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Hawkish Fed rhetoric fails to lift dollar; Aussie jumps

Thursday, January 5, 2023
Hawkish Fed rhetoric fails to lift dollar; Aussie jumps © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: U.S. one hundred dollar notes are seen in this picture illustration taken in Seoul February 7, 2011. REUTERS/Lee Jae-Won
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By Rae Wee

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - The dollar struggled to advance on Thursday even though Federal Reserve policymakers reiterated their commitment last month to fighting inflation, while the Aussie rallied after China eased its restrictions on imports of Australian coal.

Minutes of the Fed's December policy meeting released overnight showed that while officials agreed that the central bank should slow the pace of its aggressive interest rate increases, they remained focused on curbing inflation, and were worried about any "misperception" in financial markets that their commitment was flagging.

Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari also said on Wednesday that he sees the Fed's target interest rate peaking at 5.4%, higher than current market expectations of just under 5%.

Yet, that failed to give a boost to the U.S. currency, which slid 1.4% against the Canadian dollar overnight.

Sterling was last steady at $1.2062, after rising 0.76% against the dollar in the previous session, while the euro edged 0.19% higher to $1.0624, following a more than 0.5% overnight gain.

"From the Fed's point of view, it's very, very premature to be thinking about rate cuts in 2023, which is obviously what the market still expects," said Ray Attrill, head of FX strategy at National Australia Bank (OTC:NABZY) (NAB).

Economic data also released on Wednesday revealed that U.S. job openings fell less than expected in November, though a survey from the Institute for Supply Management (ISM) showed that U.S. manufacturing activity contracted again in December.

"Heading into Friday's payrolls, the message is still that the labour market remains in pretty rude health," said Attrill.

Against a basket of currencies, the U.S. dollar index fell 0.14% to 104.06, after slipping 0.5% on Wednesday.

The Australian dollar rallied 1.7% overnight on news that China's state planner has allowed three central government-backed utilities and its top steelmaker to resume coal imports from Australia, marking the first such move since Beijing imposed an unofficial ban on coal trade with Canberra in 2020.

The Aussie was last steady at $0.6835, while the kiwi rose 0.11% to $0.6298, after gaining 0.7% in the previous session.

"The Aussie dollar has obviously benefitted from the coal story," said NAB's Attrill, adding that most other commodity currencies were supported.

The Japanese yen climbed 0.5% to 131.97 per dollar on Thursday, reversing its 1.2% overnight slide, as traders bet that the Bank of Japan may soon fully abandon its controversial yield curve control.

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02-03-2024 06:54:55 (UTC+7)

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EUR/USD

1.0837

+0.0034 (+0.31%)

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Moving Avg:

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1.2655

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150.10

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    EUR/USD 1.0837 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2655 Sell  
    USD/JPY 150.10 Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6525 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3562 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 162.73 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9577 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,091.60 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.345 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.8590 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.81 Buy  
    Brent Oil 83.46 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 1.836 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 184.13 Neutral  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,894.05 Buy  
    S&P 500 5,137.08 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 17,735.00 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,682.50 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 16,589.44 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,075.05 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 10,064.70 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 47.985 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 28.33 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 251.80 Buy  
    Adidas 187.00 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.191 Sell  
    Siemens AG 181.28 Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.566 Neutral  
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