

WARSAW (Reuters) - Double-digit inflation in Poland leaves no room for loosening monetary policy this year but interest rates will not rise further, central banker Ludwik Kotecki told Reuters.
With the main interest rate staying at 6.75% for a fourth month in a row in January and inflation for December coming in lower than expected, markets' focus has turned to when the National Bank of Poland (NBP) could start loosening policy.
"I believe that the Monetary Policy Council will not raise interest rates this year, but at the same time I do not see room to lower them in 2023," said Kotecki, who is a member of the central bank's rate-setting monetary policy council.
Kotecki said even talking about lower rates at the moment risked weakening the impact of monetary policy.
Kotecki's views follow comments last week by Central Bank Governor Adam Glapinski, who said he remained hopeful a rate cut could happen this year, despite still rising inflation rates.
A statistics office flash estimate showed that inflation was 16.6% in December. Kotecki said that in 2023 average annual inflation will be around 14%, and it will peak in February at around 20%.
After that, the price growth rate will gradually decrease and at the end of the year it may stabilise at a lower, but still double-digit level of 11-13%.
"Then what about interest rates? Nothing. The MPC has de facto ended the hike cycle, although formally it is in a phase of monetary policy tightening. Talking about rate cuts at the moment is, in my opinion, a communication error," that weakens the impact of monetary policy, he said.
"It is like shooting yourself in the foot. Look what the Fed or the ECB are doing. They are deliberately exaggerating about how hawkish they will be, and we, pretending to be hawks, say that in a moment we will be doves," he added.
Kotecki believes that inflation will still be far from the inflation target of 2.5% plus or minus one percentage point in 2024 as well.
"In my opinion, in 2024 inflation in the base scenario will still be around 10%. I don't really know why it shouldn't be like that. But when it comes to 2024, we have a lot more unknowns," he said.
EUR/USD
1.0869
-0.0020 (-0.18%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
EUR/USD
1.0869
-0.0020 (-0.18%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
GBP/USD
1.2399
-0.0007 (-0.06%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (5)
Sell (1)
USD/JPY
129.85
-0.35 (-0.27%)
Summary
BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (8)
Sell (4)
Indicators:
Buy (5)
Sell (2)
AUD/USD
0.7108
-0.0006 (-0.08%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (4)
USD/CAD
1.3311
-0.0009 (-0.07%)
Summary
NeutralMoving Avg:
Buy (9)
Sell (3)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (5)
EUR/JPY
141.14
-0.65 (-0.46%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (9)
Sell (3)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (3)
EUR/CHF
1.0015
-0.0005 (-0.05%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (0)
Gold Futures
1,928.00
-2.00 (-0.10%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (8)
Silver Futures
23.725
-0.295 (-1.23%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (1)
Copper Futures
4.2300
-0.0375 (-0.88%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (6)
Sell (2)
Crude Oil WTI Futures
79.38
-1.63 (-2.01%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (4)
Brent Oil Futures
86.40
0.00 (0.00%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (3)
Sell (5)
Natural Gas Futures
2.856
+0.008 (+0.28%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (9)
US Coffee C Futures
169.25
+2.10 (+1.26%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (7)
Euro Stoxx 50
4,178.01
+4.03 (+0.10%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
S&P 500
4,070.56
+10.13 (+0.25%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (0)
Sell (12)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (7)
DAX
15,150.03
+17.18 (+0.11%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (1)
FTSE 100
7,765.15
+4.04 (+0.05%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (1)
Hang Seng
22,688.90
+122.12 (+0.54%)
Summary
BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (2)
Sell (2)
US Small Cap 2000
1,911.46
+8.39 (+0.44%)
Summary
↑ SellMoving Avg:
Buy (5)
Sell (7)
Indicators:
Buy (0)
Sell (6)
IBEX 35
9,060.20
+24.60 (+0.27%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (9)
Sell (0)
BASF SE NA O.N.
52.790
+0.170 (+0.32%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
Bayer AG NA
56.28
+0.24 (+0.43%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (5)
Sell (3)
Allianz SE VNA O.N.
