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Stocks steady as markets bet on hefty Bank of England hike

By Huw Jones LONDON (Reuters) - Strong earnings at Credit Agricole (OTC:CRARY) and Lufthansa lifted stocks on Thursday as tension over Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan eased and...

By Huw Jones

LONDON (Reuters) - Strong earnings at Credit Agricole (OTC:CRARY) and Lufthansa lifted stocks on Thursday as tension over Nancy Pelosi's visit to Taiwan eased and markets bet the Bank of England will hike interest rates by the largest amount since 1995 to quell inflation.

The STOXX index of leading European companies gained 0.33% after German airline Lufthansa returned to an operating profit, while French bank Credit Agricole joined the growing roster of better-than-expected earnings at banks.

Shares in Hong Kong rose 2%, tracking broader gains in Asia, reeling in some of the losses suffered after Sino-U.S. frictions flared over a visit to Taipei this week by House of Representatives Speaker Pelosi, which angered China.

Oil prices rebounded from six-month lows, while the dollar was underpinned by U.S. Federal Reserve officials pushing back against suggestions they will slow the pace of interest rate hikes, with one saying a 50 basis point hike would be "reasonable". After large interest rate hikes by Fed and the European Central Bank to stop decades-high rises in prices, investors expect the Bank of England to follow suit with a 50 basis point increase when it announces the outcome of its monetary policy meeting at 1100 GMT.

Sterling could struggle in the absence of a hawkish surprise - especially as the British economic outlook is looking weak while U.S. data has offered some upside surprises.

Sterling was trading at $1.2162, up slightly on the day. [GBP/]

"People are leaning towards a 50 basis point rise, a split decision probably. Then it's really a matter of how to see the outlook going forward," said Michael Hewson, chief markets analyst at CMC Markets.

"The UK economy is going into recession and there is nothing they can do about that and the Bank of England's primary focus should be on pulling inflation down from its current levels, and frontload like the Fed is doing," Hewson said.

A survey from the European Central Bank showed that consumers in the euro zone are bracing for the economy to shrink and for high inflation to continue.

S&P 500 futures were little changed ahead of Wall Street's open, with Friday's non-farm payrolls a key piece of data for the week.

Graphic: Central Bank Policy Rates - https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/byprjyonrpe/One.PNG

NO EARNINGS RESET YET

Kasper Elmgreen, head of equities at asset manager Amundi, said the illusion that decades-high inflation would be transitory was now firmly gone as fuel bills surge and companies have difficulties finding staff.

"The big picture here is that it's going to require quite a lot to restore price stability. The risk here is that we underestimate how powerful a force it is we are dealing with," Elmgreen said.

The second quarter earnings season now underway has not provided a major "reset" to what Elmgreen sees as still too high earnings expectations for 2022 overall given the economy is slowing.

"I think that might come in the third quarter or fourth quarter as we start to see more demand impact," Elmgreen said.

An ISM survey on Wednesday showed the U.S. services industry unexpectedly picked up in July, prompting a sell-off in bonds and rallies for U.S. stocks and the dollar, with the Nasdaq up 2.5% to a three-month high.

Fed officials have provided a hawkish chorus this week, battering the short end of the yield curve. Two-year Treasury yields were trading at 3.1040%, while the benchmark 10-year year yields traded at 2.7318%, both slightly weaker.

The dollar has halted a decline that began in the middle of July, with support from both hike expectations and heightened political tension. [FRX/]

Fed funds futures remain priced for rate cuts to be under way by the middle of next year and the inversion of the U.S. yield curve, with 10-year yields below two-year yields, suggests investors think that the hiking path will hurt growth.

"I think the market's going to remain choppy," said David Ratliff, head of banking and capital markets for Asia Pacific at Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) in Hong Kong. "People are starting to read through the current round and pace of Fed tightening."

The dollar index was trading at 106.30, down 0.169%. A euro weighed by Europe's energy crisis bought $1.0185.

Brent crude futures were slightly weaker at $96.75 a barrel as supply concerns triggered a rebound from multi-month lows on Wednesday after U.S. data signalled weak fuel demand.

Spot gold rose 0.5% to $1,773 an ounce.

