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Stocks up, dollar down; U.S. inflation data surges as forecast

By Koh Gui Qing NEW YORK (Reuters) - World stocks rose on Wednesday while U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell, after the latest U.S. inflation data showed price pressures...

By Koh Gui Qing

NEW YORK (Reuters) - World stocks rose on Wednesday while U.S. Treasury yields and the dollar fell, after the latest U.S. inflation data showed price pressures surging but within expectations, apparently suggesting the Federal Reserve will not have to hike interest rates too aggressively.

Oil prices hit two-month highs, lifted by tight supply and easing concerns over the spread of the Omicron coronavirus variant.

Data showed the U.S. consumer price index leaping a whopping 7% in the 12 months through December, the biggest annual increase since June 1982. But it was within forecasts, which appeared to reassure investors.

"Today's inflation report continued to reinforce the theme that gaudy price gains are not standing in the way of demand," said Rick Rieder, BlackRock (NYSE:BLK)'s Chief Investment Officer of Global Fixed Income and Head of the BlackRock Global Allocation Investment Team.

"We don't think the Fed will overreact to this condition," Rieder said, adding that he expected the Fed to raise rates in March.

The benchmark S&P 500 index gained 0.28%, the Nasdaq Composite added 0.23%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average inched up 0.11%. Gains were stronger for European and Asian shares.

The pan-European STOXX 600 index rose 0.65%. Britain's FTSE 100 climbed 0.81% to one-year highs, lifted by mining and oil giants. (L)

Japan's Nikkei rose 1.9% overnight, while MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan closed up 1.95%.

Buoyant global equity markets lifted MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe up by 0.8%.

Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields edged down to 1.7481% after falling as far as 1.7269% -- more than seven basis points from an almost two-year high hit on Monday. [US/]

Fed fund futures are predicting nearly four rate hikes this year, a seismic change from a few months ago. Long-term rates have been relatively steady.

U.S. interest rate pricing is peaking at 1.5% by the third quarter of 2024, far lower than previous U.S. rate tightening cycles.

"It seems to be a fait accompli that the Fed will hike interest rates quickly, even if inflation comes in a little below expectations," Commerzbank (DE:CBKG) analysts said in a client note.

"In a worst-case scenario, lift-off will not be in March, but in May or June."

The dollar hit a two-year low on the inflation report, with the dollar index falling 0.666% to 94.97 against a basket of six major currencies. A struggling dollar lifted the euro up 0.66% to a near two-month high of $1.14430, and boosted spot gold by 0.2% to $1,825.40 an ounce.

The prospect of rate hikes by the Bank of England also boosted sterling. The pound leapt 0.52% to $1.37045, its highest in more than two months against the dollar.

In oil markets, U.S. crude jumped 1.92% to $82.78 per barrel and Brent was at $84.76, up 1.24%. [O/R]

"Omicron is yesterday's story now," said Luca Paolini, chief strategist at Pictet Asset Management. "The market isn't moving on Omicron but on earnings, Fed and economic data." (Graphic: US CPI expected to hit 7%, https://fingfx.thomsonreuters.com/gfx/mkt/zjpqknabypx/USCPI1201.PNG)

Not all major central banks are tightening policy though. In China, a softer than expected reading on prices has drawn bets on policy easing.

Five-year Chinese government bond futures rose eight ticks to an 18-month high before trimming gains. Yuan gains were also capped. [CNY/]

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27-01-2022 19:06:25 (UTC+7)

EUR/USD

1.1144

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EUR/USD

1.1144

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GBP/USD

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USD/JPY

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AUD/USD

0.7035

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USD/CAD

1.2743

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EUR/JPY

128.61

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EUR/CHF

1.0378

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Copper Futures

4.4220

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87.31

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Brent Oil Futures

88.84

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US Coffee C Futures

231.78

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Euro Stoxx 50

4,184.97

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S&P 500

4,326.50

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DAX

15,524.27

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FTSE 100

7,554.31

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23,807.00

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US Small Cap 2000

1,932.23

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Neutral

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IBEX 35

8,706.00

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BASF SE NA O.N.

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Bayer AG NA

52.58

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228.70

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Adidas AG

242.15

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Deutsche Lufthansa AG

7.045

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140.50

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 EUR/USD1.1144↑ Sell
 GBP/USD1.3385Neutral
 USD/JPY115.42↑ Buy
 AUD/USD0.7035↑ Buy
 USD/CAD1.2743↑ Buy
 EUR/JPY128.61↑ Buy
 EUR/CHF1.0378Neutral
 Gold1,795.80↑ Sell
 Silver22.753Sell
 Copper4.4220↑ Buy
 Crude Oil WTI87.31↑ Sell
 Brent Oil88.84↑ Buy
 Natural Gas4.332↑ Sell
 US Coffee C231.78Buy
 Euro Stoxx 504,184.97↑ Buy
 S&P 5004,326.50↑ Sell
 DAX15,524.27↑ Buy
 FTSE 1007,554.31↑ Buy
 Hang Seng23,807.00↑ Buy
 Small Cap 20001,932.23Neutral
 IBEX 358,706.00↑ Buy
 BASF68.450↑ Sell
 Bayer52.58↑ Sell
 Allianz228.70↑ Sell
 Adidas242.15↑ Sell
 Lufthansa7.045↑ Sell
 Siemens AG140.50↑ Sell
 Deutsche Bank AG11.920↑ Sell
Mua/Bán 1 chỉ SJC
# So hôm qua # Chênh TG
SJC Eximbank6,195/ 6,235
(0/ 0) # 1,263
SJC HCM6,195/ 6,255
(0/ 0) # 1,284
SJC Hanoi6,195/ 6,257
(0/ 0) # 1,286
SJC Danang6,195/ 6,257
(0/ 0) # 1,286
SJC Nhatrang6,195/ 6,257
(0/ 0) # 1,286
SJC Cantho6,195/ 6,257
(0/ 0) # 1,286
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EUR24.775,4326.164,36
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JPY191,46202,68
KRW16,2819,84
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