JP Morgan forecasts euro zone recession as gas crisis looms
28 Tháng Bảy 2022
© Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Price tags are seen as a woman shops at a local market in Nice, France, June 7, 2022. REUTERS/Eric Gaillard///File Photo LONDON (Reuters) - The euro zone's looming gas crisis and Italy's political troubles will push the bloc into a mild recession and limit European Central Bank interest rate hikes, JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) forecast on Wednesday.
The bank's economists cut their economic forecasts, predicting euro zone GDP growth to slow to 0.5% this quarter and and then contract 0.5% in both the fourth quarter and the first quarter of next year.
"Our new forecasts assume gas prices at €150/MWh" the bank said.
They added that those higher prices would push up headline inflation by 1.2 percentage points in the near term although it would drop again next year due to the economy's negative reaction.
"We expect the ECB to deliver another 50 basis points of hikes by year-end," compared to 75 bps expected previously JPMorgan added.
"We now expect 25 bp in September and 25bp in October" removing an additional 25bp hike that had been forecast for December, the U.S. bank said.
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BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
12-08-2022 16:47:18 (UTC+7)
EUR/USD
1.0303
-0.0014 (-0.13%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (5)
EUR/USD
1.0303
-0.0014 (-0.13%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (5)
GBP/USD
1.2150
-0.0062 (-0.51%)
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BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
USD/JPY
133.40
+0.40 (+0.30%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (9)
Sell (3)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (0)
AUD/USD
0.7112
+0.0007 (+0.10%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (1)
Sell (11)
Indicators:
Buy (4)
Sell (2)
USD/CAD
1.2756
-0.0005 (-0.04%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (1)
EUR/JPY
137.46
+0.24 (+0.17%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (3)
EUR/CHF
0.9704
-0.0001 (-0.01%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (5)
Sell (4)
Gold Futures
1,802.30
-4.90 (-0.27%)
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↑ SellMoving Avg:
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Sell (11)
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Buy (0)
Sell (8)
Silver Futures
20.267
-0.082 (-0.40%)
Summary
BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (7)
Sell (5)
Indicators:
Buy (5)
Sell (1)
Copper Futures
3.7052
-0.0013 (-0.04%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (10)
Sell (0)
Crude Oil WTI Futures
94.59
+0.25 (+0.27%)
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BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (7)
Sell (5)
Indicators:
Buy (4)
Sell (3)
Brent Oil Futures
100.14
+0.54 (+0.54%)
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NeutralMoving Avg:
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Sell (5)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (4)
Natural Gas Futures
8.663
-0.211 (-2.38%)
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↑ SellMoving Avg:
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Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (9)
US Coffee C Futures
222.75
-1.20 (-0.54%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (11)
Sell (1)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
Euro Stoxx 50
3,777.95
+20.90 (+0.56%)
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↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (2)
S&P 500
4,207.27
-2.97 (-0.07%)
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BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (2)
DAX
13,792.36
+97.85 (+0.71%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
FTSE 100
7,513.70
+47.79 (+0.64%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (4)
Sell (4)
Hang Seng
20,175.62
+93.19 (+0.46%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (1)
US Small Cap 2000
1,975.26
+6.01 (+0.31%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (1)
IBEX 35
8,448.17
+68.17 (+0.81%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (7)
Sell (5)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (5)
BASF SE NA O.N.
44.330
+0.905 (+2.08%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
Bayer AG NA
53.80
+2.12 (+4.10%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
Allianz SE VNA O.N.
181.60
+2.60 (+1.45%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (0)
Adidas AG
171.91
-0.11 (-0.06%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
Deutsche Lufthansa AG
6.572
+0.046 (+0.70%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (1)
Sell (11)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (5)
Siemens AG Class N
112.17
+2.25 (+2.05%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (11)
Sell (0)
Deutsche Bank AG
9.021
+0.157 (+1.77%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
| EUR/USD | 1.0303 | Neutral | |||
| GBP/USD | 1.2150 | Buy | |||
| USD/JPY | 133.40 | ↑ Buy | |||
| AUD/USD | 0.7112 | Neutral | |||
| USD/CAD | 1.2756 | ↑ Buy | |||
| EUR/JPY | 137.46 | ↑ Buy | |||
| EUR/CHF | 0.9704 | ↑ Buy |
| Gold | 1,802.30 | ↑ Sell | |||
| Silver | 20.267 | Buy | |||
| Copper | 3.7052 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Crude Oil WTI | 94.59 | Buy | |||
| Brent Oil | 100.14 | Neutral | |||
| Natural Gas | 8.663 | ↑ Sell | |||
| US Coffee C | 222.75 | ↑ Buy |
| Euro Stoxx 50 | 3,777.95 | ↑ Buy | |||
| S&P 500 | 4,207.27 | Buy | |||
| DAX | 13,792.36 | ↑ Buy | |||
| FTSE 100 | 7,513.70 | Neutral | |||
| Hang Seng | 20,175.62 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Small Cap 2000 | 1,975.26 | ↑ Buy | |||
| IBEX 35 | 8,448.17 | Neutral |
| BASF | 44.330 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Bayer | 53.80 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Allianz | 181.60 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Adidas | 171.91 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Lufthansa | 6.572 | ↑ Sell | |||
| Siemens AG | 112.17 | ↑ Buy | |||
| Deutsche Bank AG | 9.021 | ↑ Buy |
| Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC # So hôm qua # Chênh TG | |
|---|---|
| SJC Eximbank | 6,620 / 6,720 (10 / 10) # 1,654 |
| SJC HCM | 6,630 / 6,730 (10 / 10) # 1,664 |
| SJC Hanoi | 6,630/ 6,732 (10 / 10) # 1,666 |
| SJC Danang | 6,630/ 6,732 (10 / 10) # 1,666 |
| SJC Nhatrang | 6,630/ 6,732 (10 / 10) # 1,666 |
| SJC Cantho | 6,630/ 6,732 (10 / 10) # 1,666 |
| Cập nhật 12-08-2022 16:47:21 | |
| Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây! | |
| ↀ Giá vàng thế giới | ||
|---|---|---|
| $1,787.06 | -2.1 | -0.12% |
| ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu | ||
|---|---|---|
| Sản phẩm | Vùng 1 | Vùng 2 |
| RON 95-V | 25.340 | 25.840 |
| RON 95-III | 24.660 | 25.150 |
| E5 RON 92-II | 23.720 | 24.190 |
| DO 0.05S | 22.900 | 23.350 |
| DO 0,001S-V | 24.880 | 25.370 |
| Dầu hỏa 2-K | 23.320 | 23.780 |
| ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| WTI | $94.56 | -1.59 | -1.68% |
| Brent | $100.12 | -1.78 | -1.77% |
| $ Tỷ giá Vietcombank | ||
|---|---|---|
| Ngoại tệ | Mua vào | Bán ra |
| USD | 23.220,00 | 23.530,00 |
| EUR | 23.498,00 | 24.813,92 |
| GBP | 27.761,87 | 28.945,83 |
| JPY | 170,70 | 180,72 |
| KRW | 15,50 | 18,89 |
| Cập nhật lúc 16:40:33 12/08/2022 Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái | ||