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13-08-2022 05:07:40 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.0261

-0.0056 (-0.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

EUR/USD

1.0261

-0.0056 (-0.54%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

GBP/USD

1.2135

-0.0076 (-0.63%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (5)

USD/JPY

133.46

+0.46 (+0.34%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

AUD/USD

0.7121

+0.0016 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (6)

USD/CAD

1.2774

+0.0013 (+0.10%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (8)

Sell (0)

EUR/JPY

136.93

-0.29 (-0.21%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (11)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (3)

EUR/CHF

0.9659

-0.0046 (-0.48%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (3)

Gold Futures

1,818.40

+11.20 (+0.62%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Silver Futures

20.835

+0.486 (+2.39%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Copper Futures

3.6783

-0.0282 (-0.76%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Crude Oil WTI Futures

91.88

-2.46 (-2.61%)

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↑ Buy

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Brent Oil Futures

98.00

-1.60 (-1.61%)

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Buy

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Natural Gas Futures

8.780

-0.094 (-1.06%)

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US Coffee C Futures

227.53

+3.58 (+1.60%)

Summary

↑ Buy

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Euro Stoxx 50

3,776.81

+19.76 (+0.53%)

Summary

Sell

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Sell (6)

S&P 500

4,280.15

+72.88 (+1.73%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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DAX

13,795.85

+101.34 (+0.74%)

Summary

Neutral

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FTSE 100

7,500.89

+34.98 (+0.47%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

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Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (2)

Hang Seng

20,175.62

+93.19 (+0.46%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (1)

US Small Cap 2000

2,013.09

+37.84 (+1.92%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

IBEX 35

8,400.40

+20.40 (+0.24%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

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Sell (12)

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Sell (6)

BASF SE NA O.N.

44.155

+0.730 (+1.68%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

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Sell (2)

Bayer AG NA

54.15

+2.47 (+4.78%)

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↑ Buy

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Allianz SE VNA O.N.

181.08

+2.08 (+1.16%)

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↑ Sell

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Adidas AG

173.20

+1.18 (+0.69%)

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

6.588

+0.062 (+0.95%)

Summary

↑ Sell

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Siemens AG Class N

111.84

+1.92 (+1.75%)

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↑ Sell

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Deutsche Bank AG

9.061

+0.197 (+2.22%)

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↑ Buy

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 EUR/USD1.0261↑ Buy
 GBP/USD1.2135↑ Sell
 USD/JPY133.46↑ Sell
 AUD/USD0.7121↑ Sell
 USD/CAD1.2774↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY136.93Sell
 EUR/CHF0.9659↑ Sell
 Gold1,818.40↑ Buy
 Silver20.835↑ Buy
 Copper3.6783↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI91.88↑ Buy
 Brent Oil98.00Buy
 Natural Gas8.780↑ Buy
 US Coffee C227.53↑ Buy
 Euro Stoxx 503,776.81Sell
 S&P 5004,280.15↑ Buy
 DAX13,795.85Neutral
 FTSE 1007,500.89Neutral
 Hang Seng20,175.62↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20002,013.09↑ Buy
 IBEX 358,400.40↑ Sell
 BASF44.155↑ Buy
 Bayer54.15↑ Buy
 Allianz181.08↑ Sell
 Adidas173.20↑ Buy
 Lufthansa6.588↑ Sell
 Siemens AG111.84↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG9.061↑ Buy
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,620/ 6,720
(0/ 0) # 1,655
SJC HCM6,630/ 6,730
(0/ 0) # 1,663
SJC Hanoi6,630/ 6,732
(0/ 0) # 1,665
SJC Danang6,630/ 6,732
(0/ 0) # 1,665
SJC Nhatrang6,630/ 6,732
(0/ 0) # 1,665
SJC Cantho6,630/ 6,732
(0/ 0) # 1,665
Cập nhật 13-08-2022 05:07:42
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ↀ Giá vàng thế giới
$1,801.89+12.740.71%
Live 24 hour Gold Chart
ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩmVùng 1Vùng 2
RON 95-V25.34025.840
RON 95-III24.66025.150
E5 RON 92-II23.72024.190
DO 0.05S22.90023.350
DO 0,001S-V24.88025.370
Dầu hỏa 2-K23.32023.780
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI$91.88+0.550.60%
Brent$97.89+0.110.11%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.220,0023.530,00
EUR23.498,0024.813,92
GBP27.761,8728.945,83
JPY170,70180,72
KRW15,5018,89
Cập nhật lúc 18:51:42 12/08/2022
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