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Marketmind: The fog of war

16 Tháng Mười Một 2022
Marketmind: The fog of war © Reuters. The Wall Street entrance to the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) is seen in New York City, U.S., November 15, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid
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By Jamie McGeever

(Reuters) - A look at the day ahead in Asian markets from Jamie McGeever.

Investors clearly want to take stocks and risk assets higher to try and make up for a dismal year, and they're getting a timely helping hand from surprisingly weak U.S. inflation numbers.

With daily direction seemingly driven by little more than the ebb and flow of hopes for a Fed pivot, they may have forgotten about the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and its potentially catastrophic spillover risks.

Investors were jolted on Tuesday from any complacency that may have set in by reports that a blast in the eastern Polish village of Przewodow that killed two people was caused by Russian missiles crossing into Poland.

Russia denied the reports, calling them "a deliberate provocation"; Washington called them "incredibly concerning"; Ukraine's President Zelenskiy said this represents a Russian attack on NATO territory and marks a "significant escalation."

In the fog of war, clarity is hard to find.

The reports knocked nearly 2% off the Nasdaq, briefly pushed the Dow into the red and clipped 5 to 10 basis points off U.S. Treasury yields across the curve.

Wall Street still closed in the green thanks to a smaller-than-expected rise in U.S. producer prices, more evidence following Thursday's CPI data that inflation has peaked.

It remains to be seen how Asian markets open on Wednesday. The inflation outlook is improving and markets are running with it - the S&P 500 is up 12% since the Oct. 13 low, the Dow is up 17% and the Nasdaq is up almost 10% since last Thursday alone.

But with world leaders gathered in Indonesia for the G20 summit, war and geopolitical risks are once again right at the forefront of investors' minds. Or they should be.

U.S. stocks and geopolitical tensions https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/jnpwyeygjpw/WallStRisks.jpg

Three key developments that could provide more direction to markets on Wednesday:

- China house prices (October)

- Japan machinery orders (September)

- Australia wage growth (Q3)

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03-12-2022 12:59:54 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0540

+0.0018 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0540

+0.0018 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2292

+0.0039 (+0.31%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

USD/JPY

134.30

-0.96 (-0.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.6795

-0.0014 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

USD/CAD

1.3473

+0.0041 (+0.31%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

EUR/JPY

141.59

-0.77 (-0.54%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

0.9876

+0.0016 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Gold Futures

1,811.40

-3.80 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Silver Futures

23.355

+0.514 (+2.25%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

Copper Futures

3.8550

+0.0375 (+0.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

80.34

-0.88 (-1.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

85.42

-1.46 (-1.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Natural Gas Futures

6.222

-0.516 (-7.66%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

US Coffee C Futures

162.08

-3.67 (-2.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,977.90

-6.60 (-0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

4,071.70

-4.87 (-0.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

DAX

14,529.39

+39.09 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

FTSE 100

7,556.23

-2.26 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Hang Seng

18,675.35

-61.09 (-0.33%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

US Small Cap 2000

1,889.98

+8.30 (+0.44%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

IBEX 35

8,382.60

-22.70 (0.00%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

BASF SE NA O.N.

48.730

+0.870 (+1.82%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Bayer AG NA

54.84

-0.19 (-0.35%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (1)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

202.65

-1.10 (-0.54%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Adidas AG

124.26

-0.66 (-0.53%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.738

+0.162 (+2.14%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Siemens AG Class N

134.70

+1.04 (+0.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.024

+0.119 (+1.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

    EUR/USD 1.0540 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2292 Buy  
    USD/JPY 134.30 ↑ Buy  
    AUD/USD 0.6795 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3473 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 141.59 Buy  
    EUR/CHF 0.9876 ↑ Sell  
    Gold 1,811.40 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 23.355 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.8550 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 80.34 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 85.42 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 6.222 ↑ Sell  
    US Coffee C 162.08 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,977.90 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,071.70 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 14,529.39 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,556.23 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 18,675.35 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,889.98 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,382.60 Neutral  
    BASF 48.730 ↑ Buy  
    Bayer 54.84 Neutral  
    Allianz 202.65 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 124.26 ↑ Buy  
    Lufthansa 7.738 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 134.70 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.024 ↑ Buy  
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,600/ 6,670
(0/ 0) # 1,414
SJC HCM6,615/ 6,695
(-5/ -5) # 1,445
SJC Hanoi6,615/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,447
SJC Danang6,615/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,447
SJC Nhatrang6,615/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,447
SJC Cantho6,615/ 6,697
(-5/ -5) # 1,447
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.83024.300
RON 95-III22.70023.150
E5 RON 92-II21.67022.100
DO 0.05S23.21023.670
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WTI $80.37 0 0%
Brent $85.95 0 0%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.930,0024.240,00
EUR24.695,6126.077,28
GBP28.769,6729.995,10
JPY174,05184,25
KRW16,0519,55
Cập nhật lúc 12:51:38 03/12/2022
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