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Fed's Bullard says 2023 may be year inflation surge wilts

06 Tháng Giêng 2023
Fed's Bullard says 2023 may be year inflation surge wilts © Reuters. St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard stands with his back to the Teton mountain range outside the the annual Kansas City Fed Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, U.S., August 25, 2022. REUTERS/Ann Saphir

By Michael S. Derby

(Reuters) - St. Louis Federal Reserve leader James Bullard said Thursday the new year could finally bring some welcome relief on the inflation front.

The rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee “has taken aggressive action during 2022, with ongoing increases in the policy rate planned for 2023, and this has returned inflation expectations to a level consistent with the Fed’s 2% inflation target,” Bullard said in material prepared for a presentation before a meeting held by the CFA Society St. Louis. “During 2023, actual inflation will likely follow inflation expectations to a lower level as the real economy normalizes,” he said.

Bullard did not connect that outlook to specific guidance on rate changes. Bullard held a voting role on the FOMC during 2022, in a year marked by the central bank’s historically aggressive campaign to lift rates to lower some of the highest levels of inflation seen in decades.

That saw the central bank take its overnight short-term rate target from near zero levels in March to the current 4.25% to 4.50% range. The Fed last lifted that target in December, going up 50 basis points, and it penciled in a move to 5.1% this year. Officials have said wherever they stop with rates they are likely to stay for a while as they ensure inflation pressures are easing.

Bullard said in his presentation that monetary policy is not yet in a space where it’s holding the economy back but soon will be. That coupled with low inflation expectations “may combine to make 2023 a disinflationary year.”

Bullard also said in his remarks that the economy over the second half of last year improved over a lackluster start to the year. He said it appears U.S. gross domestic product growth is moderating to around its longer-run potential of 2%. Bullard also said the job market remains “strong.”

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27-01-2023 22:41:38 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0854↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2370↑ Sell
 USD/JPY129.88Neutral
 AUD/USD0.7105↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3321↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY140.96↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF1.0019Neutral
 Gold1,924.50↑ Sell
 Silver23.610↑ Sell
 Copper4.2183↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI81.19↑ Sell
 Brent Oil87.74↑ Sell
 Natural Gas2.825↑ Sell
 US Coffee C168.60Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,175.65↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,066.42↑ Buy
 DAX15,141.95↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,759.77Neutral
 Hang Seng22,688.90Buy
 Small Cap 20001,901.80Neutral
 IBEX 359,047.31↑ Buy
 BASF52.685↑ Buy
 Bayer56.31↑ Buy
 Allianz221.38↑ Sell
 Adidas148.09↑ Buy
 Lufthansa9.743↑ Sell
 Siemens AG144.25↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG12.308↑ Sell
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