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More small emerging market defaults 'probable' in 2023 - Fitch

22 Tháng Mười Một 2022
More small emerging market defaults 'probable' in 2023 - Fitch © Reuters

JOHANNESBURG (Reuters) -More sovereign defaults are "probable" next year among small emerging market countries, ratings agency Fitch said in its 2023 outlook on Monday, citing a likelihood of sudden jumps in borrowing costs, loss of market access and urgent funding needs.

Meanwhile the Group of 20 leading economies' debt restructuring process, the Common Framework, which is underway in Zambia and Ethiopia and has concluded in Chad, has proven ineffective at faciliating restructurings and is unlikely to improve next year, the ratings agency added.

Dozens of emerging countries, especially smaller and riskier ones referred to as frontier markets, have seen their borrowing costs soar to unaffordable levels in 2022 as the U.S. Federal Reserve has embarked on a hiking cycle in an effort to contain soaring inflation in the wake of Russia's invasion of Ukraine and ongoing COVID-19 lockdowns in China.

Sri Lanka defaulted on its debt earlier this year, while other countries including Egypt, Tunisia and Ghana have sought help from the International Monetary Fund.

"International bond market access will remain a challenge for small and frontier EMs, and more defaults are probable," the Fitch report said. "As in 2022, there will be cases of more urgent funding challenges in smaller and frontier EMs."

A greater share of emerging markets had a positive credit rating outlook compared to developed markets for the first time since 2018, Fitch said.

Nonetheless, 2022 was the second worst year for emerging market downgrades, the ratings agency said in a statement accompanying the report.

"Geopolitical risks remain high. There is as yet no clear path towards reconciliation for Russia and Ukraine, and similarly for China-U.S. relations," the statement said.

"Supply chains of traded goods effectively transmit the risks and consequences of these conflicts globally."

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BROKERS ĐƯỢC CẤP PHÉP
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03-12-2022 12:14:44 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0540

+0.0018 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0540

+0.0018 (+0.17%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2292

+0.0039 (+0.31%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

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USD/JPY

134.30

-0.96 (-0.71%)

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Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

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Buy (9)

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AUD/USD

0.6795

-0.0014 (-0.21%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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USD/CAD

1.3473

+0.0041 (+0.31%)

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EUR/JPY

141.59

-0.77 (-0.54%)

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EUR/CHF

0.9876

+0.0016 (+0.17%)

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1,811.40

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23.355

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3.8550

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80.34

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85.42

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6.222

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US Coffee C Futures

162.08

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,977.90

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18,675.35

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1,889.98

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8,382.60

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48.730

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54.84

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202.65

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Adidas AG

124.26

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7.738

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134.70

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 EUR/USD1.0540↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2292Buy
 USD/JPY134.30↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.6795↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.3473↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY141.59Buy
 EUR/CHF0.9876↑ Sell
 Gold1,811.40↑ Sell
 Silver23.355↑ Sell
 Copper3.8550↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI80.34↑ Buy
 Brent Oil85.42↑ Buy
 Natural Gas6.222↑ Sell
 US Coffee C162.08↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,977.90↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,071.70↑ Buy
 DAX14,529.39↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,556.23↑ Sell
 Hang Seng18,675.35↑ Sell
 Small Cap 20001,889.98↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,382.60Neutral
 BASF48.730↑ Buy
 Bayer54.84Neutral
 Allianz202.65↑ Sell
 Adidas124.26↑ Buy
 Lufthansa7.738↑ Buy
 Siemens AG134.70↑ Buy
 Deutsche Bank AG10.024↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,600/ 6,670
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SJC HCM6,615/ 6,695
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SJC Hanoi6,615/ 6,697
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Cập nhật lúc 12:09:41 03/12/2022
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