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Stocks subdued by outsized rate risks, yen fragile

15 Tháng Chín 2022
Stocks subdued by outsized rate risks, yen fragile © Reuters. People walk past an electric board showing Japan's Nikkei share average in Tokyo, Japan September 14, 2022. REUTERS/Issei Kato
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By Tom Westbrook

SINGAPORE (Reuters) - Asia's stock markets were mixed on Thursday, a day after their biggest slide in three months as investors weighed the risk of the Federal Reserve hiking interest rates by a jumbo 100 basis points next week to tackle sky-high inflation.

The Japanese yen also began slipping again, getting only a limited boost from the strongest hints yet of possible market intervention by Japanese authorities.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.1% and Japan's Nikkei 0.2%.

EUROSTOXX 50 futures added 0.1% and FTSE futures firmed 0.4%. S&P 500 futures and Nasdaq futures were both near flat. [.N]

"Equity markets are presently in no-man's land," said Sean Darby, global equity strategist at Jefferies in Hong Kong.

"Better macro news to support earnings is discounted as (there is) the need for further tightening to quash growth – while CPI prints are not declining fast enough," he said.

"The best metaphor is that the Fed is not only driving the economy using a rear view mirror but is now being forced to press the 'rate rise' accelerator just as bond markets are discounting an overtightening."

Fed funds futures, which were dumped along with stocks after Tuesday's stubbornly hot U.S. inflation reading, imply a 30% chance of a 100 basis point rate hike next week. They have the benchmark U.S. interest rate as high as 4.3% by February.

Treasuries were calm in Tokyo trade on Thursday, but the U.S. yield curve is deeply inverted - often a signal of a looming recession - as investors believe that rate hikes through this year and next will take a bite out of future growth. [US/]

Two-year yields, which track near-term rate expectations, edged up to 3.029%, bringing the rise for the week so far to 23 basis points in the seventh straight weekly gain.

The benchmark 10-year yield was at 3.424%, having climbed 11 basis points this week.

"(There are) two opposing forces for the 10-year note – the upward pressure from Fed hikes and downward pressure from a potential economic downturn in the future," said NatWest Markets' U.S. rates strategist Jan Nevruzi.

"We are more firmly in the camp that more hikes today increase the odds for a deeper recession."

LINE IN THE SAND

One bright patch on Thursday was China's beleaguered property sector, with news reports on forthcoming government support lifting a Hong Kong index of mainland developers 6.5%. The broader Hang Seng rose 0.8%. (HK)

In currency markets, the U.S. inflation shock and expectation of rate hikes in response have sent the greenback up to re-test recent multi-decade highs.

Thursday moves were modest, with the euro down a fraction at $0.9965 and the Aussie taking a small lift to $0.6758 after some mixed employment data. [AUD/]

The yen, pounded some 20% lower against the dollar this year, eased anew to 143.55 per dollar. It had bounced as far as 142.56 on Wednesday when the Bank of Japan checked dollar/yen rates with banks around the 145 per dollar level - a possible prelude to outright yen buying.

Japan has not intervened in forex markets since 2011 and back then it was to restrain an overly strong yen.

"I certainly don't want to be the one to stand here and suggest that this (145 yen per dollar) is the line in the sand," said Shafali Sachdev, head of FX, fixed income and commodities for Asia at BNP Paribas (OTC:BNPQY) Wealth Management in Singapore.

"But what's clear is that the market is wary of the level, and has tried to test the level a few times which seems to suggest that if it breaks, it may overshoot quite rapidly."

Data out on Thursday showed Japan had posted a record trade deficit in August, one aggravated by the yen's slide. That was also yet another weight on the currency.

Later in the day European trade data is due and Chinese President Xi Jinping meets Russia's Vladimir Putin in Uzbekistan.

In oil markets, Brent crude futures dipped 24 cents to $93.86 a barrel. Spot gold dropped 0.4% to $1,689 an ounce, having steadily slipped as the dollar and U.S. yields have gone up. [O/R][GOL/]

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01-10-2022 05:10:05 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

0.9801

-0.0013 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

EUR/USD

0.9801

-0.0013 (-0.13%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

GBP/USD

1.1172

+0.0057 (+0.51%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (9)

Sell (3)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (3)

USD/JPY

144.79

+0.34 (+0.23%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

AUD/USD

0.6403

-0.0095 (-1.47%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (9)

Sell (0)

USD/CAD

1.3830

+0.0153 (+1.12%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (3)

Sell (4)

EUR/JPY

141.89

+0.11 (+0.08%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (7)

