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Russia sees GDP growing by 2.6% in 2024-25 -economy minister

MOSCOW (Reuters) -Russia's economy is expected to expand by 2.6% in 2024-2025 thanks to domestic consumer and investment demand, Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov said on...
Russia sees GDP growing by 2.6% in 2024-25 -economy minister © Reuters. Russian President Vladimir Putin listens to Minister of Economic Development Maxim Reshetnikov during a meeting in Moscow, Russia February 4, 2021. Sputnik/Mikhail Klimentyev/Kremlin via REUTERS /File Photo

MOSCOW (Reuters) -Russia's economy is expected to expand by 2.6% in 2024-2025 thanks to domestic consumer and investment demand, Economy Minister Maxim Reshetnikov said on Wednesday, after falling this year and next due to Western sanctions.

Russian gross domestic product (GDP) is seen falling by 2.9% this year and by 0.8% in 2023, Reshetnikov told the upper house of parliament, with the jobless rate seen at 4.5% and inflation at 12.4% by end-2022.

Russian officials have been improving forecasts as Western sanctions caused a spike in price for Russian oil, gas and commodities exports despite shortages and talk of a need to restrict the country's usage.

In April, the World Bank had forecast a GDP contraction as deep as 11.2% this year but Reshetnikov said emergency support measures taken by the government coupled with high energy prices have helped stabilise the situation.

According to the forecast, the price for Russian Urals oil is seen at $70 per barrel next year and $65 in 2025, with discounts narrowing as Russia re-routes export flows to what Reshetnikov called "neutral countries" - the ones which did not join sanctions on Moscow after it sent troops into Ukraine.

Below is table with latest economy ministry's forecasts:

2021 2022 2023 2024 2025

Urals 69.1 80.0 70.1 67.5 65.0

price,

dollar/bar

rel

GDP, % 4.7 -2.9 -0.8 2.6 2.6

CPI by 12.4 5.5 4.0 4.0

year-end, 8.4

% to Dec

Capital 7.7 -2.0 -1.0 3.9 3.7

investment

s, %

Real 3.1 -2.0 2.0 3.1 2.8

disposable

income, %

Real 4.5 -2.0 2.6 2.9 2.8

wages, %

Retail 7.8 -6.1 2.7 3.7 3.1

sales, %

Jobless 4.8 4.2 4.4 4.3 4.1

rate, % to

workforce

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01-10-2022 05:35:12 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9801

-0.0013 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

0.9801

-0.0013 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.1172

+0.0057 (+0.51%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

144.79

+0.34 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

AUD/USD

0.6403

-0.0095 (-1.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

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USD/CAD

1.3830

+0.0153 (+1.12%)

Summary

Neutral

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Indicators:

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EUR/JPY

141.89

+0.11 (+0.08%)

Summary

Sell

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Indicators:

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EUR/CHF

0.9673

+0.0098 (+1.02%)

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Sell

Moving Avg:

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Gold Futures

1,668.30

-0.30 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Silver Futures

19.015

+0.303 (+1.62%)

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Copper Futures

3.3885

-0.0295 (-0.86%)

Summary

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

79.74

-1.49 (-1.83%)

Summary

Buy

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Brent Oil Futures

85.56

-1.62 (-1.86%)

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Natural Gas Futures

6.826

-0.048 (-0.70%)

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US Coffee C Futures

220.98

-4.72 (-2.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,318.20

+39.16 (+1.19%)

Summary

Neutral

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Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

S&P 500

3,585.62

-54.85 (-1.51%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

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DAX

12,114.36

+138.81 (+1.16%)

Summary

Neutral

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Indicators:

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Sell (6)

FTSE 100

6,893.81

+12.22 (+0.18%)

Summary

Sell

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Indicators:

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Sell (10)

Hang Seng

17,222.83

+56.96 (+0.33%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,667.27

-7.66 (-0.46%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

IBEX 35

7,366.80

+66.70 (+0.91%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

39.600

+0.750 (+1.93%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Bayer AG NA

47.41

-0.31 (-0.64%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

161.80

+2.18 (+1.37%)

Summary

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Adidas AG

118.88

-5.14 (-4.14%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.918

+0.101 (+1.74%)

Summary

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Siemens AG Class N

101.20

+2.94 (+2.99%)

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Sell

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Deutsche Bank AG

7.646

+0.052 (+0.68%)

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 EUR/USD0.9801↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.1172Buy
 USD/JPY144.79↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.6403↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.3830Neutral
 EUR/JPY141.89Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9673Sell
 Gold1,668.30↑ Buy
 Silver19.015↑ Buy
 Copper3.3885↑ Sell
 Crude Oil WTI79.74Buy
 Brent Oil85.56↑ Buy
 Natural Gas6.826↑ Buy
 US Coffee C220.98↑ Sell
 Euro Stoxx 503,318.20Neutral
 S&P 5003,585.62↑ Sell
 DAX12,114.36Neutral
 FTSE 1006,893.81Sell
 Hang Seng17,222.83↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,667.27↑ Sell
 IBEX 357,366.80Neutral
 BASF39.600Neutral
 Bayer47.41Sell
 Allianz161.80↑ Sell
 Adidas118.88↑ Sell
 Lufthansa5.918↑ Buy
 Siemens AG101.20Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG7.646Sell
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