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Mexico headline inflation seen easing in early November, core inflation up: Reuters Poll

23 Tháng Mười Một 2022
Mexico headline inflation seen easing in early November, core inflation up: Reuters Poll © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A man sells corn grains at a public market in Ozumba de Alzate, State of Mexico, Mexico, May 24, 2022. REUTERS/Edgard Garrido/File Photo

MEXICO CITY (Reuters) - Mexico's annual headline inflation is forecast to have eased in the first half of November but to have stayed well above official targets, a Reuters poll showed Tuesday, leaving the door open to further interest rate hikes by the country's central bank.

The median forecast of 16 analysts sees annual headline inflation slowing to 8.24% from the 8.28% recorded in the second half of October.

While annual inflation continues its deceleration from a peak of 8.77% in the second half of August, core inflation is now expected to rise to 8.60%, a level not seen since August 2000.

The core index, seen as a better measurement of inflation because it strips out volatile food and energy prices, is seen climbing 0.30% in the first 15 days of the month compared to the previous half-month period.

Meanwhile, headline consumer prices are expected to have risen 0.65% in the period.

The forecasts keep annual inflation far above the Bank of Mexico's target of 3% plus or minus one percentage point.

Banxico, as the central bank is known, has raised Mexico's benchmark interest rate 600 basis points since June 2021, lifting the rate to its current 10%.

The bank is scheduled to hold its next monetary policy meeting on Dec. 15, when analysts expect a 50-basis-point rate increase after four consecutive hikes of 75 basis points.

Mexico's statistics institute will release inflation data for the first half of November on Thursday at 6 a.m. (1200 GMT).

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28-11-2023 16:02:50 (UTC+7)

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 EUR/USD1.0951↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2627↑ Buy
 USD/JPY148.66↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6606↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3601Sell
 EUR/JPY162.79Neutral
 EUR/CHF0.9644↑ Buy
 Gold2,015.25↑ Buy
 Silver24.683↑ Buy
 Copper3.8070↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI75.57↑ Buy
 Brent Oil80.58Buy
 Natural Gas2.952↑ Sell
 US Coffee C169.60↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,332.55↑ Sell
 S&P 5004,550.43↑ Sell
 DAX15,927.35↑ Sell
 FTSE 1007,410.71Sell
 Hang Seng17,383.50Buy
 Small Cap 20001,801.15↑ Sell
 IBEX 359,943.66↑ Sell
 BASF42.630↑ Sell
 Bayer31.17↑ Sell
 Allianz230.98↑ Sell
 Adidas184.02↑ Sell
 Lufthansa7.722↑ Sell
 Siemens AG150.12Neutral
 Deutsche Bank AG11.048↑ Buy
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