EUR/CHF

0.9673

+0.0098 (+1.02%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (7)

Gold Futures

1,668.30

-0.30 (-0.02%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (4)

Sell (3)

Silver Futures

19.015

+0.303 (+1.62%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (2)

Copper Futures

3.3885

-0.0295 (-0.86%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (10)

Crude Oil WTI Futures

79.74

-1.49 (-1.83%)

Summary

Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (0)

Brent Oil Futures

85.56

-1.62 (-1.86%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (8)

Sell (4)

Indicators:

Buy (10)

Sell (0)

Natural Gas Futures

6.826

-0.048 (-0.70%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (6)

Sell (2)

US Coffee C Futures

220.98

-4.72 (-2.09%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (9)

Euro Stoxx 50

3,318.20

+39.16 (+1.19%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (9)

S&P 500

3,585.62

-54.85 (-1.51%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (0)

Sell (12)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (7)

DAX

12,114.36

+138.81 (+1.16%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (11)

Sell (1)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

FTSE 100

6,893.81

+12.22 (+0.18%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (10)

Hang Seng

17,222.83

+56.96 (+0.33%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (10)

Sell (2)

Indicators:

Buy (5)

Sell (2)

US Small Cap 2000

1,667.27

-7.66 (-0.46%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

IBEX 35

7,366.80

+66.70 (+0.91%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (8)

BASF SE NA O.N.

39.600

+0.750 (+1.93%)

Summary

Neutral

Moving Avg:

Buy (7)

Sell (5)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

Bayer AG NA

47.41

-0.31 (-0.64%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Allianz SE VNA O.N.

161.80

+2.18 (+1.37%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (4)

Sell (8)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Adidas AG

118.88

-5.14 (-4.14%)

Summary

↑ Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (5)

Sell (7)

Indicators:

Buy (0)

Sell (8)

Deutsche Lufthansa AG

5.918

+0.101 (+1.74%)

Summary

↑ Buy

Moving Avg:

Buy (12)

Sell (0)

Indicators:

Buy (7)

Sell (0)

Siemens AG Class N

101.20

+2.94 (+2.99%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (1)

Sell (6)

Deutsche Bank AG

7.646

+0.052 (+0.68%)

Summary

Sell

Moving Avg:

Buy (6)

Sell (6)

Indicators:

Buy (2)

Sell (6)

    EUR/USD 0.9801 ↑ Buy  
    GBP/USD 1.1172 Buy  
    USD/JPY 144.79 ↑ Sell  
    AUD/USD 0.6403 ↑ Buy  
    USD/CAD 1.3830 Neutral  
    EUR/JPY 141.89 Sell  
    EUR/CHF 0.9673 Sell  
    Gold 1,668.30 ↑ Buy  
    Silver 19.015 ↑ Buy  
    Copper 3.3885 ↑ Sell  
    Crude Oil WTI 79.74 Buy  
    Brent Oil 85.56 ↑ Buy  
    Natural Gas 6.826 ↑ Buy  
    US Coffee C 220.98 ↑ Sell  
    Euro Stoxx 50 3,318.20 Neutral  
    S&P 500 3,585.62 ↑ Sell  
    DAX 12,114.36 Neutral  
    FTSE 100 6,893.81 Sell  
    Hang Seng 17,222.83 ↑ Buy  
    Small Cap 2000 1,667.27 ↑ Sell  
    IBEX 35 7,366.80 Neutral  
    BASF 39.600 Neutral  
    Bayer 47.41 Sell  
    Allianz 161.80 ↑ Sell  
    Adidas 118.88 ↑ Sell  
    Lufthansa 5.918 ↑ Buy  
    Siemens AG 101.20 Sell  
    Deutsche Bank AG 7.646 Sell  
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# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,510/ 6,610
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$1,660.60 -3.79 -0.23%
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ʘ Giá bán lẻ xăng dầu
Sản phẩm Vùng 1 Vùng 2
RON 95-V23.26023.720
RON 95-III22.58023.030
E5 RON 92-II21.78022.210
DO 0.05S22.53022.980
DO 0,001S-V24.51025.000
Dầu hỏa 2-K22.44022.880
ↂ Giá dầu thô thế giới
WTI $79.32 +1.91 2.35%
Brent $85.31 +1 1.17%
$ Tỷ giá Vietcombank
Ngoại tệMua vàoBán ra
USD23.700,0024.010,00
EUR22.796,8324.072,65
GBP25.901,6927.005,39
JPY160,65170,07
KRW14,4117,55
Cập nhật lúc 17:03:50 30/09/2022
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