221.65
+0.05 (+0.02%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (8)
Sell (0)
Adidas AG
148.30
+3.02 (+2.08%)
Summary
SellMoving Avg:
Buy (6)
Sell (6)
Indicators:
Buy (1)
Sell (7)
Deutsche Lufthansa AG
9.755
+0.028 (+0.29%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (9)
Sell (3)
Indicators:
Buy (10)
Sell (0)
Siemens AG Class N
144.50
+0.44 (+0.31%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (10)
Sell (2)
Indicators:
Buy (10)
Sell (1)
Deutsche Bank AG
12.340
+0.208 (+1.71%)
Summary
↑ BuyMoving Avg:
Buy (12)
Sell (0)
Indicators:
Buy (7)
Sell (0)
EUR/USD | 1.0869 | ↑ Buy | |||
GBP/USD | 1.2399 | ↑ Buy | |||
USD/JPY | 129.85 | Buy | |||
AUD/USD | 0.7108 | ↑ Sell | |||
USD/CAD | 1.3311 | Neutral | |||
EUR/JPY | 141.14 | ↑ Buy | |||
EUR/CHF | 1.0015 | ↑ Buy |
Gold | 1,928.00 | ↑ Sell | |||
Silver | 23.725 | ↑ Buy | |||
Copper | 4.2300 | ↑ Buy | |||
Crude Oil WTI | 79.38 | ↑ Sell | |||
Brent Oil | 86.40 | ↑ Sell | |||
Natural Gas | 2.856 | ↑ Sell | |||
US Coffee C | 169.25 | Sell |
Euro Stoxx 50 | 4,178.01 | ↑ Buy | |||
S&P 500 | 4,070.56 | ↑ Sell | |||
DAX | 15,150.03 | ↑ Buy | |||
FTSE 100 | 7,765.15 | ↑ Buy | |||
Hang Seng | 22,688.90 | Buy | |||
Small Cap 2000 | 1,911.46 | ↑ Sell | |||
IBEX 35 | 9,060.20 | ↑ Buy |
BASF | 52.790 | ↑ Buy | |||
Bayer | 56.28 | ↑ Buy | |||
Allianz | 221.65 | ↑ Buy | |||
Adidas | 148.30 | Sell | |||
Lufthansa | 9.755 | ↑ Buy | |||
Siemens AG | 144.50 | ↑ Buy | |||
Deutsche Bank AG | 12.340 | ↑ Buy |
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC # So hôm qua # Chênh TG | |
---|---|
SJC Eximbank | 6,720/ 6,820 (6,720/ 6,820) # 1,331 |
SJC HCM | 6,720/ 6,820 (0/ 0) # 1,331 |
SJC Hanoi | 6,720/ 6,822 (0/ 0) # 1,333 |
SJC Danang | 6,720/ 6,822 (0/ 0) # 1,333 |
SJC Nhatrang | 6,720/ 6,822 (0/ 0) # 1,333 |
SJC Cantho | 6,720/ 6,822 (0/ 0) # 1,333 |
Cập nhật 30-01-2023 00:01:45 | |
Xem lịch sử giá vàng SJC: nhấn đây! |
ↀ Giá vàng thế giới | ||
---|---|---|
$1,927.97 | -2.61 | -0.13% |
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu | ||
---|---|---|
Sản phẩm | Vùng 1 | Vùng 2 |
RON 95-V | 23.010 | 23.470 |
RON 95-III | 22.150 | 22.590 |
E5 RON 92-II | 21.350 | 21.770 |
DO 0.05S | 21.630 | 22.060 |
DO 0,001S-V | 23.390 | 23.850 |
Dầu hỏa 2-K | 21.800 | 22.230 |
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới | |||
---|---|---|---|
WTI | $79.49 | 0 | 0% |
Brent | $86.08 | 0 | 0% |
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank | ||
---|---|---|
Ngoại tệ | Mua vào | Bán ra |
USD | 23.260,00 | 23.630,00 |
EUR | 24.857,55 | 26.249,47 |
GBP | 28.270,18 | 29.475,66 |
JPY | 175,71 | 186,02 |
KRW | 16,43 | 20,02 |
Cập nhật lúc 18:54:06 29/01/2023 Xem bảng tỷ giá hối đoái |