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Goldman Sachs downgrades aerospace and defense stocks on potential for focus on U.S. debt

By Sam Boughedda  Goldman Sachs downgraded aerospace and defense stocks Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) and Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) to Sell in a note Friday, also cutting...
Goldman Sachs downgrades aerospace and defense stocks on potential for focus on U.S. debt © Reuters. Goldman Sachs downgrades aerospace and defense stocks on potential for focus on US debt
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By Sam Boughedda 

Goldman Sachs downgraded aerospace and defense stocks Lockheed Martin (NYSE:LMT) and Northrop Grumman (NYSE:NOC) to Sell in a note Friday, also cutting Raytheon Technologies (NYSE:RTX) to Neutral.

Goldman analysts said defense stocks now price in the potential for a new global geopolitical superpower struggle, but they do not price in the potential for a renewed focus on US government cumulative debt.

"The former may occur, but the latter may happen first; while defense budgets, company earnings, and valuations are all near all-time highs, creating more downside than upside risk, and leaving stock prices vulnerable to a medium-term de-rating," they wrote.

On the DoD budget, the analysts said it moves in decade-long cycles, and over time, DoD investment spending is up 70% in the last 8 years cumulatively.

"It's at an all time high in nominal absolute dollars and near peak levels in real dollars," said the analysts. "Mathematically, maintaining a high growth rate is hard, declining slightly is easy. Fundamentally, there are geopolitical upward pressures, but US fiscal policy could increasingly become a downward pressure."

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27-01-2023 22:01:22 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0865

-0.0024 (-0.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

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EUR/USD

1.0865

-0.0024 (-0.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (7)

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GBP/USD

1.2379

-0.0027 (-0.22%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

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USD/JPY

129.95

-0.26 (-0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.7107

-0.0006 (-0.09%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

USD/CAD

1.3324

+0.0003 (+0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

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EUR/JPY

141.15

-0.64 (-0.45%)

Summary

Sell

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EUR/CHF

1.0024

+0.0004 (+0.04%)

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1,922.90

-7.10 (-0.37%)

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Sell

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Silver Futures

23.617

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4.2380

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DAX

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FTSE 100

7,760.88

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22,688.90

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Buy

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US Small Cap 2000

1,903.70

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9,039.67

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BASF SE NA O.N.

52.685

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56.33

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221.58

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Adidas AG

146.68

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.735

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144.02

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    EUR/USD 1.0865 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2379 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 129.95 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.7107 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3324 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 141.15 Sell  
    EUR/CHF 1.0024 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,922.90 Sell  
    Silver 23.617 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.2380 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 81.62 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 88.16 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.865 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 168.10 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,171.75 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,061.25 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,133.45 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,760.88 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 22,688.90 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,903.70 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 9,039.67 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 52.685 Neutral  
    Bayer 56.33 ↑ Buy  
    Allianz 221.58 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 146.68 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 9.735 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 144.02 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.320 ↑ Buy  
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Cập nhật lúc 18:54:25 27/01/2023
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