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Japan households' inflation expectations hit more than 2-year high - BOJ

Tuesday, January 11, 2022
Japan households' inflation expectations hit more than 2-year high - BOJ © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Shoppers wearing protective face masks, following an outbreak of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), are seen at a supermarket in Tokyo, Japan March 27, 2020. REUTERS/Issei Kato

By Leika Kihara

TOKYO (Reuters) -Nearly 80% of Japanese households expect inflation to accelerate a year from now to its highest in more than two years, a central bank survey showed on Tuesday, a sign the rising cost of living was starting to change public perceptions of future price moves.

The survey, which was conducted between Nov. 5 and Dec. 1, also showed more households expect prices to rise five years from now compared with the previous survey in September.

The results offer some hope for the Bank of Japan's effort to prop up inflation to its 2% target, partly by changing public perceptions about persistent deflation, with a wall of money.

The BOJ's quarterly survey showed the percentage of households who expect prices to rise a year from now stood at 78.8%, up from 68.2% in the September poll and hitting the highest level since September 2019.

Of the total, 80.8% said they expect prices to rise five years from now, up from 78.1% in the previous survey and the highest level since December 2019.

The survey is among the data the Bank of Japan will likely scrutinise at next week's policy meeting to judge whether rising raw material and fuel costs have affected households' inflation expectations.

Japan has not been immune to the impact of global commodity inflation, with wholesale prices rising a record 9.0% in November from a year earlier. But core consumer inflation stood at just 0.5% in November as the hit to consumption from the coronavirus pandemic and slow wage growth discourages firms from passing on higher costs to households.

Some analysts expect core consumer inflation to exceed 1.5% around April, as the drag from last year's cellphone fee cuts taper off and past rises in oil costs push up electricity bills.

Many BOJ policymakers view any such rise in inflation as unsustainable unless accompanied by steady wage gains, pointing to Japan's sticky deflationary sentiment.

BOJ Governor Haruhiko Kuroda has said the central bank will maintain monetary policy ultra-loose until 2% inflation is achieved, even as its counterparts such as the U.S. Federal Reserve eye an exit from crisis-mode stimulus measures.

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29-01-2022 05:50:43 (UTC+7)

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 USD/CAD1.2764Sell
 EUR/JPY128.46Sell
 EUR/CHF1.0381↑ Sell
 Gold1,790.10Buy
 Silver22.485↑ Buy
 Copper4.3297↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI87.31Buy
 Brent Oil89.00Buy
 Natural Gas4.667↑ Sell
 US Coffee C235.85↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 504,136.91↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,431.85↑ Buy
 DAX15,318.95Buy
 FTSE 1007,466.07Neutral
 Hang Seng23,550.08↑ Buy
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 IBEX 358,609.80↑ Buy
 BASF68.510↑ Buy
 Bayer52.83↑ Buy
 Allianz227.80↑ Buy
 Adidas236.15↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.791↑ Buy
 Siemens AG138.34↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG11.912↑ Buy
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