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Marketmind: What worked and what didn't

Friday, December 24, 2021
Marketmind: What worked and what didn't © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A trader works on the trading floor on the last day of trading before Christmas at the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., December 23, 2021. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

A look at the day ahead from Sujata Rao

How many of the investment calls made a year ago did what they promised? As is usual in any year, some asset classes stubbornly refused to do as they were told.

Take the dollar. At this time last year, shorting the dollar was the most "crowded" trade, BofA said, citing its monthly fund manager survey. Some have pointed out in the past how his particular poll has acted as a contrarian indicator but this one has been particularly spectacular; the dollar index is up 7% this year. No central bank can "out-dove" the Fed, we were told, but of course, plenty managed it.

The other one that went wrong was emerging markets; expecting a rebound in trade, tourism and commodity prices, alongside dollar weakness, Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) a year ago told clients "Gotta Buy EM All!"

Hopefully they didn't. Emerging currency debt has lost 9% and equities are down 6%. Those index moves of course contain some gems (look at 20% gains for Indian shares and a 15% rise for frontier market equities) but also unfortunately... some Turkeys.

Even after some unorthodox measures by the administration to repair the damage, the lira remains down some 50%-plus on the year.

The commodity and oil bet has worked however, as has U.S. tech, the gift which kept giving -- for all the threats of more fines for monopolistic behaviour, higher taxes and challenges from smaller tech firms, the U.S. Nasdaq index rose 26%.

And makers of semiconductors -- dubbed the new oil by some -- are up 40%, not too far behind Brent's 45% rebound.

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26-01-2022 08:18:48 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1278

-0.0022 (-0.19%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

EUR/USD

1.1278

-0.0022 (-0.19%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

GBP/USD

1.3512

+0.0016 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

USD/JPY

114.28

+0.41 (+0.36%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

AUD/USD

0.7172

+0.0024 (+0.34%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (3)

USD/CAD

1.2567

-0.0060 (-0.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

128.87

+0.22 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

EUR/CHF

1.0385

+0.0011 (+0.11%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

1,845.40

-7.10 (-0.38%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Silver Futures

23.907

+0.011 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Copper Futures

4.5160

+0.0660 (+1.48%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

86.96

+1.36 (+1.59%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

88.48

+1.30 (+1.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

4.146

+0.252 (+6.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

US Coffee C Futures

240.30

+2.40 (+1.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,179.95

+101.69 (+2.49%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

S&P 500

4,356.45

-53.68 (-1.22%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

DAX

15,485.23

+361.36 (+2.39%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

FTSE 100

7,509.85

+138.39 (+1.88%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Hang Seng

24,289.90

+46.29 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

2,004.80

-28.71 (-1.41%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

IBEX 35

8,669.41

+189.91 (+2.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

BASF SE NA O.N.

67.790

+2.460 (+3.77%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

51.76

+0.94 (+1.85%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

224.72

+4.67 (+2.12%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Adidas AG

246.07

+8.32 (+3.50%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (3)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.064

+0.387 (+5.80%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

142.28

+3.76 (+2.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.485

+0.411 (+3.71%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD1.1278Neutral
 GBP/USD1.3512↑ Sell
 USD/JPY114.28↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7172Sell
 USD/CAD1.2567↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY128.87↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0385↑ Buy
 Gold1,845.40↑ Sell
 Silver23.907↑ Sell
 Copper4.5160↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI86.96↑ Buy
 Brent Oil88.48↑ Buy
 Natural Gas4.146↑ Buy
 US Coffee C240.30↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,179.95↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,356.45↑ Sell
 DAX15,485.23Buy
 FTSE 1007,509.85↑ Buy
 Hang Seng24,289.90↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,004.80↑ Sell
 IBEX 358,669.41↑ Sell
 BASF67.790↑ Buy
 Bayer51.76↑ Buy
 Allianz224.72↑ Buy
 Adidas246.07↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.064↑ Sell
 Siemens AG142.28↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG11.485↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,190/ 6,240
(-5/ -5) # 1,175
SJC HCM6,180/ 6,245
(-10/ -10) # 1,179
SJC Hanoi6,180/ 6,247
(-10/ -10) # 1,181
SJC Danang6,180/ 6,247
(-10/ -10) # 1,181
SJC Nhatrang6,180/ 6,247
(-10/ -10) # 1,181
SJC Cantho6,180/ 6,247
(-10/ -10) # 1,181
Cập nhật 26-01-2022 08:18:50
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,845.61-4.13-0.22%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-IV2486025350
RON 95-II,III
E5 RON 92-II2359024060
DO 0.05S1890019270
DO 0,001S-V1925019630
Dầu hỏa1779018140
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$86.47-1.5-1.76%
Brent$88.43-1.43-1.65%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD22.460,0022.770,00
EUR24.918,8126.315,80
GBP29.789,2431.061,45
JPY192,82204,12
KRW16,3519,92
Cập nhật lúc 18:54:49 26/01/2022
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