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Fed’s Daly Says Strong Economy Can Tolerate 50-Basis-Point Hikes

13 Tháng Năm 2022
Fed’s Daly Says Strong Economy Can Tolerate 50-Basis-Point Hikes © Bloomberg. Mary Daly

(Bloomberg) -- Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President Mary Daly backed raising interest rates by a half-percentage point at each of the central bank’s next two meetings, adding that she’d like to see financial conditions tighten further.

“Going up in 50-basis-point increments to me makes quite a bit of sense and there’s no reason right now that I see in the economy to pause on doing that in the next couple of meetings,” Daly said in an interview Thursday with Bloomberg News.

She added that a 75-basis-point increase, which has been the subject of speculation as an option to curb surging inflation, is “not a primary consideration.” Daly is not a voter this year on the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee.

Policy makers increased the federal funds target rate by half a percentage point, to a range of 0.75% to 1%, at their meeting earlier this month. It was the first hike of that size since 2000 as the Fed fights to tamp down the biggest increases in consumer prices in 40 years.

“I expect financial conditions to tighten even more as we march through these rate increase and remove stimulus from the economy,” Daly said. “I think we’ve made a good start on them already, but I would like to see continued tightening of financial conditions -- that would be consistent with bringing supply and demand back into balance.”

The 30-year fixed mortgage rate rose to 5.3% on Thursday, the highest since 2009.

Daly said the Fed’s benchmark rate should rise to neutral -- the level at which policy is neither speeding up nor slowing down the economy -- by the end of the year, and sees that lying around 2.5%.

Some economists have argued that such a steep trajectory for rate increases may tip the economy into a recession. Daly said the US is in a strong place and should be able to withstand that.

“The economy has a lot of momentum,” Daly said. “Adjusting the policy rate, removing support from the economy, bringing us up to neutral when things are this good, doesn’t worry me. It’s sort of helping get the economy back into sustainable growth, sustainable paths, and that’s actually going to be beneficial to the economy in the longer run.”

(Updates with more details from eighth paragraph.)

©2022 Bloomberg L.P.

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21-05-2022 20:38:30 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0562↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2489Neutral
 USD/JPY127.86Neutral
 AUD/USD0.7039Sell
 USD/CAD1.2839↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY135.05Neutral
 EUR/CHF1.0296↑ Buy
 Gold1,845.10↑ Buy
 Silver21.765↑ Sell
 Copper4.3042↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI110.35↑ Sell
 Brent Oil112.91↑ Sell
 Natural Gas8.058↑ Sell
 US Coffee C216.48↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,657.03↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,901.36↑ Buy
 DAX13,981.91Buy
 FTSE 1007,389.98Neutral
 Hang Seng20,717.24↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,768.35↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,484.50Neutral
 BASF48.850Buy
 Bayer63.74Buy
 Allianz195.58Buy
 Adidas172.80Buy
 Lufthansa6.852↑ Sell
 Siemens AG115.08Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG9.362Buy
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