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In U-turn, IEA sees world weathering lost Russian oil supply

By Noah Browning LONDON (Reuters) -The world will not be left short of oil even with lower output from sanctions-hit Russia, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on...
In U-turn, IEA sees world weathering lost Russian oil supply © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A gas pump is seen hanging from the ceiling at a petrol station in Seoul June 27, 2011. REUTERS/Jo Yong-Hak

By Noah Browning

LONDON (Reuters) -The world will not be left short of oil even with lower output from sanctions-hit Russia, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said on Thursday, in a U-turn after it predicted a possible "global supply shock" in March.

The IEA, after warning on March 16 that 3 million barrels per day (bpd) could be shut in from April, lowered that figure for a second time as it noted only 1 million bpd had gone offline.

Production ramping up elsewhere and slower demand growth due to China's lockdowns will forestall a big deficit, the Paris-based IEA said.

"Over time, steadily rising volumes from Middle East OPEC+ and the U.S. along with a slowdown in demand growth is expected to fend off an acute supply deficit amid a worsening Russian supply disruption," the IEA said in its monthly oil report.

The assessment by the Paris-based agency suggests the economic impact from further sanctions on Russian energy mulled by the European Union could be limited.

"Soaring pump prices and slowing economic growth are expected to significantly curb the demand recovery through the remainder of the year and into 2023," the IEA said, adding that curbs aimed at containing COVID-19 in China were driving an extended economic slowdown there.

Reflecting slower products exports and falling domestic demand, around a million barrels per day (bpd) of Russian oil was shut in last month - about half a million bpd less than the agency forecast last month.

The IEA sees that figure rising to 1.6 million bpd in May, to 2 million in June and to nearly 3 million from July onwards if sanctions deter further buying or expand.

The United States and fellow IEA members pledged to release 240 million barrels of oil in their second tapping of emergency stores this year after the IEA sat out a U.S.-led release in November because it saw no major supply disruption at the time. [L2N2WY2DE]

Russian exports rebounded in April by 620,000 bpd from the month before to 8.1 million bpd, the IEA said, back to their January-February average as supply was rerouted away from the United States and Europe, primarily to India.

As it works on a ban on Russian oil, the European Union remained the top market for Russian oil exports last month, the IEA said, down just 535,000 bpd from the start of the year.

The bloc now accounts for 43% of Russian oil exports, down from around 50% then.

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21-05-2022 10:45:35 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0562

-0.0024 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0562

-0.0024 (-0.23%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Indicators:

Buy (7)

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GBP/USD

1.2489

+0.0029 (+0.23%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

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Buy (2)

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USD/JPY

127.86

+0.07 (+0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

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Buy (3)

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AUD/USD

0.7039

-0.0008 (-0.11%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

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USD/CAD

1.2839

+0.0014 (+0.11%)

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Buy (5)

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EUR/JPY

135.05

-0.24 (-0.18%)

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Neutral

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Buy (6)

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EUR/CHF

1.0296

-0.0005 (-0.05%)

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Gold Futures

1,845.10

+3.90 (+0.21%)

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Silver Futures

21.765

-0.143 (-0.65%)

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Copper Futures

4.3042

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

110.35

+0.46 (+0.42%)

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Brent Oil Futures

112.91

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Natural Gas Futures

8.058

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US Coffee C Futures

216.48

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,657.03

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S&P 500

3,901.36

+0.57 (+0.01%)

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DAX

13,981.91

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FTSE 100

7,389.98

+87.24 (+1.19%)

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Hang Seng

20,717.24

+596.56 (+2.96%)

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Moving Avg:

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US Small Cap 2000

1,768.35

-7.87 (-0.44%)

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↑ Buy

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IBEX 35

8,484.50

+78.50 (+0.93%)

Summary

Neutral

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BASF SE NA O.N.

48.850

-0.010 (-0.02%)

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Buy

Moving Avg:

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Bayer AG NA

63.74

+0.34 (+0.54%)

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Buy

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

195.58

+0.78 (+0.40%)

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Buy

Moving Avg:

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Adidas AG

172.80

+0.92 (+0.54%)

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Buy

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.852

+0.049 (+0.72%)

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↑ Sell

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Siemens AG Class N

115.08

+2.62 (+2.33%)

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Deutsche Bank AG

9.362

-0.130 (-1.37%)

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Sell (1)

    EUR/USD 1.0562 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2489 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 127.86 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.7039 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.2839 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 135.05 Neutral  
    EUR/CHF 1.0296 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,845.10 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 21.765 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.3042 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 110.35 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 112.91 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 8.058 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 216.48 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,657.03 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 3,901.36 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 13,981.91 Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,389.98 Neutral  
    Hang Seng 20,717.24 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,768.35 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,484.50 Neutral  
    BASF 48.850 Buy  
    Bayer 63.74 Buy  
    Allianz 195.58 Buy  
    Adidas 172.80 Buy  
    Lufthansa 6.852 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 115.08 Neutral  
    Deutsche Bank AG 9.362 Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,875/ 6,975
(0/ 0) # 1,795
SJC HCM6,895/ 6,985
(5/ 5) # 1,800
SJC Hanoi6,895/ 6,987
(5/ 5) # 1,802
SJC Danang6,895/ 6,987
(5/ 5) # 1,802
SJC Nhatrang6,895/ 6,987
(5/ 5) # 1,802
SJC Cantho6,895/ 6,987
(5/ 5) # 1,802
Cập nhật 21-05-2022 10:45:38
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,846.53 +4.27 0.23%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V30.58031.190
RON 95-III29.98030.570
E5 RON 92-II28.95029.520
DO 0.05S26.65027.180
DO 0,001S-V27.45027.990
Dầu hỏa 2-K25.16025.660
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $109.83 0 0%
Brent $110.60 0 0%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.000,0023.310,00
EUR23.879,5425.217,23
GBP28.128,1029.328,16
JPY176,49186,84
KRW15,8019,26
Cập nhật lúc 10:39:59 21/05/2022
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