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Fed could hike rates by 25 or 50 basis points on Feb. 1, Daly tells WSJ

10 Tháng Giêng 2023
Fed could hike rates by 25 or 50 basis points on Feb. 1, Daly tells WSJ © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly poses at the Commonwealth Club of California in San Francisco, California, U.S. November 16, 2021. REUTERS/Ann Saphir/File Photo

(Reuters) - San Francisco Federal Reserve President Mary Daly on Monday said a half-percentage-point interest rate hike, or a quarter-percentage-point increase, are both possibilities for the U.S. central bank's Jan. 31-Feb. 1 meeting.

"I can give you arguments for either side," Daly said in a webcast interview with the Wall Street Journal. The Fed should try to bring inflation down "as gently as we can," but it also "absolutely" needs to make sure high inflation does not become embedded.

Daly said she thinks the policy rate, now in a 4.25%-4.50% range, will ultimately need to go to 5.00%-5.25% and stay there to bring inflation back down to the Fed's 2% target, but exactly how far it will need to rise will depend on the data. She said she expects the U.S. unemployment rate, now at 3.5%, to rise to about 4.5% or 4.6%, and inflation, now running at 5.5% by the Fed's preferred measure, to the low 3% range by the end of 2023.

Getting inflation down faster than that would require "enormous" labor market pain that Daly said she is not willing to inflict.

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31-01-2023 18:05:32 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0827Neutral
 GBP/USD1.2319Neutral
 USD/JPY130.32↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6992↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3461Buy
 EUR/JPY141.12Neutral
 EUR/CHF1.0050↑ Buy
 Gold1,904.60Buy
 Silver23.235↑ Sell
 Copper4.1288↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI76.81↑ Sell
 Brent Oil83.47↑ Buy
 Natural Gas2.628↑ Sell
 US Coffee C171.15↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,129.25↑ Sell
 S&P 5004,017.77↑ Sell
 DAX15,013.85↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,714.74↑ Sell
 Hang Seng21,842.33↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,885.72Neutral
 IBEX 359,017.59↑ Sell
 BASF52.345↑ Sell
 Bayer56.30Buy
 Allianz219.10Neutral
 Adidas145.75↑ Sell
 Lufthansa9.619Neutral
 Siemens AG142.68↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG12.210↑ Sell
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