncertainty,” analysts at Energi Danmark said. “German power climbs due to the news about reduced nuclear power production in France.”

German electricity for the third quarter soared as much as 25%, while benchmark European gas prices added as much as 13%.

Europe’s energy prices are extremely volatile. The region’s gas storage is draining faster than expected, increasing the focus on imports from Russia and raising concern that supplies will fall short in the event of a severe cold snap.

Pressure on the market extends beyond this winter. French and German power prices from April onward jumped Friday, with fewer nuclear reactors available to supply electricity.

Crippling Costs

The impact on household energy bills across the continent has left governments scrambling to find ways to help shield consumers from higher costs.

In France, the government is asking EDF to sell more power at a discount to market prices. Finance Minister Bruno Le Maire said the increase in electricity bills for households and very small businesses will be capped at 4% this year, including 8 billion euros ($9.2 billion) of tax cuts on electricity consumption. Without the moves, prices would rise by 35% from Feb. 1.

And EDF’s troubles go further. During once-a-decade maintenance at its Civaux and Penly reactors, the company found defaults near welds on piping. Checking and repairing these is taking longer than expected, leaving the market short on supply and EDF without revenue from those units. The hit to earnings is likely to be about 6 billion euros, according to Jefferies International Ltd.

EDF shares tumbled as much as 25% on Friday, the biggest drop since they started trading in Paris in 2005.

“The longer nuclear outages will deepen and extend the ongoing energy crisis in Europe,” said Arne Bergvik, chief analyst at Swedish utility Jamtkraft AB. “The news is having such a big impact due to the strained situation for other fuels like gas or coal that will have to compensate for the lost nuclear output.”

In the European gas market, all eyes are on Russian flows, with fears mounting over possible conflict in Ukraine -- a key transit country. The U.S. is putting pressure on European allies to agree on potential sanctions against Russia, worried that the country might soon invade its neighbor -- though Russia has repeatedly said that is not its plan. Talks between the U.S. and Moscow this week failed to ease tensions.

At the center of supply concerns lies the newly built Nord Stream 2 pipeline, which won’t ship Russian gas to Germany before regulatory approvals are completed. On Thursday, the U.S. Senate blocked a measure to impose fresh sanctions on the link after the Biden administration warned it could disrupt allied unity in the confrontation over Ukraine.

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19-01-2022 14:53:38 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1350

+0.0025 (+0.22%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

EUR/USD

1.1350

+0.0025 (+0.22%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

GBP/USD

1.3625

+0.0031 (+0.23%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

114.27

-0.34 (-0.30%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.7225

+0.0043 (+0.60%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.2494

-0.0018 (-0.14%)

Summary

Neutral

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Buy (10)

Sell (2)

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Buy (3)

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EUR/JPY

129.70

-0.10 (-0.08%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

1.0393

+0.0004 (+0.04%)

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↑ Sell

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Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

1,843.45

+31.05 (+1.71%)

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↑ Buy

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Indicators:

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Silver Futures

24.247

+0.755 (+3.21%)

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↑ Buy

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Copper Futures

4.4550

+0.0725 (+1.65%)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

85.41

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Brent Oil Futures

88.03

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Natural Gas Futures

4.024

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US Coffee C Futures

244.00

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Buy (2)

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Buy (1)

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,268.28

+10.46 (+0.25%)

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↑ Buy

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Buy (8)

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Buy (9)

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S&P 500

4,566.30

-11.04 (-0.24%)

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Buy

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DAX

15,809.72

+37.16 (+0.24%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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FTSE 100

7,589.66

+26.11 (+0.35%)

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↑ Buy

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Indicators:

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Hang Seng

24,127.85

+15.07 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

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US Small Cap 2000

2,074.60

-22.02 (-1.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

IBEX 35

8,774.90

-6.70 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

67.800

+0.140 (+0.21%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

52.12

+0.06 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

223.80

-2.15 (-0.95%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

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Adidas AG

253.60

-0.60 (-0.24%)

Summary

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Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.820

-0.309 (-4.33%)

Summary

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Siemens AG Class N

144.34

+1.74 (+1.22%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

11.784

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 EUR/USD1.1350Sell
 GBP/USD1.3625Neutral
 USD/JPY114.27Neutral
 AUD/USD0.7225Buy
 USD/CAD1.2494Neutral
 EUR/JPY129.70Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0393↑ Sell
 Gold1,843.45↑ Buy
 Silver24.247↑ Buy
 Copper4.4550Sell
 Crude Oil WTI85.41Sell
 Brent Oil88.03↑ Sell
 Natural Gas4.024↑ Sell
 US Coffee C244.00↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,268.28↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,566.30Buy
 DAX15,809.72↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,589.66↑ Buy
 Hang Seng24,127.85↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,074.60↑ Sell
 IBEX 358,774.90↑ Sell
 BASF67.800Buy
 Bayer52.12↑ Sell
 Allianz223.80Buy
 Adidas253.60↑ Sell
 Lufthansa6.820↑ Sell
 Siemens AG144.34↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG11.784Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,115/ 6,155
(0/ 0) # 1,151
SJC HCM6,115/ 6,175
(0/ 0) # 1,171
SJC Hanoi6,115/ 6,177
(0/ 0) # 1,173
SJC Danang6,115/ 6,177
(0/ 0) # 1,173
SJC Nhatrang6,115/ 6,177
(0/ 0) # 1,173
SJC Cantho6,115/ 6,177
(0/ 0) # 1,173
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EUR25.086,6326.492,89
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JPY192,29203,55
KRW16,4820,08
Cập nhật lúc 18:53:59 19/01/2022
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