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Marketmind: Soft landings and re-openings

09 Tháng Giêng 2023
Marketmind: Soft landings and re-openings © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: FILE PHOTO: People walk past a screen displaying the Hang Seng stock index outside Hong Kong Exchanges, in Hong Kong, China July 19, 2022. REUTERS/Lam Yik//File Photo
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By Jamie McGeever

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever.

Asian markets are set to open the week with a spring in their step on Monday, buoyed by Wall Street's surge on Friday and rising hopes of a soft U.S. landing, and optimism surrounding China's re-opening after its 'zero-Covid' policy came to an end this weekend.

A 'Goldilocks' U.S. employment report on Friday was taken by investors as a sign that the Fed might win its anti-inflation battle without doing too much damage to the economy - U.S. and global stocks, risky assets and bonds all soared, which is likely to set the tone in Asia on Monday.

MSCI global stocks - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/lbvggorymvq/MSCIGlobal.png

A relatively benign U.S. backdrop - economic activity and inflation cooling enough to allow the Fed to end its hiking cycle soon, and maybe even reverse it later this year - is enough to whet investors' risk appetite.

Throw in increasingly positive signs from China, and the bulls could be leading the charge on Monday.

Travelers (NYSE:TRV) began streaming into mainland China by air, land and sea on Sunday, as Beijing opened borders that have been all but shut since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic.

Beijing's abrupt U-turn has triggered huge waves of infections, but investors hope the reopening will eventually bear economic fruit. China is in talks with Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) over a vaccine, and economists at many big banks are revising up their GDP growth forecasts for the second half of this year.

Chinese yuan - offshore and onshore - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/byvrlroneve/CNY.jpg

The increasing bullishness is being reflected in China's exchange rate. The yuan is its strongest since mid-August, moving further away from the 7.00-per-dollar level.

Hong Kong tech stocks have been on a tear recently - up a staggering 65% from the October low - but could open on a more cautious note on Monday following news that Ant Group's founder Jack Ma will give up control of the fintech giant.

Analysts are split on whether this paves the way for the company to revive its IPO plans, or results in further delay.

There is little in the way of economic data from Asia on Monday, but the flow accelerates later in the week. Among the major events to watch are: new loans, consumer and producer price inflation, and trade data from China; Australian and Indian inflation; and current account and Tokyo inflation figures from Japan.

South Korea's central bank is also expected to raise interest rates by 25 bps on Thursday to 3.50%. Policymakers are split on where the terminal rate should be - three out of six in November saw 3.50%, two saw potential for 3.75%.

Three key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Monday:

- Fed's Bostic speaks

- Japan's PM Kishida meets with France's President Macron

- Euro zone unemployment (November)

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31-01-2023 16:24:59 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0816

-0.0028 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0816

-0.0028 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2313

-0.0039 (-0.31%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

USD/JPY

130.34

-0.10 (-0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

AUD/USD

0.7007

-0.0052 (-0.74%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.3456

+0.0072 (+0.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

140.97

-0.48 (-0.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/CHF

1.0042

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

1,905.90

-17.00 (-0.88%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (4)

Silver Futures

23.210

-0.523 (-2.20%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Copper Futures

4.1290

-0.0730 (-1.74%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

76.89

-1.01 (-1.30%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

83.49

-1.01 (-1.20%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

2.668

-0.009 (-0.34%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

US Coffee C Futures

170.83

+0.25 (+0.15%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,136.75

-21.88 (-0.53%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

S&P 500

4,017.77

-52.79 (-1.30%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

DAX

15,033.35

-92.73 (-0.61%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

FTSE 100

7,730.50

-54.37 (-0.70%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Hang Seng

21,842.33

-227.40 (-1.03%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,885.72

-25.74 (-1.35%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

9,016.46

-32.84 (-0.36%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

BASF SE NA O.N.

52.395

-0.385 (-0.73%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Bayer AG NA

56.20

-0.70 (-1.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

219.43

-1.92 (-0.87%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

Adidas AG

145.13

-2.19 (-1.49%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

9.614

-0.037 (-0.38%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Siemens AG Class N

143.18

-0.08 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Deutsche Bank AG

12.153

-0.125 (-1.02%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

    EUR/USD 1.0816 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2313 Neutral  
    USD/JPY 130.34 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.7007 Neutral  
    USD/CAD 1.3456 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 140.97 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 1.0042 Neutral  
    Gold 1,905.90 Sell  
    Silver 23.210 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.1290 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 76.89 Neutral  
    Brent Oil 83.49 Neutral  
    Natural Gas 2.668 Buy  
    US Coffee C 170.83 ↑ Buy  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,136.75 ↑ Sell  
    S&P 500 4,017.77 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,033.35 Sell  
    FTSE 100 7,730.50 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 21,842.33 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,885.72 Neutral  
    IBEX 35 9,016.46 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 52.395 ↑ Sell  
    Bayer 56.20 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 219.43 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 145.13 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 9.614 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 143.18 ↑ Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 12.153 ↑ Sell  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,640/ 6,720
(20/ 20) # 1,294
SJC HCM6,630/ 6,770
(-10/ 30) # 1,343
SJC Hanoi6,630/ 6,772
(-10/ 30) # 1,345
SJC Danang6,630/ 6,772
(-10/ 30) # 1,345
SJC Nhatrang6,630/ 6,772
(-10/ 30) # 1,345
SJC Cantho6,630/ 6,772
(-10/ 30) # 1,345
Cập nhật 31-01-2023 16:25:01
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,906.89 -15.13 -0.79%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V24.00024.480
RON 95-III23.14023.600
E5 RON 92-II22.32022.760
DO 0.05S22.52022.970
DO 0,001S-V24.28024.760
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.57023.020
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $77.11 +0.97 1.24%
Brent $83.54 +0.87 1.02%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.250,0023.620,00
EUR24.796,6826.185,21
GBP28.230,7029.434,52
JPY174,96185,23
KRW16,4720,07
Cập nhật lúc 16:16:32 31/01/2023
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