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Fed members support slowing of rate hikes 'soon,' Fed Minutes show

24 Tháng Mười Một 2022
Fed members support slowing of rate hikes 'soon,' Fed Minutes show © Reuters

By Yasin Ebrahim

Investing.com – A majority of Federal Reserve policymakers were in support of slowing the pace of interest rate hikes "soon" to assess the lagged impact of monetary policy tightening on the economy and inflation.

“A substantial majority of participants judged that a slowing in the pace of increase would likely soon be appropriate,” the Fed's minutes showed. “The uncertain lags and magnitudes associated with the effects of monetary policy actions on economic activity and inflation were among the reasons cited regarding why such an assessment was important.”

At the conclusion of its previous meeting on Nov. 2, the Federal Open Market Committee raised its benchmark rate by 0.75 percentage points to a range of 3.75% to 4%. 

It was the fourth-straight 0.75 percentage point rate hike in as many meetings, but the Fed also laid out the carpet for slowing the pace of rate hikes at upcoming meetings, flagging several factors ---- including the cumulative tightening of monetary policy, the lagged impact of monetary policy on the economy and inflation – that would determine the size of future hikes.

In the wake of recent data pointing to slowing but still above-trend inflation, several members have continued to echo market expectations for less hawkish rate hikes.

“The inflation data was reassuring, preliminarily,” Federal Reserve Vice Chair Lael Brainard said. “It will probably be appropriate, soon, to move to a slower pace of rate increases.”

About 80% of traders expect the Federal Reserve to slow the pace of rate hikes to 0.5% in December, according to Investing.com’s Fed Rate Monitor Tool.

With a slower pace of rate hikes largely priced in, investor attention has shifted to the terminal Fed Funds rate, or the level that rates will likely peak. Following the monetary policy decision in November, Powell said in a press conference that “the ultimate level of interest rates will be higher than previously expected [in September].”

Traders are currently expecting rates to peak at 5.00% to 5.25%, though hawkish Fed members including St. Louis Fed President James Bullard recently suggested that rates may need to rise as high as 7% to bring down inflation.

Yet, even if rates do peak around 5% that would still be the highest rates seen since June 2006, and may prove painful for risk assets, with growth sectors of the market including tech particularly vulnerable.

“If they stop at 5% or 6% interest rates, that's pretty high, certainly compared with what we've seen over 10 to 20 years,” Managing Director of applied research at Qontigo Melissa Brown, told Investing.com's Yasin Ebrahim on Tuesday. For equities, the focus “will not be when they stop and stabilize, but really when they start to come down.”

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06-12-2022 01:33:43 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0504

-0.0034 (-0.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0504

-0.0034 (-0.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2195

-0.0092 (-0.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

136.57

+2.28 (+1.69%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6714

-0.0076 (-1.11%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3572

+0.0104 (+0.78%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

143.46

+1.93 (+1.36%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9892

+0.0021 (+0.21%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

Gold Futures

1,781.45

-28.15 (-1.56%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

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Silver Futures

22.425

-0.825 (-3.55%)

Summary

Sell

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Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

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Copper Futures

3.7942

-0.0563 (-1.46%)

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↑ Buy

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

77.90

-2.08 (-2.60%)

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Buy

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Indicators:

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Brent Oil Futures

83.58

-1.99 (-2.33%)

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↑ Sell

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Natural Gas Futures

5.631

-0.650 (-10.35%)

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↑ Sell

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Indicators:

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US Coffee C Futures

163.42

+0.82 (+0.50%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,956.53

-21.37 (-0.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Indicators:

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S&P 500

4,008.00

-63.70 (-1.56%)

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↑ Buy

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DAX

14,447.61

-81.78 (-0.56%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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FTSE 100

7,567.54

+11.31 (+0.15%)

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↑ Sell

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Indicators:

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Sell (8)

Hang Seng

19,518.29

+842.94 (+4.51%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,837.60

-52.38 (-2.77%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

IBEX 35

8,370.10

-7.80 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

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Buy (0)

Sell (10)

BASF SE NA O.N.

47.970

-0.760 (-1.56%)

Summary

Sell

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Sell (9)

Bayer AG NA

53.09

-1.75 (-3.19%)

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↑ Buy

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

203.00

+0.35 (+0.17%)

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Buy

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Adidas AG

122.06

-2.20 (-1.77%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Sell (4)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.766

+0.028 (+0.36%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Siemens AG Class N

135.44

+0.74 (+0.55%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Deutsche Bank AG

10.150

+0.126 (+1.26%)

Summary

Neutral

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Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

 EUR/USD1.0504↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2195↑ Buy
 USD/JPY136.57Neutral
 AUD/USD0.6714Neutral
 USD/CAD1.3572Neutral
 EUR/JPY143.46↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9892Neutral
 Gold1,781.45Sell
 Silver22.425Sell
 Copper3.7942↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI77.90Buy
 Brent Oil83.58↑ Sell
 Natural Gas5.631↑ Sell
 US Coffee C163.42↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,956.53↑ Sell
 S&P 5004,008.00↑ Buy
 DAX14,447.61↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,567.54↑ Sell
 Hang Seng19,518.29Buy
 Small Cap 20001,837.60↑ Sell
 IBEX 358,370.10↑ Sell
 BASF47.970Sell
 Bayer53.09↑ Buy
 Allianz203.00Buy
 Adidas122.06↑ Sell
 Lufthansa7.766↑ Buy
 Siemens AG135.44↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.150Neutral
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Cập nhật lúc 18:53:14 05/12/2022
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