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Marketmind: What purchasing managers are saying

23 Tháng Sáu 2022
Marketmind: What purchasing managers are saying © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: Workers install a battery for a new electric vehicle model at Mitsubishi Motor Corp's factory in Kurashiki, Japan May 19, 2022. REUTERS/Satoshi Sugiyama/File Photo

A look at the day ahead in markets from Sujata Rao

Indexes based on the views of purchasing managers, essentially the folks who buy products for companies, give a comprehensive indication of the state of an economy. So, with recession worries swirling, advance readings for June, due Thursday across the developed world, have taken on particular significance.

Japan has set a dour tone, showing factory growth at four-month lows and suppliers' delivery times continuing to lengthen. European and U.S. PMIs, as these indexes are known, have slipped in recent months heading steadily towards the 50-mark that denotes the separation line between expansion and contraction.

This trend is expected to have continued in June.

GRAPHIC: PMIs (https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/movanrnggpa/Pasted%20image%201655303398569.png)

Neither data nor policymakers' utterances have soothed fears of a looming growth funk. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell on Wednesday acknowledged the concern but was clear that the bank will focus on getting inflation back down to 2% -- effectively committing to tighten policy no matter what.

Similarly, latest Reuters polls forecast euro zone rates at 0.75% by year-end, 1.25 percentage points above current levels.

One interesting shift is visible on commodity markets, especially those linked to economic growth.

Copper and oil have appeared until now, impervious to the darker outlook due to tight supply picture. Now though, Brent crude has plunged to mid-May lows below $110 a barrel and copper is at 16-month lows.

That's feeding into energy and materials stocks; popular with investors as inflation soared, they may be shunned if recession replaces stagflation as the main scenario. Wednesday's Wall Street session saw energy stocks drop 4.2% and world stocks look set for another lacklustre day.

Central banks will plough on regardless, with Norway expected to raise interest rates later on, alongside a host of emerging markets. And Powell will be on the wires again, testifying before a House committee.

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Thursday:

-Indonesia seen holding rates at 3.5%

-Philippines rates to rise 25 bps to 2.5%

-ECB bank supervisor Andrea Enria speaks

-Norway Central Bank meeting

-European Council meeting (to June 24).

-Mexico may hike interest rates by 75 bps to 7.75%

-Central Bank of Turkey

-Egypt seen hiking rates by 50 bps to 11.75%

-U.S. current account

-U.S. 5-year TIPS auction

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27-06-2022 09:41:43 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0563

+0.0009 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0563

+0.0009 (+0.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2286

+0.0024 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

134.82

-0.34 (-0.26%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (3)

AUD/USD

0.6933

-0.0015 (-0.22%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

USD/CAD

1.2876

-0.0017 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

EUR/JPY

142.40

-0.26 (-0.18%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

EUR/CHF

1.0113

+0.0004 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

1,837.70

+7.40 (+0.40%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

Silver Futures

21.392

+0.233 (+1.10%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Copper Futures

3.8005

+0.0560 (+1.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

108.14

+0.52 (+0.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

109.79

+0.69 (+0.63%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

6.212

-0.069 (-1.10%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

US Coffee C Futures

223.40

-5.60 (-2.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,533.17

+96.88 (+2.82%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

S&P 500

3,911.74

+116.01 (+3.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

DAX

13,118.13

+205.54 (+1.59%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

FTSE 100

7,208.81

+188.36 (+2.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

22,321.00

+601.94 (+2.77%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

1,765.74

+54.06 (+3.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,244.10

+137.70 (+1.70%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

42.215

+0.785 (+1.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

57.79

-0.75 (-1.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

181.20

+2.20 (+1.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Adidas AG

170.36

+3.30 (+1.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.966

-0.310 (-4.94%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

102.62

+3.36 (+3.39%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

8.919

+0.407 (+4.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD1.0563↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2286↑ Buy
 USD/JPY134.82↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6933↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2876↑ Sell
 EUR/JPY142.40↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0113↑ Buy
 Gold1,837.70Neutral
 Silver21.392Sell
 Copper3.8005↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI108.14↑ Buy
 Brent Oil109.79↑ Buy
 Natural Gas6.212↑ Sell
 US Coffee C223.40↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,533.17Neutral
 S&P 5003,911.74↑ Buy
 DAX13,118.13↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,208.81↑ Buy
 Hang Seng22,321.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,765.74↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,244.10Sell
 BASF42.215↑ Buy
 Bayer57.79↑ Sell
 Allianz181.20↑ Sell
 Adidas170.36↑ Sell
 Lufthansa5.966↑ Sell
 Siemens AG102.62↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG8.919↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,775/ 6,845
(15/ 5) # 1,672
SJC HCM6,795/ 6,865
(10/ 0) # 1,693
SJC Hanoi6,795/ 6,867
(10/ 0) # 1,695
SJC Danang6,795/ 6,867
(10/ 0) # 1,695
SJC Nhatrang6,795/ 6,867
(10/ 0) # 1,695
SJC Cantho6,795/ 6,867
(10/ 0) # 1,695
Cập nhật 27-06-2022 09:41:45
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,836.37+9.090.50%
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Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V33.47034.130
RON 95-III32.87033.520
E5 RON 92-II31.30031.920
DO 0.05S30.01030.610
DO 0,001S-V30.81031.420
Dầu hỏa 2-K28.78029.350
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$107.01-1.58-1.49%
Brent$109.74-1.7-1.57%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.080,0023.390,00
EUR23.932,6125.273,13
GBP27.815,2929.001,83
JPY167,64177,48
KRW15,5718,97
Cập nhật lúc 09:37:39 27/06/2022
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