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Marketmind: Humble and nimble

A look at the day ahead from Julien Ponthus. "We are going to have to be humble but a bit nimble". Arguably not much of a hint on the timing of rate hike lift-off but investors...
Marketmind: Humble and nimble © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell testifies during a Senate Banking, Housing and Urban Affairs Committee hearing at the Hart Senate Office Building in Washington, DC, U.S., September 28, 2021. Kevin Dietsch/Pool via REUTERS/File Photo

A look at the day ahead from Julien Ponthus.

"We are going to have to be humble but a bit nimble".

Arguably not much of a hint on the timing of rate hike lift-off but investors seemed happy enough with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's congressional hearing yesterday to eagerly buy the dip on Wall Street.

The upbeat sentiment, helped by the Bank of Japan offering its most optimistic view of the country's regional economy in more than eight years, spread to other asset classes with commodities and oil ticking higher while the dollar hit a six-week low and Asian bourses thrived.

Quite crucially, following the Nasdaq's positive close, tech stocks in Hong Kong made a 4% jump, which suggests that stock pickers aren't yet writing the sector off just yet.

The first days of trading of the year had indeed exposed some early cycle teething problems with volatility hitting tech shares for which investors are typically reluctant to pay hefty premiums when interest rates are headed higher.

But while some traders seem to be comfortable with rising bond yield and gently biting into the comparative appeal of stocks, there's still some palpable angst on how smooth the tightening cycle will prove to be for markets.

Of course, today's Chinese factory-gate prices and consumer inflation rising more slowly than expected in December came as a relief but there's another major test coming up today for the smooth tightening cycle narrative.

Apart from German wholesale inflation, U.S. December consumer inflation data will be released with headline CPI expected to hit a whopping 7% year-on-year.

As spectacular as it might be the reading seems currently priced in and expectations are still for inflation to gradually peak as we move further into 2022.

U.S. benchmark 10-year yields have slightly retreated from the 1.808% reached on Monday, the highest since January 2020.

In Europe, where the European Central Bank is nowhere near a rate hike and at the earliest expected to move in 2023, German bond yields are reluctant to creep out of negative territory.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Wednesday:

-NATO ambassadors and Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov meet

-ECB Board Member Andrea Enria and Fed Minneapolis President Neel Kashkari speak

-Emerging markets: Poland Central Bank

-US 10-year note auction Graphic: Fed and ECB policy rate history, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/dwvkrkjkkpm/Two.PNG

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26-01-2022 09:44:24 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1291

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

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Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.1291

-0.0008 (-0.07%)

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Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

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GBP/USD

1.3499

+0.0003 (+0.02%)

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Sell (12)

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USD/JPY

114.31

+0.44 (+0.39%)

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Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

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Buy (10)

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AUD/USD

0.7160

+0.0012 (+0.17%)

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Moving Avg:

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USD/CAD

1.2587

-0.0040 (-0.32%)

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EUR/JPY

129.06

+0.41 (+0.32%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Sell (1)

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Buy (8)

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EUR/CHF

1.0387

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

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Gold Futures

1,831.30

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Silver Futures

23.725

-0.171 (-0.72%)

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Copper Futures

4.4943

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

86.55

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Brent Oil Futures

88.32

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Natural Gas Futures

4.099

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US Coffee C Futures

238.38

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,164.35

+86.09 (+2.11%)

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S&P 500

4,405.43

+48.98 (+1.12%)

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DAX

15,445.65

+321.78 (+2.13%)

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FTSE 100

7,503.07

+131.61 (+1.79%)

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↑ Buy

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Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

24,289.90

+46.29 (+0.19%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

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Indicators:

Buy (7)

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US Small Cap 2000

2,023.30

+18.50 (+0.92%)

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↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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IBEX 35

8,646.06

+166.56 (+1.96%)

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Sell (7)

BASF SE NA O.N.

67.630

+2.300 (+3.52%)

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Bayer AG NA

51.55

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

224.23

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Adidas AG

245.28

+7.53 (+3.17%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.008

+0.331 (+4.96%)

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Siemens AG Class N

141.30

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Deutsche Bank AG

11.423

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Summary

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    EUR/USD 1.1291 Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.3499 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 114.31 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.7160 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.2587 Buy  
    EUR/JPY 129.06 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/CHF 1.0387 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,831.30 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.725 Neutral  
    Copper 4.4943 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 86.55 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 88.32 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 4.099 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 238.38 Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,164.35 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,405.43 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,445.65 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,503.07 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 24,289.90 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 2,023.30 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,646.06 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 67.630 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 51.55 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 224.23 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 245.28 Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.008 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 141.30 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.423 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,190/ 6,240
(-5/ -5) # 1,175
SJC HCM6,180/ 6,245
(-10/ -10) # 1,179
SJC Hanoi6,180/ 6,247
(-10/ -10) # 1,181
SJC Danang6,180/ 6,247
(-10/ -10) # 1,181
SJC Nhatrang6,180/ 6,247
(-10/ -10) # 1,181
SJC Cantho6,180/ 6,247
(-10/ -10) # 1,181
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EUR24.918,8126.315,80
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KRW16,3519,92
Cập nhật lúc 18:54:49 26/01/2022
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