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Fed's Kashkari says supply chain progress key to avoiding recession

07 Tháng Năm 2022
Fed's Kashkari says supply chain progress key to avoiding recession © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari poses during an interview with Reuters in his office at the bank's headquarters in Minneapolis, Minnesota, U.S., January 10, 2020. REUTERS/ Ann Saphir/File Photo

(Reuters) - The Federal Reserve will have to raise interest rates more aggressively and risk a recession if supply chain issues don't begin to ebb, Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari said on Friday, as he reiterated that policymakers are keenly watching how far rates will have to rise above the neutral level.

"We know we have to bring inflation back down to 2%. If the job market softened a little bit, that's not much of a tradeoff," Kashkari said during an event at the University of Minnesota in Minneapolis.

"The challenge is going to be if the supply chain issues don't help us, if they don't unwind a little bit on their own ... and we have to use aggressive monetary policy to bring inflation back down then that could lead to a higher unemployment rate, that could lead to a recession," he said.

The U.S. central bank raised interest rates by half a percentage point earlier this week, the biggest hike in 22 years, and Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled policymakers stand ready to approve half-percentage-point rate hikes at upcoming policy meetings in June and July as the Fed steps up its fight to lower high inflation.

Earlier on Friday, in a post on Medium, Kashkari warned that the war in Ukraine and COVID lockdowns in China will likely delay any normalization of supply chains.

Kashkari also repeated he sees the neutral rate, which is the level of borrowing costs that neither stimulates nor curbs economic growth, to be at 2% but noted that there is a wide range of estimates - roughly between 2% and 3% - among his fellow policymakers.

"The general consensus is we have to at least get up to neutral and probably moderately above neutral over the course of this year into early next year, but again there are a range of estimates on what neutral looks like," Kashkari said.

On how much more the Fed will have to go above neutral, the Minneapolis Fed chief said, "many of us are just waiting to see how the economy evolves."

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23-05-2022 09:49:11 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0591

+0.0031 (+0.29%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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EUR/USD

1.0591

+0.0031 (+0.29%)

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Neutral

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GBP/USD

1.2541

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USD/JPY

127.29

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AUD/USD

0.7084

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USD/CAD

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EUR/JPY

134.81

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EUR/CHF

1.0289

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Gold Futures

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Silver Futures

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Brent Oil Futures

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Natural Gas Futures

8.182

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US Coffee C Futures

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Euro Stoxx 50

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S&P 500

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DAX

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US Small Cap 2000

1,773.27

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IBEX 35

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48.850

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Bayer AG NA

63.74

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

195.58

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Buy

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Adidas AG

172.80

+0.92 (+0.54%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.852

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Siemens AG Class N

115.08

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 EUR/USD1.0591Neutral
 GBP/USD1.2541Buy
 USD/JPY127.29↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.7084↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.2807↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY134.81Neutral
 EUR/CHF1.0289Sell
 Gold1,850.59↑ Sell
 Silver21.843↑ Sell
 Copper4.2980↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI110.58↑ Sell
 Brent Oil110.41↑ Sell
 Natural Gas8.182Buy
 US Coffee C216.48↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,657.03↑ Buy
 S&P 5003,901.36↑ Buy
 DAX13,981.91Buy
 FTSE 1007,389.98Neutral
 Hang Seng20,446.00Neutral
 Small Cap 20001,773.27↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,484.50Neutral
 BASF48.850Buy
 Bayer63.74Buy
 Allianz195.58Buy
 Adidas172.80Buy
 Lufthansa6.852↑ Sell
 Siemens AG115.08Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG9.362Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,880/ 6,980
(5/ 5) # 1,781
SJC HCM6,895/ 6,985
(0/ 0) # 1,785
SJC Hanoi6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,787
SJC Danang6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,787
SJC Nhatrang6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,787
SJC Cantho6,895/ 6,987
(0/ 0) # 1,787
Cập nhật 23-05-2022 09:49:13
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RON 95-V30.58031.190
RON 95-III29.98030.570
E5 RON 92-II28.95029.520
DO 0.05S26.65027.180
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Dầu hỏa 2-K25.16025.660
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.005,0023.315,00
EUR23.899,8625.238,69
GBP28.277,1029.483,51
JPY176,47186,83
KRW15,8019,25
Cập nhật lúc 09:41:05 23/05/2022
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