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Oil rises over 1% on China demand hopes, U.S. inflation in focus

By Alex Lawler LONDON (Reuters) -Oil rose more than 1% on Thursday supported by optimism over China's demand outlook and hopes that upcoming inflation data from the United States...
Oil rises over 1% on China demand hopes, U.S. inflation in focus © Reuters. FILE PHOTO: A pump jack of Wintershall DEA is pictured in Emlichheim near the northern German city of Meppen, Germany, March 9, 2022. REUTERS/Fabian Bimmer
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By Alex Lawler

LONDON (Reuters) -Oil rose more than 1% on Thursday supported by optimism over China's demand outlook and hopes that upcoming inflation data from the United States will point to a slower increase in interest rates.

Top oil importer China is reopening its economy after the end of strict COVID-19 curbs, boosting optimism that demand for fuel will grow in 2023.

Brent crude rose $1.18, or 1.4%, to $83.85 a barrel by 1250 GMT, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude gained $1.15, or 1.5%, to $78.56.

Both benchmarks jumped 3% on Wednesday driven by hopes that the outlook for the global economy may not be quite as pessimistic as has been feared.

"A softer landing for the U.S., and perhaps elsewhere, combined with a strong economic rebound in China following the current COVID wave could make for a much better year than feared and stimulate extra crude demand," said Craig Erlam of brokerage OANDA.

The U.S. CPI data due at 1330 GMT is set to have a big impact on oil and the wider market by shaping expectations of the speed of interest rate hikes in the world's biggest economy.

"The mood is unreservedly upbeat but let us remember: it can turn sour as quickly as it has improved if inflationary pressure proves entrenched," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

Economists expect the rise in core U.S. consumer prices to have slowed to an annual pace of 5.7% in December, versus 6% a month earlier. Month-on-month headline inflation is seen at zero.

The market is also bracing for an additional curb on Russian oil supply due to sanctions over its invasion of Ukraine.

The U.S. Energy Information Administration said the upcoming EU ban on seaborne imports of petroleum products from Russia on Feb. 5 could be more disruptive than the EU ban on seaborne imports of crude oil from Russia implemented in December 2022.

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-0.0003 (-0.02%)

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Sell (8)

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EUR/USD

1.0727

-0.0003 (-0.02%)

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1.2036

+0.0020 (+0.17%)

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USD/JPY

130.93

-1.72 (-1.29%)

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Neutral

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0.6948

+0.0067 (+0.97%)

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USD/CAD

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    EUR/USD 1.0727 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2036 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 130.93 Neutral  
    AUD/USD 0.6948 ↑ Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3415 ↑ Buy  
    EUR/JPY 140.47 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9894 ↑ Buy  
    Gold 1,886.70 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 22.242 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 4.0637 Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 76.67 ↑ Sell  
    Brent Oil 83.31 ↑ Sell  
    Natural Gas 2.558 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 177.05 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 4,209.31 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,129.93 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 15,320.88 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,864.71 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 21,298.70 ↑ Sell  
    Small Cap 2000 1,955.55 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 9,172.40 ↑ Buy  
    BASF 52.950 Neutral  
    Bayer 58.95 ↑ Sell  
    Allianz 219.40 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 153.08 Neutral  
    Lufthansa 9.653 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 140.86 Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 11.530 ↑ Buy  
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