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Fed could hike rates by 25 or 50 basis points on Feb. 1, Daly tells WSJ

10 Tháng Giêng 2023
Fed could hike rates by 25 or 50 basis points on Feb. 1, Daly tells WSJ © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly poses at the Commonwealth Club of California in San Francisco, California, U.S. November 16, 2021. REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo

(Reuters) - San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Monday said a half-percentage-point interest rate hike, or a quarter-percentage-point increase, are both possibilities for the U.S. central bank's Jan. 31-Feb. 1 meeting.

"I can give you arguments for either side," Daly said in a webcast interview with the Wall Street Journal. The Fed should try to bring inflation down "as gently as we can," but it also "absolutely" needs to make sure high inflation does not become embedded.

Daly said she thinks the policy rate, now in a 4.25%-4.50% range, will ultimately need to go to 5.00%-5.25% and stay there to bring inflation back down to the Fed's 2% target, but exactly how far it will need to rise will depend on the data. She said she expects the U.S. unemployment rate, now at 3.5%, to rise to about 4.5% or 4.6%, and inflation, now running at 5.5% by the Fed's preferred measure, to the low 3% range by the end of 2023.

Getting inflation down faster than that would require "enormous" labor market pain that Daly said she is not willing to inflict.

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30-05-2023 09:14:18 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0722↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2372Neutral
 USD/JPY140.06Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6550↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3578Buy
 EUR/JPY150.16Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9685↑ Sell
 Gold1,963.65↑ Buy
 Silver23.352Sell
 Copper3.6845↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI73.14Sell
 Brent Oil77.39↑ Sell
 Natural Gas2.357↑ Buy
 US Coffee C180.75↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,320.01↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,205.45↑ Sell
 DAX15,952.73Neutral
 FTSE 1007,627.20↑ Sell
 Hang Seng18,542.00↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,773.02↑ Buy
 IBEX 359,180.10↑ Buy
 BASF46.705Neutral
 Bayer54.35Buy
 Allianz207.75↑ Buy
 Adidas154.32Sell
 Lufthansa9.196Sell
 Siemens AG156.00↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG9.690↑ Buy
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