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Oil prices slip as markets await demand forecasts, economic clarity

By Ambar Warrick  AiVIF.com-- Oil prices fell on Monday after a sharp rally last week, as traders turned cautious and locked in some profits ahead of demand forecasts from the...
Oil prices slip as markets await demand forecasts, economic clarity © Reuters.
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By Ambar Warrick 

AiVIF.com-- Oil prices fell on Monday after a sharp rally last week, as traders turned cautious and locked in some profits ahead of demand forecasts from the OPEC and the IEA, as well as a barrage of economic data due this week. 

Crude prices rallied over 8% last week on the prospect of a rebound in Chinese demand, after the country reopened its borders and essentially confirmed a pivot away from its strict zero-COVID policy. Weakness in the U.S. dollar, amid signs of slowing inflation in the country, also benefited oil prices.

Focus is now squarely on a monthly report from the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), due on Tuesday. Markets are waiting to see whether the cartel will change its forecasts for global demand in the face of a Chinese economic recovery.

Brent oil futures fell 0.5% to 85.09 a barrel, while West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 0.6% to $79.67 a barrel in early Asian trade. Market volumes are expected to be limited due to a U.S. holiday on Monday.

Traders are also awaiting a report on crude markets from the International Energy Agency (IEA), due on Wednesday, for the body’s outlook on oil prices and demand for the year.

Beyond data from industry bodies, crude markets are also awaiting a slew of economic data and central bank meetings this week. 

The Bank of Japan’s monetary policy meeting is of key import to markets, after the lender unexpectedly struck a hawkish chord during its December meeting- a move that rattled financial markets. 

Inflation readings from the eurozone and England are also in focus, as is data on U.S. retail sales, factory gate inflation and industrial production.

Markets will be watching for any signs of slowing economic growth, amid increased fears of a recession in 2023. Oil prices had slumped in the first week of the year are the International Monetary Fund warned of a potential recession this year. 

This notion has largely limited any upside in crude markets, with traders fearing that oil demand will be impacted by slowing economic growth across the globe. 

While Chinese demand has shown some signs of recovery, the country is also grappling with its worst-yet COVID-19 outbreak, which markets fear could delay a bigger economic bounceback. 

 

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29-11-2023 06:03:20 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0996

+0.0006 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

EUR/USD

1.0996

+0.0006 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

GBP/USD

1.2700

+0.0007 (+0.06%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

USD/JPY

147.39

-0.09 (-0.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

AUD/USD

0.6651

+0.0003 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3570

-0.0003 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

EUR/JPY

162.07

-0.05 (-0.03%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

EUR/CHF

0.9652

0.0000 (0.00%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Gold Futures

2,042.40

+0.80 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

Silver Futures

25.080

+0.035 (+0.14%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Copper Futures

3.8492

+0.0014 (+0.04%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

76.61

+0.04 (+0.05%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

81.47

+0.02 (+0.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

Natural Gas Futures

2.792

+0.004 (+0.14%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (2)

US Coffee C Futures

172.53

+3.48 (+2.06%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (11)

Euro Stoxx 50

4,347.25

-7.16 (-0.16%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

S&P 500

4,554.89

+4.46 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (1)

DAX

15,992.67

+26.30 (+0.16%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

FTSE 100

7,455.24

-5.46 (-0.07%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Hang Seng

17,383.50

-145.50 (-0.83%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

US Small Cap 2000

1,792.55

-8.60 (-0.48%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (5)

IBEX 35

10,003.40

+67.30 (+0.68%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

42.705

-0.490 (-1.13%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

Bayer AG NA

30.56

-1.11 (-3.49%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

230.55

+0.05 (+0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Adidas AG

186.66

+1.42 (+0.77%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.787

+0.064 (+0.83%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

Siemens AG Class N

151.42

+1.18 (+0.79%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

Deutsche Bank AG

11.090

+0.038 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0996 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.2700 ↑ Buy  
    USD/JPY 147.39 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6651 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3570 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/JPY 162.07 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9652 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 2,042.40 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 25.080 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.8492 ↑ Buy  
    Crude Oil WTI 76.61 ↑ Buy  
    Brent Oil 81.47 Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.792 Neutral  
    US Coffee C 172.53 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,347.25 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,554.89 ↑ Buy  
    DAX 15,992.67 Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,455.24 ↑ Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,383.50 Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,792.55 Sell  
    IBEX 35 10,003.40 ↑ Sell  
    BASF 42.705 Sell  
    Bayer 30.56 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 230.55 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 186.66 Sell  
    Lufthansa 7.787 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 151.42 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.090 ↑ Buy  
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$2,040.97 +25.62 1.27%
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Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.71024.180
RON 95-III23.02023.480
E5 RON 92-II21.69022.120
DO 0.05S20.28020.680
DO 0,001S-V21.68022.110
Dầu hỏa 2-K20.94021.350
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Brent $81.43 +1.37 0.02%
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EUR25.848,9127.268,27
GBP29.811,3031.080,78
JPY158,66167,95
KRW16,2019,64
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