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GM remains a top pick at Citi ahead of 4Q reporting

By Michael Elkins General Motors (NYSE:GM) remains a top pick at Citi Research ahead of 4Q reporting. Mobileye (NASDAQ:MBLY) remains Citi’s Top Supplier Pick, followed by Aptiv...
GM remains a top pick at Citi ahead of 4Q reporting © Reuters. GM remains a top pic at Citi ahead of 4Q reporting
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By Michael Elkins

General Motors (NYSE:GM) remains a top pick at Citi Research ahead of 4Q reporting. Mobileye (NASDAQ:MBLY) remains Citi’s Top Supplier Pick, followed by Aptiv (NYSE:APTV). No changes were made to Citi’s prior stock setup views from earlier this week. However, refreshed 2023E supplier EPS estimates are 1%-4% below consensus, GM and Ford (NYSE:F) estimates remain above consensus and Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) modestly below.

Citi remains above consensus on GM in a more constructive 2023 view on U.S. SAAR/pricing. Analysts wrote in a note that, while they certainly acknowledge heightened risks, they don't view GM’s net price position to be as vulnerable as consensus believes. They estimate that roughly two-thirds of GM’s price/mix gains since 2019 were driven by Trucks and the underlying Pickup demand strength. Outside of Trucks, GM appears underpriced relative to segment averages, particularly in crossovers. Citi views this as a function of an aging product lineup that’s expected to be refreshed in 2023-24.

Citi updated their Tesla model to reflect recent data points including Q4 deliveries. Citi analysts now estimate 2023 vehicle deliveries to be up 40% YoY (vs. 53% prior). The latest 4Q EPS estimate is slightly ahead of consensus, but 2023 estimates are modestly below.

The Ford model was updated to introduce 1Q-4Q 2023 estimates and a 2025 estimate. 2022-2023 EPS estimates remain unchanged with estimates sitting above consensus on a more favorable view on North America. Citi maintained a $14 price target on the stock.

Shares of GM, F, and TSLA are down 3.63%, 2.90% and 5.90% respectively in pre-market trading on Friday.

MBLY and APTV are down 0.35% and 0.50%.

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30-05-2023 08:34:05 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0720

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

1.0720

+0.0001 (+0.01%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.2370

+0.0030 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

140.09

-0.51 (-0.37%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

AUD/USD

0.6551

+0.0029 (+0.44%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3576

-0.0035 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

EUR/JPY

150.20

-0.55 (-0.36%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

EUR/CHF

0.9687

-0.0022 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

1,961.75

-1.35 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Silver Futures

23.310

-0.050 (-0.21%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Copper Futures

3.6895

+0.0075 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (3)

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

73.33

+0.66 (+0.91%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

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Brent Oil Futures

77.55

+0.57 (+0.74%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Natural Gas Futures

2.358

-0.059 (-2.44%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

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US Coffee C Futures

180.75

-1.95 (-1.07%)

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↑ Sell

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Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,320.01

+50.37 (+1.18%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

4,205.45

+54.17 (+1.30%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (9)

DAX

15,952.73

-31.24 (-0.20%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

FTSE 100

7,627.20

+56.33 (+0.74%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Hang Seng

18,640.50

+89.39 (+0.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,773.02

+18.42 (+1.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

9,180.10

-11.00 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

BASF SE NA O.N.

46.705

-0.205 (-0.44%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (2)

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Bayer AG NA

54.35

-0.05 (-0.09%)

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Buy

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207.75

+0.35 (+0.17%)

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Adidas AG

154.32

-1.12 (-0.72%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (7)

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Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.196

-0.026 (-0.28%)

Summary

Sell

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Siemens AG Class N

156.00

-0.68 (-0.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Deutsche Bank AG

9.690

-0.052 (-0.53%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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    EUR/USD 1.0720 Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2370 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 140.09 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6551 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3576 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 150.20 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 0.9687 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,961.75 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.310 Neutral  
    Copper 3.6895 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 73.33 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 77.55 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 2.358 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 180.75 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,320.01 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,205.45 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,952.73 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 7,627.20 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 18,640.50 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,773.02 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,180.10 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 46.705 Neutral  
    Bayer 54.35 Buy  
    Allianz 207.75 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 154.32 Sell  
    Lufthansa 9.196 Sell  
    Siemens AG 156.00 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.690 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,640/ 6,680
(0/ 0) # 1,144
SJC HCM6,635/ 6,695
(-5/ -5) # 1,158
SJC Hanoi6,635/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,160
SJC Danang6,635/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,160
SJC Nhatrang6,635/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,160
SJC Cantho6,635/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,160
Cập nhật 30-05-2023 08:34:08
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$1,943.37 -0.6 -0.03%
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E5 RON 92-II20.48020.880
DO 0.05S17.95018.300
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Dầu hỏa 2-K17.96018.310
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.280,0023.650,00
EUR24.502,2825.874,28
GBP28.257,0829.461,99
JPY162,61172,15
KRW15,3518,70
Cập nhật lúc 08:28:52 30/05/2023
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