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Marketmind: BoJ intervention and rate hikes, say no more

23 Tháng Chín 2022

A look at the day ahead in U.S. and global markets from Dhara Ranasinghe.

What a 24 hours it's been in financial markets. Let's start with Japan -- just hours after confirming an ultra-loose monetary policy stance, authorities intervened to buy yen for the first time since 1998 to shore up the battered currency.

The irony for some is that super-low rates in Japan contrast with sharply rising borrowing costs in the United States. Remember, the Fed just hiked rates by 75 basis points again in a sign that it will do whatever it takes to stamp out uncomfortably high inflation.

So the backdrop suggests the dollar will go higher against not just the yen, but the likes of the euro and sterling too.

Still, Japanese authorities are sending a powerful signal that dollar/yen is not a one-way bet and markets are right to heed that warning. Ahead of the early New York session, the yen is up around 1% against the greenback.

And after Wednesday's Fed rate hike, others have followed. Norway's central bank lifted rates by 50 bps and the Swiss National Bank hiked rates by 75 bps - taking Swiss rates positive for the first time in eight years.

The significance of the Swiss move should not be lost on markets, since that draws a line under the era of negative rates in Europe.

That leaves Japan, the outlier dove, as the only major central bank with negative rates, so no surprise if the yen moves back down from here.

Trade in U.S. stock futures meanwhile suggest Wall Street may be due for some calm after Wednesday's post Fed selloff.

An aggressive Federal Reserve may be causing pain across the globe via a stronger dollar, but it's also causing growing unease at home.

GRAPHIC: Japan intervenes to prop up battered yen https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/xmpjoaabdvr/Japan2209.png

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Monday:

Bank of England rate decision at 1100 GMT

South Africa, Egypt, Philippines, Taiwan, Turkey central banks meet

US weekly jobless claims

Canada new house price index

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29-09-2022 05:15:46 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9732

-0.0002 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

0.9732

-0.0002 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.0875

-0.0013 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

USD/JPY

144.15

-0.01 (-0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6518

-0.0004 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

USD/CAD

1.3611

+0.0006 (+0.04%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

140.29

-0.04 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

0.9498

-0.0003 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

1,667.50

-1.20 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Silver Futures

18.887

-0.023 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

3.3825

+0.0010 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

81.83

-0.02 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (7)

Brent Oil Futures

87.98

+3.11 (+3.66%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

7.018

-0.009 (-0.13%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

US Coffee C Futures

227.80

+3.45 (+1.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,335.30

+6.65 (+0.20%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

S&P 500

3,719.04

+71.75 (+1.97%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

DAX

12,183.28

+43.60 (+0.36%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

FTSE 100

7,005.39

+20.80 (+0.30%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Hang Seng

17,250.88

-609.43 (-3.41%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,725.13

+62.62 (+3.77%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

IBEX 35

7,442.20

-3.50 (-0.05%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

39.415

-0.080 (-0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

48.19

-0.07 (-0.13%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

160.72

-3.02 (-1.84%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

130.24

+2.94 (+2.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.772

-0.024 (-0.41%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

99.46

+1.54 (+1.57%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.854

-0.274 (-3.37%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

 EUR/USD0.9732↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.0875↑ Sell
 USD/JPY144.15↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6518↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3611Neutral
 EUR/JPY140.29↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9498↑ Sell
 Gold1,667.50↑ Sell
 Silver18.887↑ Sell
 Copper3.3825↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI81.83↑ Sell
 Brent Oil87.98↑ Buy
 Natural Gas7.018Sell
 US Coffee C227.80↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,335.30Neutral
 S&P 5003,719.04↑ Sell
 DAX12,183.28Neutral
 FTSE 1007,005.39Neutral
 Hang Seng17,250.88Buy
 Small Cap 20001,725.13↑ Buy
 IBEX 357,442.20Neutral
 BASF39.415↑ Buy
 Bayer48.19Neutral
 Allianz160.72↑ Buy
 Adidas130.24↑ Buy
 Lufthansa5.772↑ Buy
 Siemens AG99.46↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG7.854↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,410/ 6,510
(0/ 0) # 1,818
SJC HCM6,420/ 6,520
(0/ 0) # 1,831
SJC Hanoi6,420/ 6,522
(0/ 0) # 1,833
SJC Danang6,420/ 6,522
(0/ 0) # 1,833
SJC Nhatrang6,420/ 6,522
(0/ 0) # 1,833
SJC Cantho6,420/ 6,522
(0/ 0) # 1,833
Cập nhật 29-09-2022 05:15:48
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RON 95-V23.26023.720
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E5 RON 92-II21.78022.210
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Dầu hỏa 2-K22.44022.880
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Brent$88.24-1.29-1.46%
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Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.580,0023.890,00
EUR22.159,1623.399,49
GBP24.732,3625.786,46
JPY159,76169,13
KRW14,2317,34
Cập nhật lúc 17:55:10 28/09/2022
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