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Marketmind: Who wants to be a central banker?

13 Tháng Sáu 2022
Marketmind: Who wants to be a central banker? © Reuters. A shopping cart is seen in a supermarket as inflation affected consumer prices in Manhattan, New York City, U.S., June 10, 2022. REUTERS/Andrew Kelly

A look at the day ahead in markets from Sujata Rao.

A half-point U.S. Fed interest rate rise was always a done deal for Wednesday, but with annual inflation rising at the fastest since 1981, expectations are growing of a 75 basis-point move, either this month, or at one of the bank's upcoming meetings.

That's sent two-year Treasury yields to 15-year highs at almost 3.2%, having jumped 40 bps last week. The dollar has surged back to four-week peaks.

GRAPHIC: CPI and wage growth (https://graphics.reuters.com/USA-STOCKS/gkvlgznropb/cpiwages.png)

But the combo of inflation and central bank action is tightening the screws on the economy, sending U.S. consumer sentiment to a record low in early-June.

With the 2-year/10-year Treasury yield curve back on track for inversion, recession warnings are flashing.

The Fed is not the only game in town this week, with policy meetings scheduled in Britain, Japan and Switzerland. The Bank of England, particularly, has its work cut out, after Monday's data showed GDP shrank in April.

Near-10% inflation (exacerbated by sterling weakness) will force the Bank of England stick to plans for a 25 bps rate hike on Thursday, but navigating the inflation-growth dilemma may prove trickier than elsewhere.

Given inflation angst has transformed hitherto-dovish policymakers into hawks, more surprises may loom; the Swiss National Bank may decide on Thursday it's time for a hawkish pivot and Sweden may spring a half-point rate rise on Friday.

And Japan? The yen is at 24-year lows beyond 135.20 per dollar, despite last week's joint government-central bank statement that raised expectations of currency intervention.

What would really stem yen decline is a softer Bank of Japan line on yield curve control.

But there's no such pivot yet; the BOJ plans to buy 500 billion yen ($3.70 billion) of government bonds on Tuesday to keep 10-year yields within 0.25 percentage points around 0%.

Throw in Beijing's new "ferocious" COVID-19 outbreak and global recession increasingly seems like a done deal.

European and U.S. shares are looking at a dour session ahead and world stocks are at the lowest in three weeks.

GRAPHIC: Japan currency (https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/myvmnwzrlpr/G10%20FX%20performance%20YTD.JPG)

Key developments that should provide more direction to markets on Monday:

- Oil falls, spooked by Beijing COVID warning and inflation

-French President Emmanuel Macron has a razor-thin edge over the left, first parliament elections show

-ECB policymakers Robert Holzmann and Luis de Guindos speak

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Hot Auto Trade Bot Phương Thức Thanh Toán
BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
net_home_top Ai VIF
27-06-2022 07:20:58 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0567

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

EUR/USD

1.0567

+0.0013 (+0.12%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

GBP/USD

1.2284

+0.0022 (+0.18%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

USD/JPY

135.01

-0.15 (-0.11%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

AUD/USD

0.6939

-0.0009 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

USD/CAD

1.2905

+0.0013 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

142.65

-0.01 (-0.00%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

EUR/CHF

1.0117

+0.0008 (+0.08%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (4)

Gold Futures

1,831.70

+1.40 (+0.08%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Silver Futures

21.165

+0.006 (+0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Copper Futures

3.7555

+0.0110 (+0.29%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

105.75

-1.87 (-1.74%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Brent Oil Futures

107.27

-1.83 (-1.68%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Natural Gas Futures

6.202

-0.079 (-1.26%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (8)

US Coffee C Futures

223.40

-5.60 (-2.45%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,533.17

+96.88 (+2.82%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

S&P 500

3,911.74

+116.01 (+3.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

DAX

13,118.13

+205.54 (+1.59%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

FTSE 100

7,208.81

+188.36 (+2.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

21,719.06

+445.19 (+2.09%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

US Small Cap 2000

1,765.74

+54.06 (+3.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,244.10

+137.70 (+1.70%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

BASF SE NA O.N.

42.215

+0.785 (+1.89%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Bayer AG NA

57.79

-0.75 (-1.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

181.20

+2.20 (+1.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Adidas AG

170.36

+3.30 (+1.98%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.966

-0.310 (-4.94%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

Siemens AG Class N

102.62

+3.36 (+3.39%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

8.919

+0.407 (+4.78%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

 EUR/USD1.0567↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.2284↑ Sell
 USD/JPY135.01Buy
 AUD/USD0.6939↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.2905↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY142.65↑ Sell
 EUR/CHF1.0117Sell
 Gold1,831.70↑ Sell
 Silver21.165↑ Sell
 Copper3.7555↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI105.75↑ Sell
 Brent Oil107.27↑ Sell
 Natural Gas6.202↑ Sell
 US Coffee C223.40↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,533.17Neutral
 S&P 5003,911.74↑ Buy
 DAX13,118.13↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,208.81↑ Buy
 Hang Seng21,719.06↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,765.74↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,244.10Sell
 BASF42.215↑ Buy
 Bayer57.79↑ Sell
 Allianz181.20↑ Sell
 Adidas170.36↑ Sell
 Lufthansa5.966↑ Sell
 Siemens AG102.62↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG8.919↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,760/ 6,840
(6,760/ 6,840) # 1,696
SJC HCM6,785/ 6,865
(0/ 0) # 1,716
SJC Hanoi6,785/ 6,867
(0/ 0) # 1,718
SJC Danang6,785/ 6,867
(0/ 0) # 1,718
SJC Nhatrang6,785/ 6,867
(0/ 0) # 1,718
SJC Cantho6,785/ 6,867
(0/ 0) # 1,718
Cập nhật 27-06-2022 07:21:00
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây!
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,830.08+2.80.15%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V33.47034.130
RON 95-III32.87033.520
E5 RON 92-II31.30031.920
DO 0.05S30.01030.610
DO 0,001S-V30.81031.420
Dầu hỏa 2-K28.78029.350
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$104.81+0.620.59%
Brent$107.47+0.580.54%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.080,0023.390,00
EUR23.828,4125.163,09
GBP27.747,3328.930,97
JPY167,31177,13
KRW15,4518,82
Cập nhật lúc 07:15:24 27/06/2022
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