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Stay bearish risk assets in coming months - Bank of America

By Senad Karaahmetovic Bank of America strategists urged the firm’s clients to stay bearish on risk assets in the first half of 2023. Investors seeking to play a major rebound in...
Stay bearish risk assets in coming months - Bank of America © Reuters. Stay bearish risk assets in coming months - Bank of America's Hartnett
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By Senad Karaahmetovic

Bank of America strategists urged the firm’s clients to stay bearish on risk assets in the first half of 2023.

Investors seeking to play a major rebound in beaten-down tech stocks should wait until the second half of the year, the strategists said. They see a change in the narrative, from inflation and rate “shocks” to recession and credit “shocks”.

“Long bonds H1… hard landing, long stocks and bonds H2… peak Fed; maintain SPX nibble at 3.6k, bite at 3.3k, gorge at 3.0k entry points; trades: long UST 30-yr, gold, China, copper, industrials, small-cap; short US$, tech, PE; barbell credit,” the strategists wrote in a client note.

They also highlighted the key 4-day flows to November 22, such as the largest inflow to bonds in 15 weeks, 1st inflow to gold since June (which ends the longest outflow episode on record), as well as 41 weeks of outflows from European equities, which extends longest outflow episode on record.

As far as BofA’s private clients are concerned, they note the continuation of rotation of private client funds from equities to bonds with 39 consecutive weeks of bond inflows and 9 consecutive weeks of equity outflows.

The strategists also highlighted the fact that the BofA Bull & Bear Indicator is up to 0.6, which is the 5-month high and an indicator of improving risk sentiment.

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28-11-2022 08:55:46 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0345

-0.0050 (-0.48%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

EUR/USD

1.0345

-0.0050 (-0.48%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

GBP/USD

1.2038

-0.0055 (-0.45%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

USD/JPY

138.71

-0.40 (-0.28%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

AUD/USD

0.6676

-0.0073 (-1.08%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (4)

USD/CAD

1.3467

+0.0090 (+0.67%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (6)

EUR/JPY

143.49

-1.10 (-0.76%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (1)

Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

EUR/CHF

0.9796

-0.0030 (-0.31%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

Gold Futures

1,747.40

-6.60 (-0.38%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Silver Futures

21.137

-0.293 (-1.37%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (3)

Sell (9)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Copper Futures

3.5585

-0.0720 (-1.98%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

74.36

-1.92 (-2.52%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Brent Oil Futures

81.70

-2.01 (-2.40%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

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Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Natural Gas Futures

7.273

-0.057 (-0.78%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

US Coffee C Futures

164.40

+1.65 (+1.01%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (2)

Sell (10)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,962.41

+0.42 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (2)

S&P 500

4,026.12

-1.14 (-0.03%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

DAX

14,541.38

+1.82 (+0.01%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

FTSE 100

7,486.67

+20.07 (+0.27%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (1)

Hang Seng

16,963.00

-610.58 (-3.47%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,869.19

+6.37 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

IBEX 35

8,416.60

+37.20 (+0.00%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

49.605

-0.280 (-0.56%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (4)

Bayer AG NA

55.45

-0.06 (-0.11%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (6)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

205.35

+0.40 (+0.20%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (1)

Adidas AG

123.98

-2.68 (-2.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (5)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.567

+0.036 (+0.48%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

Siemens AG Class N

132.06

+1.10 (+0.84%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

Deutsche Bank AG

10.390

+0.020 (+0.19%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (0)

    EUR/USD 1.0345 ↑ Sell  
    GBP/USD 1.2038 ↑ Sell  
    USD/JPY 138.71 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6676 Sell  
    USD/CAD 1.3467 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 143.49 ↑ Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9796 Sell  
    Gold 1,747.40 ↑ Sell  
    Silver 21.137 ↑ Sell  
    Copper 3.5585 Neutral  
    Crude Oil WTI 74.36 Buy  
    Brent Oil 81.70 Buy  
    Natural Gas 7.273 Buy  
    US Coffee C 164.40 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,962.41 ↑ Buy  
    S&P 500 4,026.12 Neutral  
    DAX 14,541.38 ↑ Buy  
    FTSE 100 7,486.67 ↑ Buy  
    Hang Seng 16,963.00 Neutral  
    Small Cap 2000 1,869.19 ↑ Buy  
    IBEX 35 8,416.60 Sell  
    BASF 49.605 Neutral  
    Bayer 55.45 Sell  
    Allianz 205.35 ↑ Buy  
    Adidas 123.98 Neutral  
    Lufthansa 7.567 ↑ Sell  
    Siemens AG 132.06 ↑ Buy  
    Deutsche Bank AG 10.390 ↑ Buy  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,660/ 6,730
(6,660/ 6,730) # 1,504
SJC HCM6,660/ 6,740
(0/ -20) # 1,514
SJC Hanoi6,660/ 6,742
(0/ -20) # 1,516
SJC Danang6,660/ 6,742
(0/ -20) # 1,516
SJC Nhatrang6,660/ 6,742
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SJC Cantho6,660/ 6,742
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