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Marketmind: Markets 'Fed Up'

22 Tháng Chín 2022
Marketmind: Markets 'Fed Up' © Reuters. Traders work on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., September 13, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly
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A look at the day ahead in European and global markets from Anshuman Daga

No pain, no gain.

That seems to be message from the Fed as it gave sobering projections and set the ground for its policy rate to rise at a faster pace and to a higher level than expected.

That sent Asian stocks crumbling to two-year lows, the dollar to a fresh two-decade high and Treasury yields higher.

BlackRock (NYSE:BLK), the world's biggest asset manager, expects the Fed to raise rates few more times, with data determining the "veracity" of that and how much longer they will have to go.

Rick Rieder, who heads BlackRock's global allocation investment team says that due to slower economic growth, the question now is when the economy will become "Fed Up," with rising rates and tighter liquidity and begin adjusting demand relative to these much tighter monetary conditions.

Meanwhile, as sterling hit a new 37-year low of $1.1225, the only hope for any remaining sterling bulls might be a massive hike by the Bank of England.

While economists polled by Reuters last week expect the central bank to announce at 1200 GMT that rates will rise to 2.25% from 1.75%, financial markets have priced in a bigger move to 2.5%.

True, inflation is just off a 40-year high but Britain still has to cope with free-spending government, slower growth and a tight labour market.

Elsewhere, Norway's central bank is also widely expected to increase rates today by 50 basis points to 2.25%, the highest level since 2011.

But the Swiss National Bank is expected to join the 75 basis point rate hike club to choke off nearly three-decade-high inflation.

In Asia, the focus was on the Bank of Japan as it stuck to its ultra-loose monetary policy and dovish policy guidance, remaining an outlier among a wave of central banks raising interest rates to combat soaring inflation.

The race to raise rates https://graphics.reuters.com/GLOBAL-CENTRALBANKS/lgpdwdygbvo/chart.png

Key developments that could influence markets on Thursday:

Central bank meetings: Swiss National Bank, Norway central bank, Bank of England

Economic data: US weekly jobless claims

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05-10-2022 21:38:22 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9851

-0.0132 (-1.32%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

0.9851

-0.0132 (-1.32%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.1273

-0.0200 (-1.74%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

144.71

+0.62 (+0.43%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

AUD/USD

0.6436

-0.0064 (-0.98%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3683

+0.0172 (+1.27%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/JPY

142.63

-1.22 (-0.85%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

EUR/CHF

0.9725

-0.0049 (-0.50%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

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Gold Futures

1,716.15

-14.35 (-0.83%)

Summary

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Moving Avg:

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Sell (4)

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Silver Futures

20.152

-0.947 (-4.49%)

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Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

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Buy (9)

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Copper Futures

3.4618

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Moving Avg:

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

86.73

+0.21 (+0.24%)

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Moving Avg:

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Brent Oil Futures

92.29

+0.49 (+0.53%)

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Moving Avg:

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Natural Gas Futures

6.916

+0.079 (+1.16%)

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Moving Avg:

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US Coffee C Futures

225.38

+6.08 (+2.77%)

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↑ Buy

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,431.75

-52.73 (-1.51%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

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Sell (10)

S&P 500

3,729.23

-61.70 (-1.63%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (10)

Indicators:

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Sell (11)

DAX

12,471.44

-199.04 (-1.57%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

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Sell (9)

FTSE 100

7,017.38

-69.08 (-0.97%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Hang Seng

18,087.97

+1008.46 (+5.90%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,732.40

-39.91 (-2.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

IBEX 35

7,549.72

-146.88 (-1.91%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

41.875

-0.425 (-1.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Bayer AG NA

48.71

+0.06 (+0.12%)

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

165.31

-1.89 (-1.13%)

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Adidas AG

122.44

-3.76 (-2.98%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.955

-0.023 (-0.38%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Siemens AG Class N

103.55

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Deutsche Bank AG

7.926

-0.144 (-1.78%)

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↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

    EUR/USD 0.9851 Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.1273 Buy  
    USD/JPY 144.71 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6436 Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3683 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 142.63 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9725 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,716.15 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 20.152 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.4618 Neutral  
    Crude Oil WTI 86.73 Buy  
    Brent Oil 92.29 Buy  
    Natural Gas 6.916 Sell  
    US Coffee C 225.38 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,431.75 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 3,729.23 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 12,471.44 ↑ Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,017.38 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 18,087.97 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,732.40 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 7,549.72 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 41.875 Neutral  
    Bayer 48.71 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 165.31 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 122.44 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.955 Neutral  
    Siemens AG 103.55 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.926 ↑ Sell  
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