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Marketmind: The real balancing act

05 Tháng Năm 2022
Marketmind: The real balancing act © Reuters. Traders work on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in New York City, U.S., April 28, 2022. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/Files

A look at the day ahead in markets from Saikat Chatterjee.

Market reaction after the U.S. Federal Reserve's 50 basis-point interest rate rise was a classic case of "buy the rumour and sell the fact". The dollar weakened, Treasury yields declined across the board and U.S. stocks jumped by almost 3%, its biggest rise in two years.

The immediate trigger was the Fed's rejection of even bigger 75 bps rate rises going forward. But all said and done, U.S. interest rates will rise by nearly 2 percentage points by year-end, if not more, and that raises some questions about the outlook for U.S. equities.

Still, Asian markets took their cues from Wall Street on Thursday. Hong Kong's tech shares index is up more than 1%, also on expectations Beijing will open the monetary spigots -- the People's Bank of China pledged policy support to help the economy after a private sector survey showed a sharp contraction in the country's services sector.

European stocks are set to open higher.

On bond markets, the Fed's signal eschewing 75 bps moves allowed rate-sensitive two-year Treasury yields to close 13 bps lower on Wednesday. That move has carried through, with Australian and German short-dated yields also lower on the day.

It's been a big week in central banking - and now after the Fed, the Reserve Bank of Australia and an unscheduled rate hike from India, all eyes are on the Bank of England.

While the Fed's decision was relatively straightforward, its counterpart in London has a trickier job at hand, trying to balance soaring inflation with growth risks caused by a cost-of-living squeeze.

For Thursday, money markets comfortably predict a quarter-point hike to 1% but a Reuters poll of economists finds some uncertainty over the future rate hike path.

Elsewhere, oil prices which rallied as much as 5% on Wednesday on news of a planned European Union ban on Russian oil, consolidated those gains. China's dire services PMI is clearly a dampener.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Thursday:

Central bank meetings: United Kingdom, Norway, Czech Republic, Poland

China's services activity falls at second sharpest rate on record - Caixin PMI

Shell (LON:RDSa) posts record profit on high energy prices and trading boost

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25-05-2022 05:02:28 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0734

0.0001 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

EUR/USD

1.0734

0.0001 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

GBP/USD

1.2534

+0.0004 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

126.89

+0.09 (+0.07%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.7109

+0.0006 (+0.08%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (1)

USD/CAD

1.2819

+0.0002 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

136.21

+0.10 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

1.0311

+0.0004 (+0.04%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

1,863.60

-1.48 (-0.08%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (1)

Silver Futures

22.107

+0.392 (+1.80%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

Copper Futures

4.3133

-0.0322 (-0.74%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

110.20

-0.08 (-0.07%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

Brent Oil Futures

110.98

+0.03 (+0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Natural Gas Futures

8.867

-0.025 (-0.28%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (11)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

213.83

-1.92 (-0.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,647.56

-60.83 (-1.64%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

S&P 500

3,941.48

-32.27 (-0.81%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

DAX

13,919.75

-255.65 (-1.80%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

FTSE 100

7,484.35

-29.09 (-0.39%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

Hang Seng

20,112.10

-357.96 (-1.75%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,768.22

-24.55 (-1.37%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

8,631.20

+5.40 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

BASF SE NA O.N.

48.755

-0.980 (-1.97%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

Bayer AG NA

63.29

-1.18 (-1.83%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

197.86

-1.52 (-0.76%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Adidas AG

171.20

-4.28 (-2.44%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.496

-0.407 (-5.90%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

114.20

-2.50 (-2.14%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.084

+0.066 (+0.66%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

 EUR/USD1.0734↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2534↑ Buy
 USD/JPY126.89↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7109Neutral
 USD/CAD1.2819Sell
 EUR/JPY136.21↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0311Buy
 Gold1,863.60Buy
 Silver22.107Neutral
 Copper4.3133↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI110.20Buy
 Brent Oil110.98Neutral
 Natural Gas8.867↑ Buy
 US Coffee C213.83↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,647.56Neutral
 S&P 5003,941.48Neutral
 DAX13,919.75↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,484.35Sell
 Hang Seng20,112.10↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,768.22↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,631.20↑ Buy
 BASF48.755↑ Buy
 Bayer63.29Neutral
 Allianz197.86Sell
 Adidas171.20Neutral
 Lufthansa6.496↑ Buy
 Siemens AG114.20↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.084↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,900/ 6,990
(0/ 0) # 1,765
SJC HCM6,900/ 6,990
(0/ 0) # 1,764
SJC Hanoi6,900/ 6,992
(0/ 0) # 1,766
SJC Danang6,900/ 6,992
(0/ 0) # 1,766
SJC Nhatrang6,900/ 6,992
(0/ 0) # 1,766
SJC Cantho6,900/ 6,992
(0/ 0) # 1,766
Cập nhật 25-05-2022 05:02:30
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,866.42+12.650.68%
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Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V31.25031.870
RON 95-III30.65031.260
E5 RON 92-II29.63030.220
DO 0.05S25.55026.060
DO 0,001S-V26.35026.870
Dầu hỏa 2-K24.40024.880
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$109.59-0.55-0.50%
Brent$111.28-0.02-0.02%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.040,0023.350,00
EUR24.230,6125.587,89
GBP28.221,9329.425,91
JPY177,16187,56
KRW15,8619,33
Cập nhật lúc 18:54:49 24/05/2022
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